Merchants Bancorp Earnings Estimate

MBIN
 Stock
  

USD 23.14  0.47  2.07%   

Many public companies, such as Merchants Bancorp, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Merchants Bancorp's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Merchants Bancorp's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Merchants Bancorp is projected to generate 7.02 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Merchants Bancorp earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Merchants Bancorp EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Additionally, see Stocks Correlation.
  
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Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 464.3 M this year. Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.50 this year
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Merchants Bancorp Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Merchants Bancorp is based on official Zacks consensus of 2 analysts regarding Merchants Bancorp future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 75.72%, the future earnings per share of Merchants Bancorp is estimated to be 7.02 with the lowest and highest values of 6.99 and 7.05, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Merchants Bancorp is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 7.38
6.99
Lowest
Expected EPS 7.02
7.05
Highest

Merchants Bancorp Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Merchants Bancorp's value are higher than the current market price of the Merchants Bancorp stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Merchants Bancorp is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Merchants Bancorp's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

2

75.72%

7.38

7.02

Merchants Bancorp Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Merchants Bancorp analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Merchants Bancorp's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Merchants Bancorp's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Merchants Bancorp Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

67.43 Million

Share
Merchants Bancorp Earnings before Tax are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Earnings before Tax is estimated at 329 Million Weighted Average Shares is expected to rise to about 45 M this year. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to rise to about 45.1 M this year.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Merchants Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Merchants Bancorp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
21.3523.2525.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
20.8330.6132.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.4524.3526.26
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
47.0052.3355.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Merchants Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Merchants Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Merchants Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Merchants Bancorp.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Merchants assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Merchants Bancorp. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Merchants stock price in the short term.

Merchants Bancorp Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Merchants Bancorp refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Merchants Bancorp predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Merchants Bancorp, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Merchants Bancorp Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Merchants Bancorp, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Merchants Bancorp should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Merchants Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Merchants Bancorp's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-04-28
2022-03-3111.020.02
2022-01-31
2021-12-311.021.140.1211 
2021-10-28
2021-09-301.471.830.3624 
2021-07-28
2021-06-301.61.58-0.02
2021-04-28
2021-03-311.642.020.3823 
2021-01-28
2020-12-311.491.950.4630 
2020-10-28
2020-09-301.06671.790.723367 
2020-07-28
2020-06-300.47671.310.8333174 
2020-04-23
2020-03-310.53330.730.196736 
2020-01-30
2019-12-310.5750.920.34560 
2019-10-30
2019-09-300.540.60.0611 
2019-07-30
2019-06-300.51250.51-0.0025
2019-04-30
2019-03-310.530.34-0.1935 
2019-01-30
2018-12-310.550.51-0.04
2018-10-30
2018-09-300.54750.550.0025
2018-07-30
2018-06-300.57750.52-0.0575
2018-04-30
2018-03-310.43750.50.062514 
2018-02-08
2017-12-310.37330.47290.099626 
2017-12-07
2017-09-300.45670.45-0.0067

About Merchants Bancorp Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Merchants Bancorp earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Merchants Bancorp estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Merchants Bancorp fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit657.1 M521.6 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT304.9 M329 M
Earnings per Basic Share 4.78  5.16 
Earnings per Diluted Share 4.76  5.14 
Price to Earnings Ratio 6.60  6.67 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA307.1 M331.4 M
Earnings before Tax304.9 M329 M
Merchants Bancorp operates as the diversified bank holding company in the United States. Merchants Bancorp was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Carmel, Indiana. Merchants Bancorp operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 481 people.

Merchants Bancorp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Merchants Bancorp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Merchants. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Merchants Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Merchants Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Merchants Bancorp options trading.

Current Sentiment - MBIN

Merchants Bancorp Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are evenly split in their trading attitude regarding investing in Merchants Bancorp. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Merchants Bancorp? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish

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Additionally, see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Merchants Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Merchants Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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Is Merchants Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merchants Bancorp. If investors know Merchants will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merchants Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.24
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.14
Return On Assets
0.0222
Return On Equity
0.2
The market value of Merchants Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merchants that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merchants Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merchants Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merchants Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merchants Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merchants Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Merchants Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merchants Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.