Shift4 Payments Earnings Estimate

FOUR
 Stock
  

USD 49.38  1.34  2.79%   

Many public companies, such as Shift4 Payments, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Shift4 Payments' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Shift4 Payments' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Shift4 Payments is projected to generate 0.2 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Shift4 Payments earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Shift4 Payments EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Please check Investing Opportunities.
  
As of 08/14/2022, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 258 M. In addition to that, Profit Margin is likely to drop to -0.04

Shift4 Payments Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Shift4 Payments is based on official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding Shift4 Payments future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of -20.0%, the future earnings per share of Shift4 Payments is estimated to be 0.2 with the lowest and highest values of 0.19 and 0.21, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Shift4 Payments is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS -0.97
0.19
Lowest
Expected EPS 0.2
0.21
Highest

Shift4 Payments Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Shift4 Payments' value are higher than the current market price of the Shift4 Payments stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Shift4 Payments is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Shift4 Payments' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

1

-20.0%

-0.97

0.2

Shift4 Payments Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Shift4 Payments analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Shift4 Payments' stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Shift4 Payments' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Shift4 Payments Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

49.6 Million

As of 08/14/2022, Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is likely to grow to about 86.4 M, while Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are likely to drop (351 M). As of 08/14/2022, Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop to about 43.4 M. In addition to that, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to drop to about 43.4 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shift4 Payments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Shift4 Payments in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
45.3249.7654.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
44.4459.3663.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
49.8254.2658.71
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
69.0097.50115.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shift4 Payments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shift4 Payments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shift4 Payments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Shift4 Payments.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Shift4 assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Shift4 Payments. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Shift4 stock price in the short term.

Shift4 Payments Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Shift4 Payments refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Shift4 Payments predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Shift4 Payments, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Shift4 Payments Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Shift4 Payments, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Shift4 Payments should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Shift4 Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Shift4 Payments' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-08-04
2022-06-300.240.330.0937 
2022-05-05
2022-03-310.080.150.0787 
2022-03-01
2021-12-310.190.08-0.1157 
2021-11-10
2021-09-300.250.260.01
2021-08-05
2021-06-300.140.220.0857 
2021-05-06
2021-03-310.01-0.13-0.141400 
2021-03-04
2020-12-310.02-0.09-0.11550 
2020-11-06
2020-09-300.050.04-0.0120 
2020-08-12
2020-06-30-0.53-0.180.3566 
2020-06-08
2020-03-31NoneNoneNone

About Shift4 Payments Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Shift4 Payments earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Shift4 Payments estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Shift4 Payments fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit-325.3 M-351 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT-23.3 M-23.9 M
Earnings per Basic Share(0.89) (0.96) 
Earnings per Diluted Share(0.89) (0.96) 
Price to Earnings Ratio(65.09) (70.23) 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA81.1 M86.4 M
Earnings before Tax-51.3 M-55.4 M
Shift4 Payments, Inc. provides integrated payment processing and technology solutions in the United States. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania. Shift4 Payments operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 1732 people.

Shift4 Payments Investors Sentiment

The influence of Shift4 Payments' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Shift4. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Shift4 Payments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Shift4. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shift4 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shift4 Payments. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Shift4 Payments' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Shift4 Payments' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Shift4 Payments' news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Shift4 Payments.

Shift4 Payments Implied Volatility

    
  54.41  
Shift4 Payments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shift4 Payments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shift4 Payments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shift4 Payments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shift4 Payments' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Shift4 Payments in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Shift4 Payments' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Shift4 Payments options trading.

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Please check Investing Opportunities. Note that the Shift4 Payments information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Shift4 Payments' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Shift4 Payments price analysis, check to measure Shift4 Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shift4 Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Shift4 Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shift4 Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shift4 Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shift4 Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Shift4 Payments' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shift4 Payments. If investors know Shift4 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shift4 Payments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.28
Market Capitalization
5.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.44
Return On Assets
0.0126
Return On Equity
-0.072
The market value of Shift4 Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shift4 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shift4 Payments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shift4 Payments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shift4 Payments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shift4 Payments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shift4 Payments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Shift4 Payments value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shift4 Payments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.