National Vision Earnings Estimate

EYE -  USA Stock  

USD 38.48  0.09  0.23%

Many public companies, such as National Vision, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing National Vision's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across National Vision's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
National Vision is projected to generate 1.14 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. National Vision earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected National Vision Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Continue to Investing Opportunities.

National Earnings Estimates 

 
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The current year Gross Profit is expected to grow to about 789.4 M. The current year Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.0155
Share

National Vision Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of National Vision Holdings is based on official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding National Vision future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 55.77%, the future earnings per share of National Vision is estimated to be 1.14 with the lowest and highest values of 1.14 and 1.14, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for National Vision Holdings is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
Current EPS 1.77
1.14
Lowest
Estimated EPS
1.14
1.14
Highest

National Vision Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of National Vision's value are higher than the current market price of the National Vision stock. In this case, investors may conclude that National Vision is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and National Vision's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

1

55.77%

1.77

1.14

National Vision Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by National Vision Holdings analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge National Vision's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only National Vision's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

National Vision Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

75.77 MillionShare
National Vision Earnings per Basic Share are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Earnings per Basic Share were at 0.24. The current year Earnings per Diluted Share is expected to grow to 0.33, whereas Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are forecasted to decline to (8.9 M). The current year Weighted Average Shares is expected to grow to about 68.9 M. The current year Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to grow to about 70.4 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Vision's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of National Vision in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
35.4938.2841.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
34.7144.5947.38
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
50.0060.2570.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as National Vision. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against National Vision's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, National Vision's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in National Vision Holdings.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of National assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards National Vision. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving National stock price in the short term.

National Vision Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of National Vision refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering National Vision Holdings predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of National Vision, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

National Vision Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as National Vision, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of National Vision should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

National Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact National Vision's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-11-10
2021-09-300.24860.380.131452 
2021-08-12
2021-06-300.22780.480.2522110 
2021-05-13
2021-03-310.31670.480.163351 
2021-03-03
2020-12-310.13780.450.3122226 
2020-11-05
2020-09-300.25660.540.2834110 
2020-08-06
2020-06-30-0.5078-0.410.097819 
2020-05-07
2020-03-310.02140.280.25861208 
2020-02-26
2019-12-310.00770.110.10231328 
2019-11-07
2019-09-300.11980.180.060250 
2019-08-06
2019-06-300.20870.2-0.0087
2019-05-09
2019-03-310.30580.330.0242
2019-02-27
2018-12-310.01430.01-0.004330 
2018-11-13
2018-09-300.12260.12-0.0026
2018-08-14
2018-06-300.19340.210.0166
2018-05-15
2018-03-310.38470.35-0.0347
2018-03-08
2017-12-310.0117-0.0422-0.0539460 
2017-12-07
2017-09-300.06910.09970.030644 

About National Vision Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of National Vision earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current National Vision estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as National Vision fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit-8.7 M-8.9 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT64.1 M68.3 M
Earnings per Basic Share 0.24  0.34 
Earnings per Diluted Share 0.23  0.33 
Price to Earnings Ratio 56.40  77.35 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA116.7 M135.8 M
Earnings before Tax25 M23.6 M
National Vision Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an optical retailer in the United States. National Vision Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia. National Vision operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 12792 people.

National Vision Investors Sentiment

The influence of National Vision's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in National. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

National Vision Implied Volatility

    
  70.07  
National Vision's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National Vision Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National Vision's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National Vision stock will not fluctuate a lot when National Vision's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards National Vision in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, National Vision's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from National Vision options trading.

Current Sentiment - EYE

National Vision Holdings Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on National Vision Holdings. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in National Vision Holdings? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with National Vision

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if National Vision position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Vision will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

National Vision Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for National Vision and Aarons Holdings. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Investing Opportunities. Note that the National Vision Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Vision's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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Is National Vision's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Vision. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Vision listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of National Vision Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Vision's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Vision's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Vision's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Vision's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Vision's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine National Vision value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Vision's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.