Vistra Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VST
 Stock
  

USD 22.93  1.46  6.80%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Vistra Energy Corp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Vistra Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VST positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vistra Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Vistra Energy's buy-and-hold perspective. Also, please take a look at Vistra Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vistra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Vistra Energy Corp.

Execute Vistra Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Vistra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vistra Energy Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vistra Energy Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vistra Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vistra EnergyBuy Vistra Energy
Strong Buy

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

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Current Valuation

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Odds of Distress

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Economic Sensitivity

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Analyst Consensus

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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

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For the selected time horizon Vistra Energy Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.035053), Jensen Alpha of (0.009504), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0408 and Treynor Ratio of (0.08)
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Vistra Energy Corp. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Vistra Energy Corp is not overpriced, please validate all Vistra Energy fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and beta . Given that Vistra Energy Corp has a number of shares shorted of 11.81 M, we advise you to double-check Vistra Energy Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vistra Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 30th of September 2022 Vistra Energy paid $ 0.184 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from 247wallst.com: These Are The 10 Best Performing Utilities ETFs - 247 Wall St.

Vistra Energy current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vistra analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vistra analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price31.90
Target Median Price31.50
Target High Price35.00
Recommendation Mean1.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions10
Target Low Price28.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Vistra Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vistra Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vistra Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vistra Energy stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vistra Energy Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vistra Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vistra Energy.
Mean Return-0.07Value At Risk-3.85
Potential Upside2.94Standard Deviation2.14
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vistra Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vistra Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vistra Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vistra Energy Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Vistra Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vistra Energy's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares49.2 M1.1 B
Fmr LlcCommon Shares29.7 M678.3 M
Oaktree Capital Management LpCommon Shares25.4 M580.4 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares23.1 M527.4 M
Brookfield Asset Management IncCommon Shares15.1 M345.7 M
Lsv Asset ManagementCommon Shares11.1 M252.9 M
Laurion Capital Management LpCommon Shares9.6 M219.3 M
Note, although Vistra Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vistra Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vistra Energy or Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vistra Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vistra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0095
β
Beta against DOW1.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.0065

Vistra Energy Volatility Alert

Vistra Energy Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.59 and kurtosis of 0.78. However, we advise investors to further study Vistra Energy Corp technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vistra Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vistra Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Vistra Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vistra Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vistra Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vistra Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vistra Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vistra Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vistra Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vistra Energy to competition
FundamentalsVistra EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity7.35 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset1.79 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin4.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin24.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation23.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding482.63 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.33 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions98.28 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted11.81 M4.71 M
Price to Earning16.15 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.23 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.84 X11.42 X
Revenue11.99 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.35 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.89 B3.9 B
Net Income425 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.02 B2.7 B
Cash per Share2.37 X5.01 X
Total Debt11.45 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.57 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.11 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share17.11 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations2.04 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.14 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.30 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.60 X4.89 X
Number of Employees5.06 K18.84 K
Beta0.87-0.15
Market Capitalization10.14 B19.03 B
Total Asset21.22 B29.47 B
Working Capital188.32 M1.48 B
Current Asset3.07 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.89 B7.9 B
   Exercise or conversion by Scott Hudson of 60000 shares of Vistra Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Vistra Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vistra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vistra Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vistra Energy Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Vistra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vistra Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Israel Wall Street
Israel Wall Street Theme
Cross-sector collection of best publicly traded Israel entities that are expected to continue growing. The Israel Wall Street theme has 34 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Israel Wall Street Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Also, please take a look at Vistra Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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Is Vistra Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vistra Energy. If investors know Vistra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vistra Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Vistra Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vistra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vistra Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vistra Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vistra Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vistra Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vistra Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vistra Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vistra Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.