United Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UNFI
 Stock
  

USD 46.72  1.27  2.79%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding United Natural Foods is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides United Natural buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UNFI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Natural's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from United Natural's buy-and-hold perspective. Also, please take a look at United Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as United and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards United Natural Foods.

Execute United Natural Buy or Sell Advice

The United recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on United Natural Foods. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in United Natural Foods or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute United Natural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell United NaturalBuy United Natural
Strong Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon United Natural Foods has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0774, Jensen Alpha of 0.0135, Total Risk Alpha of (0.044594), Sortino Ratio of 0.0029 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1109
Our trade recommendation tool can be used to complement United Natural Foods advice provided by experts. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure United Natural Foods is not overpriced, please validate all United Natural fundamentals, including its price to earning, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that United Natural Foods has a price to earning of 13.19 X, we advise you to double-check United Natural Foods market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

United Natural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: US Foods announces Dave Flitman as CEO - Nations Restaurant News

United Natural Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of United Natural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of United Natural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of United Natural stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use United Natural Foods price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of United Natural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for United Natural.
Mean Return0.11Value At Risk-3.95
Potential Upside3.43Standard Deviation2.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of United Natural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

United Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as United Natural is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Natural Foods backward and forwards among themselves. United Natural's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase United Natural's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares5.5 K220 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares9.3 K321 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares9.4 K371 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares9.4 K389 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares9.4 K461 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares7.6 K369 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares11.3 K180 K
Note, although United Natural's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

United Natural Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to United Natural or Food & Staples Retailing sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that United Natural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a United stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.013491
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.93
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.0031

United Natural Volatility Alert

United Natural Foods currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of 0.01. However, we advise investors to further question United Natural Foods expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure United Natural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact United Natural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

United Natural Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing United Natural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze United Natural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between United Natural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as United Natural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of United Natural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Natural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Natural to competition
FundamentalsUnited NaturalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.0328 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.0086 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.0137 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding59.9 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions91.43 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.01 M4.71 M
Price to Earning13.19 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.58 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.1 X11.42 X
Revenue28.93 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.18 B27.38 B
EBITDA738 M3.9 B
Net Income254 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents47 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.81 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.11 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.89 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.57 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share30.72 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations331 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.02 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.14 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth3.74 X4.89 X
Target Price49.0
Number of Employees30.3 K18.84 K
Beta1.05-0.15
Market Capitalization2.8 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.63 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings393.74 M9.33 B
Working Capital991.47 M1.48 B
   Payment of 7222 shares by John Howard of United Nat subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

United Natural Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as United . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About United Natural Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell United Natural Foods? Buying financial instruments such as United Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2015 2020 2022 (projected)
Receivables474.49 M1.12 B1.21 B1.22 B
Inventories982.56 M2.28 B2.35 B2.42 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having United Natural in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Currency Thematic Idea Now

Currency
Currency Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in a single currency or combination of currencies from different countries in order to replicate respective foreign exchange markets. The Currency theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Currency Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Also, please take a look at United Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the United Natural Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Natural's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for United Stock analysis

When running United Natural Foods price analysis, check to measure United Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Natural is operating at the current time. Most of United Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Go
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Is United Natural's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Natural. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Natural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.1) 
Market Capitalization
2.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.08
Return On Assets
0.0328
Return On Equity
0.15
The market value of United Natural Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine United Natural value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.