Universal Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UHS
 Stock
  

USD 132.73  3.08  2.38%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Universal Health Services is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Universal Health buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UHS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Universal Health's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Universal Health's buy-and-hold perspective. Also, please take a look at Universal Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Universal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Universal Health Services.

Execute Universal Health Buy or Sell Advice

The Universal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Universal Health Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Universal Health Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Universal Health's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Universal HealthBuy Universal Health
Strong Buy

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

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Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Universal Health Services has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1977, Jensen Alpha of 0.3129, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2662, Sortino Ratio of 0.1619 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2916
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Universal Health Services to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Universal Health Services. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Universal Health Services is not overpriced, please validate all Universal Health fundamentals, including its price to sales, short ratio, five year return, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and total asset . Given that Universal Health Services has a price to earning of 13.68 X, we advise you to double-check Universal Health Services market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Universal Health Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Universal Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks Settle Mixed In Holiday-Shortened Session - Barchart

Universal Health current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Universal analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Universal analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price122.71
Target Median Price121.00
Target High Price144.00
Recommendation Mean2.90
Number Of Analyst Opinions17
Target Low Price110.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Universal Health Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Universal Health's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Universal Health's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Universal Health stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Universal Health Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Universal Health returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Universal Health.
Mean Return0.41Value At Risk-3.88
Potential Upside4.83Standard Deviation2.99
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Universal Health historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Universal Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Universal Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Universal Health Services backward and forwards among themselves. Universal Health's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Universal Health's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares14.8 K2.2 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares5.2 K577 K
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares21.6 K2.6 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares26.8 K3.3 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares23.7 K2.5 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares10.5 K1.3 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares45.9 K6.2 M
Note, although Universal Health's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Universal Health Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(519.15 M)(492.2 M)(845.04 M)(384.86 M)(1.07 B)(1.1 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(624.4 M)(813.4 M)(688.41 M)(802.56 M)(914.47 M)(986.66 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.18 B1.34 B1.44 B2.36 B883.7 M937.74 M

Universal Health Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universal Health or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universal Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.31
β
Beta against DOW1.36
σ
Overall volatility
2.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Universal Health Volatility Alert

Universal Health Services currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.31. However, we advise investors to further question Universal Health Services expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universal Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universal Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Universal Health Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Universal Health's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Universal Health's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Universal Health and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Universal Health or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Universal Health's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Health by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Universal Health to competition
FundamentalsUniversal HealthPeer Average
Return On Equity11.73 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset5.18 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin5.59 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin12.50 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation14.4 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding64.16 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders3.68 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions100.78 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.07 M4.71 M
Price to Earning13.68 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.62 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.71 X11.42 X
Revenue13.23 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.05 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.65 B3.9 B
Net Income738.87 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents74.57 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.17 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.87 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share82.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations1.02 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.54 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share9.70 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth3.09 X4.89 X
Number of Employees89 K18.84 K
Beta1.29-0.15
Market Capitalization9.41 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.63 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.15 B9.33 B
Working Capital617.9 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.72 B9.34 B
   Acquisition by Maria Singer of 1680 shares of Universal Health subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Universal Health Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Universal Health Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Universal Health Services? Buying financial instruments such as Universal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables1.56 B1.73 B1.75 B1.48 B
Inventories159.89 M190.42 M206.84 M164.4 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Universal Health in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Financials Thematic Idea Now

Financials
Financials Theme
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Also, please take a look at Universal Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Universal Health Services information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Universal Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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Is Universal Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Health. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.038) 
Market Capitalization
9.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.057
Return On Assets
0.0518
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Universal Health Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Universal Health value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.