Uber Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UBER
 Stock
  

USD 29.01  1.14  3.78%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Uber Technologies is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Uber Technologies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UBER positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Uber Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Uber Technologies' buy-and-hold perspective. Also, please take a look at Uber Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Uber Technologies and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Uber Technologies.

Execute Uber Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Uber Technologies recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Uber Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Uber Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Uber Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Uber TechnologiesBuy Uber Technologies
Strong Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Uber Technologies has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1356, Jensen Alpha of 0.3327, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1722, Sortino Ratio of 0.0898 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2809
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Uber Technologies. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Uber Technologies is not overpriced, please validate all Uber Technologies fundamentals, including its net income, and the relationship between the price to book and current ratio . Given that Uber Technologies has a shares owned by institutions of 74.37 %, we advise you to double-check Uber Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Uber Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Uber Technologies has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Uber Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 21.41 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.23 B.
Uber Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Bona fide gift to Jill Hazelbaker of 2971 shares of Uber Technologies subject to Section 16

Uber Technologies current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Uber Technologies analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Uber Technologies analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price48.02
Target Median Price48.00
Target High Price75.00
Recommendation Mean1.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions44
Target Low Price27.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Uber Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Uber Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Uber Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Uber Technologies stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Uber Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Uber Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Uber Technologies.
Mean Return0.47Value At Risk-7.08
Potential Upside6.40Standard Deviation4.55
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Uber Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Uber Technologies Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Uber Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Uber Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Uber Technologies' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Uber Technologies' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares165.4 M3.4 B
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares104.4 M2.1 B
Manufacturers Life Insurance Company TheDebt24.6 MB
Fmr LlcCommon Shares79.3 M1.6 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares74.5 M1.5 B
Public Investment FundCommon Shares72.8 M1.5 B
Jennison Associates LlcCommon Shares44.2 M904.7 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares37.3 M762.7 M
Note, although Uber Technologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Uber Technologies Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing1.01 B4.64 B8.94 B1.38 B1.78 B1.83 B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(487 M)(695 M)(790 M)(2.87 B)(1.2 B)(1.3 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations(1.42 B)(1.54 B)(4.32 B)(2.75 B)(445 M)(480.13 M)

Uber Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Uber Technologies or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Uber Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Uber Technologies stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.33
β
Beta against DOW1.65
σ
Overall volatility
4.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Uber Technologies Volatility Alert

Uber Technologies shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Uber Technologies further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Uber Technologies future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Uber Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Uber Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Uber Technologies Implied Volatility

Uber Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Uber Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Uber Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Uber Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Uber Technologies' options are near their expiration.

Uber Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Uber Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Uber Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Uber Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Uber Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Uber Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Uber Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Uber Technologies to competition
FundamentalsUber TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity(53.30) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(5.17) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(29.51) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(13.04) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation54.19 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.94 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions74.37 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted73.66 M4.71 M
Price to Book4.31 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.94 X11.42 X
Revenue21.41 B9.43 B
Gross Profit6.23 B27.38 B
EBITDA(1.92 B)3.9 B
Net Income(6.32 B)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents4.18 B2.7 B
Cash per Share2.13 X5.01 X
Total Debt11.42 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.16 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.00 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.53 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations181 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.51 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.29) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.32) X4.89 X
Number of Employees30.9 K18.84 K
Beta1.31-0.15
Market Capitalization63 B19.03 B
Z Score3.08.72
   Exercise or conversion by Nikki Krishnamurthy of 1806 shares of Uber Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Uber Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Uber Technologies . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Uber Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Uber Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Uber Technologies Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable272 M235 M860 M927.89 M
Receivables1.64 B1.54 B2.99 B3.23 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Uber Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Aggressive Thematic Idea Now

Aggressive
Aggressive Theme
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Also, please take a look at Uber Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Uber Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Uber Technologies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Uber Technologies Stock analysis

When running Uber Technologies price analysis, check to measure Uber Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Uber Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Uber Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Uber Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Uber Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Uber Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Uber Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Uber Technologies. If investors know Uber Technologies will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Uber Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
60.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.06
Return On Assets
-0.0431
Return On Equity
-0.87
The market value of Uber Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Uber Technologies that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Uber Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Uber Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Uber Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Uber Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Uber Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Uber Technologies value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Uber Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.