Under Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UA
 Stock
  

USD 7.80  0.14  1.83%   

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Under Armour is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Under Armour buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Under Armour's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Refresh
The advice is provided from Under Armour's buy-and-hold perspective. Also, please take a look at Under Armour Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Under and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Under Armour.

Execute Under Armour Buy or Sell Advice

The Under recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Under Armour. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Under Armour or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Under Armour's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Under ArmourBuy Under Armour
Strong Sell

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Under Armour has a Mean Deviation of 3.23, Standard Deviation of 4.91 and Variance of 24.15
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Under Armour. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Under Armour is not overpriced, please validate all Under Armour fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Under Armour has a number of shares shorted of 11.73 M, we advise you to double-check Under Armour market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Under Armour Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Under Armour generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Under Armour has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.sportico.com: Under Armour College Cuts, Curry Seen as Bright Spots in Long Turnaround - Sportico

Under Armour current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Under analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Under analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Recommendation Mean3.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Under Armour Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Under Armour's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Under Armour's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Under Armour stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Under Armour price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Under Armour returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Under Armour stock.
Mean Return-0.94Value At Risk-7.17
Potential Upside4.64Standard Deviation4.91
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Under Armour historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Under Armour Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Under Armour or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Under Armour stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Under stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.66
β
Beta against DOW1.69
σ
Overall volatility
5.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Under Armour Volatility Alert

Under Armour exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.35 and kurtosis of 10.1. However, we advise investors to further study Under Armour technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Under Armour's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Under Armour's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Under Armour Implied Volatility

Under Armour's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Under Armour stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Under Armour's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Under Armour stock will not fluctuate a lot when Under Armour's options are near their expiration.

Under Armour Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Under Armour's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Under Armour's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Under Armour and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Under Armour or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Under Armour's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Under Armour by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Under Armour to competition
FundamentalsUnder ArmourPeer Average
Return On Equity19.13 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset6.55 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin6.33 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin9.23 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding253.02 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders13.65 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions67.63 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted11.73 M4.71 M
Price to Earning8.15 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.85 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.70 X11.42 X
Revenue5.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.86 B27.38 B
EBITDA665.97 M3.9 B
Net Income360.06 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.67 B2.7 B
Cash per Share3.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.5 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.72 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.15 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations664.83 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.19 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.94 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.30 X4.89 X
Number of Employees7.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.27-0.15
Market Capitalization3.98 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.87 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.26 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.02 B1.48 B
Current Asset1.5 B9.34 B

Under Armour Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Under . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution193426.0
Daily Balance Of Power0.5385
Rate Of Daily Change1.02
Day Median Price7.84
Day Typical Price7.83
Price Action Indicator0.03

About Under Armour Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Under Armour? Buying financial instruments such as Under Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Under Armour investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Under Armour in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Obamacare Thematic Idea Now

Obamacare
Obamacare Theme
Health care services and providers including hospitals, clinics and nursing homes that hope to benefit from Obamacare program. The Obamacare theme has 37 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Obamacare Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Obamacare
Also, please take a look at Under Armour Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Under Armour information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Under Armour's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Under Stock analysis

When running Under Armour price analysis, check to measure Under Armour's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Under Armour is operating at the current time. Most of Under Armour's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Under Armour's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Under Armour's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Under Armour to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Go
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Go
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Go
Is Under Armour's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Under Armour. If investors know Under will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Under Armour listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.44
Market Capitalization
3.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.035
Return On Assets
0.0563
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Under Armour is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Under that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Under Armour's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Under Armour's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Under Armour's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Under Armour's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Under Armour's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Under Armour value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Under Armour's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.