Sirius Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SIRI
 Stock
  

USD 6.24  0.17  2.65%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sirius XM Holding is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Sirius XM buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SIRI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Sirius XM's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Sirius XM's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sirius and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Sirius XM Holding.

Execute Sirius XM Buy or Sell Advice

The Sirius recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sirius XM Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sirius XM Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sirius XM's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Sirius XMBuy Sirius XM
Strong Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Sirius XM Holding has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0539, Jensen Alpha of (0.02687), Total Risk Alpha of (0.049712), Sortino Ratio of (0.035154) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0585
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Sirius XM. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Sirius XM Holding is not overpriced, please validate all Sirius XM fundamentals, including its net income, price to earnings to growth, z score, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and total asset . Given that Sirius XM Holding has a price to sales of 2.70 X, we advise you to double-check Sirius XM Holding market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Sirius XM Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company currently holds 8.83 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 12.44, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sirius XM Holding has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Sirius XM until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sirius XM's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sirius XM Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sirius to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sirius XM's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Sirius XM Holding has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 83.0% of Sirius XM outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 30th of November 2022 Sirius XM paid $ 0.0242 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Jennifer Witz of 22 shares of Sirius XM subject to Rule 16b-3

Sirius XM Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sirius XM's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sirius XM's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sirius XM stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sirius XM Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sirius XM returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sirius XM.
Mean Return0.05Value At Risk-2.11
Potential Upside2.32Standard Deviation1.39
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sirius XM historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sirius Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Sirius XM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sirius XM Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Sirius XM's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Sirius XM's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares824.5 K3.4 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares3.9 M13.8 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares463.6 K2.9 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares295.2 KM
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares238.1 K1.5 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares244.3 K1.3 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares213.7 K1.2 M
Note, although Sirius XM's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Sirius XM Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(853.69 M)(1.52 B)(1.96 B)(1.31 B)(1.68 B)(1.81 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(1.15 B)(379.28 M)(3 M)(741 M)(200 M)(215.79 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.86 B1.88 B2.02 B2.02 B2 B1.65 B

Sirius XM Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sirius XM or Media sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sirius XM's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sirius stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.71
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Sirius XM Volatility Alert

Sirius XM Holding has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of 0.38. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Sirius XM Holding to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sirius XM's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sirius XM's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Sirius XM Implied Volatility

Sirius XM's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sirius XM Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sirius XM's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sirius XM stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sirius XM's options are near their expiration.

Sirius XM Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sirius XM's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sirius XM's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sirius XM and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sirius XM or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sirius XM's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sirius XM by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sirius XM to competition
FundamentalsSirius XMPeer Average
Return On Asset0.13 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.23 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation35.36 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.89 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders83.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions10.73 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted181.29 M4.71 M
Price to Earning22.38 X28.72 X
Price to Sales2.70 X11.42 X
Revenue8.7 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.4 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.52 B3.9 B
Net Income1.31 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents39 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt8.83 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity12.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.11) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations2 B971.22 M
Short Ratio11.21 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.29 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.68 X4.89 X
Target Price6.73
Number of Employees5.59 K18.84 K
Beta0.93-0.15
Market Capitalization24.27 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.27 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(4.83 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(2.03 B)1.48 B
Current Asset642.65 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.67 B7.9 B
   Acquisition by Jennifer Witz of 22 shares of Sirius XM subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Sirius XM Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sirius . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Sirius XM Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sirius XM Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Sirius Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables557 M599 M660 M712.11 M
Inventories11 M10 M11.5 M17.8 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Sirius XM in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now

Consumption
Consumption Theme
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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Is Sirius XM's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sirius XM. If investors know Sirius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sirius XM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.25) 
Market Capitalization
24.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.037
Return On Assets
0.13
The market value of Sirius XM Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sirius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sirius XM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sirius XM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sirius XM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sirius XM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sirius XM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Sirius XM value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sirius XM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.