Perficient Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PRFT
 Stock
  

USD 90.13  1.32  1.49%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Perficient is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Perficient buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PRFT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Perficient's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Perficient's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Perficient Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Perficient and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Perficient.

Execute Perficient Buy or Sell Advice

The Perficient recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Perficient. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Perficient or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Perficient's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PerficientBuy Perficient
Strong Sell

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Perficient has a Mean Deviation of 2.61, Standard Deviation of 3.52 and Variance of 12.38
Macroaxis provides advice on Perficient to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Perficient. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Perficient is not overpriced, please check all Perficient fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . Given that Perficient has a number of shares shorted of 1.53 M, we recommend you to check out Perficient market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Perficient Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Perficient generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Perficient has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketbeat.com: Perficient Releases Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By 0.14 EPS - MarketBeat

Perficient current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Perficient analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Perficient analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price128.71
Target Median Price124.00
Target High Price145.00
Recommendation Mean1.90
Number Of Analyst Opinions7
Target Low Price110.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Perficient Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Perficient's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Perficient's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Perficient stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Perficient price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Perficient returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Perficient stock.
Mean Return-0.15Value At Risk-5.15
Potential Upside4.77Standard Deviation3.52
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Perficient historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Perficient Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Perficient is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perficient backward and forwards among themselves. Perficient's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Perficient's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Geneva Capital Management LlcCommon Shares823.4 K75.5 M
Emerald Advisers LlcCommon Shares379.6 K34.8 M
Mountain Pacific Investment Advisers IncCommon Shares357.7 K32.8 M
Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers TrustCommon Shares350 K32.1 M
Wolverine Asset Management LlcDebt13.2 M24.2 M
Pembroke Management LtdCommon Shares240.5 K22.1 M
Mcrae Capital Management IncCommon Shares198.8 K18.2 M
Congress Asset Management CoCommon Shares159.9 K14.7 M
Note, although Perficient's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Perficient Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(17.27 M)1.92 M(32.05 M)(7.48 M)(23.84 M)(25.72 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(42.21 M)(31.29 M)(20.4 M)(98.61 M)(119.05 M)(122.18 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations55.22 M68.58 M77.97 M117.96 M84.92 M68.05 M

Perficient Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Perficient or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Perficient stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Perficient stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.13
β
Beta against DOW1.69
σ
Overall volatility
3.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Perficient Volatility Alert

Perficient exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.07 and kurtosis of 3.69. However, we advise investors to further study Perficient technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Perficient's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Perficient's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Perficient Implied Volatility

Perficient's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/PRFT/Perficient">Perficient's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perficient stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perficient's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/PRFT/Perficient">Perficient's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perficient stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perficient's options" href="/stock-options/PRFT/Perficient">Perficient's options are near their expiration.

Perficient Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Perficient's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Perficient's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Perficient and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Perficient or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Perficient's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perficient by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Perficient to competition
FundamentalsPerficientPeer Average
Return On Equity17.69 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset9.18 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin8.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin15.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding32.94 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.17 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions96.92 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.53 M4.71 M
Price to Earning53.60 X28.72 X
Price to Book6.73 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.59 X11.42 X
Revenue813.8 M9.43 B
Gross Profit292.21 M27.38 B
EBITDA151.84 M3.9 B
Net Income65.63 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents24.18 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt426.04 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations94.93 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.66 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.30 X4.89 X
Number of Employees6.08 K18.84 K
Beta1.47-0.15
Market Capitalization2.93 B19.03 B
Total Asset474.36 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings86.47 M9.33 B
Working Capital83.18 M1.48 B
Current Asset139.75 M9.34 B
   Sale by Ralph Derrickson of 5000 shares of Perficient [view details]

Perficient Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Perficient . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution295.27
Daily Balance Of Power0.614
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price89.43
Day Typical Price89.66
Market Facilitation Index2.0E-4
Price Action Indicator1.36

About Perficient Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Perficient? Buying financial instruments such as Perficient Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Perficient investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable23.08 M25.61 M26.07 M21.03 M
Receivables129.12 M133.09 M177.6 M191.62 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Perficient in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Utilities Thematic Idea Now

Utilities
Utilities Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please check Perficient Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Perficient information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Perficient's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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When running Perficient price analysis, check to measure Perficient's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Perficient is operating at the current time. Most of Perficient's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Perficient's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Perficient's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Perficient to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Perficient's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perficient. If investors know Perficient will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perficient listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.84
Market Capitalization
3.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.31
Return On Assets
0.0918
Return On Equity
0.18
The market value of Perficient is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perficient that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perficient's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perficient's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perficient's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perficient's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perficient's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Perficient value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perficient's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.