Philip Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PM
 Stock
  

USD 97.37  0.27  0.28%   

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Philip Morris International is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Philip Morris buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Philip Morris' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Philip Morris' buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Philip Morris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Philip and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Philip Morris International.

Execute Philip Morris Buy or Sell Advice

The Philip recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Philip Morris International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Philip Morris International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Philip Morris' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Philip MorrisBuy Philip Morris
Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Philip Morris International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.00006328), Jensen Alpha of (0.008487), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0034 and Treynor Ratio of (0.033102)
Macroaxis provides advice on Philip Morris International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Philip Morris Intern. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Philip Morris is not overpriced, please check all Philip Morris Intern fundamentals, including its debt to equity, total asset, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Philip Morris Intern has a price to earning of 17.21 X, we recommend you to check out Philip Morris Intern market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Philip Morris Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Philip Morris Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reports 28.05 B of total liabilities. Philip Morris Intern has a current ratio of 0.87, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Philip Morris until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Philip Morris' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Philip Morris Intern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Philip to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Philip Morris' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of July 2022 Philip Morris paid $ 1.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.gurufocus.com: SG Americas Securities, LLC Cu - GuruFocus.com

Philip Morris current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Philip analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Philip analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price109.17
Target Median Price110.00
Target High Price127.00
Recommendation Mean2.40
Number Of Analyst Opinions15
Target Low Price93.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Philip Morris Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Philip Morris' historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Philip Morris' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Philip Morris stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Philip Morris International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Philip Morris returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Philip Morris stock.
Mean Return-0.0037Value At Risk-3.14
Potential Upside2.50Standard Deviation1.70
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Philip Morris historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Philip Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Philip Morris is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Philip Morris International backward and forwards among themselves. Philip Morris' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Philip Morris' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Gardner Russo Quinn LlcCommon Shares6.9 M685.3 M
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings IncCommon Shares4.2 M412.6 M
Envestnet Asset Management IncCommon Shares3.1 M309.2 M
New York State Common Retirement FundCommon Shares2.9 M287.4 M
Abrdn PlcCommon Shares2.5 M247.3 M
Victory Capital Management IncCommon SharesM197.3 M
Fort Washington Investment Advisors IncCommon SharesM193.8 M
Note, although Philip Morris' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Philip Morris Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(2.77 B)(9.65 B)(8.06 B)(8.5 B)(11.98 B)(12.92 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(3.01 B)(998 M)(1.81 B)(1.15 B)(2.36 B)(2.54 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations8.91 B9.48 B10.09 B9.81 B11.97 B10.28 B

Philip Morris Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Philip Morris or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Philip Morris stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Philip stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0085
β
Beta against DOW0.41
σ
Overall volatility
1.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.0007

Philip Morris Volatility Alert

Philip Morris International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.03 and kurtosis of 1.87. However, we advise investors to further study Philip Morris International technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Philip Morris' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Philip Morris' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Philip Morris Implied Volatility

Philip Morris' implied volatility" href="/stock-options/PM/Philip-Morris-International">Philip Morris' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Philip Morris International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Philip Morris' implied volatility" href="/stock-options/PM/Philip-Morris-International">Philip Morris' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Philip Morris stock will not fluctuate a lot when Philip Morris' options" href="/stock-options/PM/Philip-Morris-International">Philip Morris' options are near their expiration.

Philip Morris Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Philip Morris' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Philip Morris' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Philip Morris and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Philip Morris or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Philip Morris' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Philip Morris by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Philip Morris to competition
FundamentalsPhilip MorrisPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0003 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset19.75 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin28.56 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin43.87 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation175.4 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.56 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.13 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions75.88 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted7.32 M4.71 M
Price to Earning17.21 X28.72 X
Price to Book(10.28) X9.51 X
Price to Sales4.84 X11.42 X
Revenue31.8 B9.43 B
Gross Profit21.38 B27.38 B
EBITDA13.95 B3.9 B
Net Income9.06 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents5.04 B2.7 B
Cash per Share3.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt28.05 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity(3.43) %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.89 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(6.77) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations12.54 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.37 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.74 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth7.75 X4.89 X
Number of Employees69.6 K18.84 K
Beta0.68-0.15
Market Capitalization153.83 B19.03 B
Total Asset33.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings23.82 B9.33 B
Working Capital418 M1.48 B
Current Asset15.8 B9.34 B
   Acquisition by Jun Makihara of 407 shares of Philip Morris subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Philip Morris Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Philip Morris International? Buying financial instruments such as Philip Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Philip Morris investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables3.72 B3.76 B3.94 B3.57 B
Inventories9.23 B9.59 B8.72 B8.33 B

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Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Intelligence Theme
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Please check Philip Morris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Philip Morris Intern information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Philip Morris' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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Is Philip Morris' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. If investors know Philip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Philip Morris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.029
Market Capitalization
151.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.031
Return On Assets
0.2
The market value of Philip Morris Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Philip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Philip Morris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Philip Morris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Philip Morris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Philip Morris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Philip Morris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Philip Morris value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.