Orica OTC Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OCLDY
 Stock
  

USD 10.61  0.22  2.03%   

Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Orica Ltd ADR is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Orica buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Orica positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Orica's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Orica's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Orica Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Orica and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Orica Ltd ADR.

Execute Orica Buy or Sell Advice

The Orica recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orica Ltd ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orica Ltd ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orica's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell OricaBuy Orica
Strong Sell

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Close to AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Orica Ltd ADR has a Mean Deviation of 1.56, Standard Deviation of 2.44 and Variance of 5.96
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Orica Ltd ADR and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Orica is not overpriced, please check all Orica Ltd ADR fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and beta . Given that Orica Ltd ADR has a price to sales of 0.76 X, we recommend you to check out Orica Ltd ADR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Orica Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Orica Ltd ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 5.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (262.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.13 B.

Orica Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Orica's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Orica's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orica stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orica Ltd ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orica returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orica stock.
Mean Return-0.18Value At Risk-3.84
Potential Upside3.54Standard Deviation2.44
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orica historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Orica Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Orica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orica Ltd ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Orica's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Orica's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Parametric Portfolio Associates LlcCommon Shares18.7 K198 K
Parametric Portfolio Associates LlcCommon Shares17.6 K205 K
Parametric Portfolio Associates LlcCommon Shares17.9 K198 K
Parametric Portfolio Associates LlcCommon Shares16.3 K188 K
Parametric Portfolio Associates LlcCommon Shares19.8 K187 K
Parametric Portfolio Associates LlcCommon Shares13.6 K210 K
Parametric Portfolio Associates LlcCommon Shares14 K217 K
Note, although Orica's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Orica Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orica or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orica stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orica stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.18
β
Beta against DOW0.0232
σ
Overall volatility
2.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.0014

Orica Volatility Alert

Orica Ltd ADR exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.11 and kurtosis of 3.25. However, we advise investors to further study Orica Ltd ADR technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orica's otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orica's otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Orica Implied Volatility

Orica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Orica Ltd ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Orica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Orica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Orica's options are near their expiration.

Orica Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Orica's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orica's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orica and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orica or determine the otc stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orica's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orica by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Orica to competition
FundamentalsOricaPeer Average
Return On Equity(9.11) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset3.62 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(5.74) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin7.52 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding408.83 M571.82 M
Price to Earning67.05 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.66 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.76 X11.42 X
Revenue5.88 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.13 B27.38 B
EBITDA797 M3.9 B
Net Income(262.1 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents494.1 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.21 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.37 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.89 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations322.8 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.57) X3.12 X
Number of Employees13 K18.84 K
Beta0.52-0.15
Market Capitalization4.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.6 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.25 B9.33 B
Working Capital(13 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.58 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.59 B7.9 B
Z Score0.68.72
Five Year Return2.44 %
Last Dividend Paid0.21

Orica Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orica . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Daily Balance Of Power(9,223,372,036,855)
Rate Of Daily Change0.98
Day Median Price10.61
Day Typical Price10.61
Price Action Indicator(0.11)

About Orica Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Orica Ltd ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Orica OTC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Orica investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Orica in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Moderate Thematic Idea Now

Moderate
Moderate Theme
Funds or Etfs that combine stocks, bonds and money market instruments to get modest capital appreciation over time. The Moderate theme has 40 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Moderate Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Moderate
Please check Orica Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Orica Ltd ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Orica's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Orica OTC Stock analysis

When running Orica Ltd ADR price analysis, check to measure Orica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orica is operating at the current time. Most of Orica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Orica's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orica. If investors know Orica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.56
Market Capitalization
4.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.26
Return On Assets
0.0363
Return On Equity
-0.0911
The market value of Orica Ltd ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Orica value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.