Orange Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OBT
 Stock
  

USD 37.99  0.02  0.05%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Orange County Bancor is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Orange County buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OBT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Orange County's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Orange County's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Orange County Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Orange and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Orange County Bancor.

Execute Orange County Buy or Sell Advice

The Orange recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orange County Bancor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orange County Bancor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orange County's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Orange CountyBuy Orange County
Sell

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Orange County Bancor has a Mean Deviation of 1.91, Standard Deviation of 2.9 and Variance of 8.43
Orange County advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Orange County is not overpriced, please check all Orange County Bancor fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, beta, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that Orange County Bancor has a price to earning of 8.57 X, we recommend you to check out Orange County Bancor market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Orange County Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Orange County Bancor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orange County Bancor has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Keane Kevin J of tradable shares of Orange County subject to Rule 16b-3

Orange County current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Orange analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Orange analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price48.00
Target Median Price48.00
Target High Price49.00
Recommendation Mean1.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions2
Target Low Price47.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Orange County Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Orange County's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Orange County's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orange County stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orange County Bancor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orange County returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orange County stock.
Mean Return-0.04Value At Risk-4.08
Potential Upside5.50Standard Deviation2.90
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orange County historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Orange Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Orange County is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orange County Bancor backward and forwards among themselves. Orange County's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Orange County's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Hudson Valley Investment Advisors IncCommon Shares631.5 K25.3 M
Banc Funds Co LlcCommon Shares478.2 K19.1 M
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares373.3 K14.9 M
Alliancebernstein LpCommon Shares231 K9.2 M
M3f IncCommon Shares178.6 K7.1 M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Company TheCommon Shares131.4 K5.3 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares93.1 K3.7 M
Note, although Orange County's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Orange County Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orange County or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orange County stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orange stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
3.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Orange County Volatility Alert

Orange County Bancor exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.5 and kurtosis of 2.68. However, we advise investors to further study Orange County Bancor technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orange County's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orange County's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Orange County Implied Volatility

Orange County's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Orange County Bancor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Orange County's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Orange County stock will not fluctuate a lot when Orange County's options are near their expiration.

Orange County Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Orange County's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orange County's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orange County and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orange County or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orange County's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orange County by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Orange County to competition
FundamentalsOrange CountyPeer Average
Return On Equity14.41 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset1.03 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin29.99 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin39.63 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(111.69 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.64 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders16.41 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions40.68 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted30.51 K4.71 M
Price to Earning8.57 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.10 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.75 X11.42 X
Revenue71.99 M9.43 B
Gross Profit70.14 M27.38 B
EBITDA(1.23 M)3.9 B
Net Income21.59 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents356.33 M2.7 B
Cash per Share63.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt22.39 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.42 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share32.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations17.32 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.95 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.10 X3.12 X
Number of Employees8718.84 K
Beta0.44-0.15
Market Capitalization198.21 M19.03 B
Total Asset41.21 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings2 K9.33 B
Working Capital3.74 M1.48 B
Current Asset14.9 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities11.16 M7.9 B
   Orange County exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Orange County Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orange . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution120.26
Daily Balance Of Power0.0067
Rate Of Daily Change1.0
Day Median Price36.5
Day Typical Price36.99
Market Facilitation Index0.002
Price Action Indicator1.51

About Orange County Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Orange County Bancor? Buying financial instruments such as Orange Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Orange County investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Orange County in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Most Shorted Equities
Most Shorted Equities Theme
Dynamically calculated list of top equities currently trending upward via a buy-out by investors. The Most Shorted Equities theme has 78 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Most Shorted Equities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please check Orange County Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Orange County Bancor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Orange County's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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When running Orange County Bancor price analysis, check to measure Orange County's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orange County is operating at the current time. Most of Orange County's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orange County's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orange County's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orange County to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Orange County's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orange County. If investors know Orange will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orange County listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.16
Market Capitalization
213.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0103
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Orange County Bancor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orange that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orange County's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orange County's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orange County's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orange County's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orange County's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Orange County value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orange County's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.