Obseva Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OBSV
 Stock
  

USD 1.76  0.15  9.32%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Obseva Sa is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Obseva Sa buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OBSV positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Obseva Sa's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Obseva Sa's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Obseva Sa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Obseva and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Obseva Sa.

Execute Obseva Sa Buy or Sell Advice

The Obseva recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Obseva Sa. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Obseva Sa or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Obseva Sa's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Obseva SaBuy Obseva Sa
Strong Hold

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Obseva Sa has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0975, Jensen Alpha of 0.4835, Total Risk Alpha of 0.9586, Sortino Ratio of 0.0937 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3128
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Obseva Sa. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Obseva Sa is not overpriced, please check all Obseva Sa fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and beta . Please also confirm Obseva Sa number of shares shorted to check out your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Obseva Sa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Obseva Sa has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Obseva Sa may become a speculative penny stock
Obseva Sa has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17 K.
Obseva Sa currently holds about 54.73 M in cash with (70.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67.
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: ObsEva SA Shares Jump 8.1 percent After U.K. Regulators Grant Linzagolix Marketing Authorization - MarketWatch

Obseva Sa current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Obseva analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Obseva analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price10.38
Target Median Price11.50
Target High Price12.00
Recommendation Mean1.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions4
Target Low Price6.50
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Obseva Sa Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Obseva Sa's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Obseva Sa's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Obseva Sa stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Obseva Sa price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Obseva Sa returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Obseva Sa stock.
Mean Return0.31Value At Risk-6.35
Potential Upside8.82Standard Deviation4.85
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Obseva Sa historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Obseva Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Obseva Sa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Obseva Sa backward and forwards among themselves. Obseva Sa's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Obseva Sa's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Sofinnova Investments IncCommon Shares4.7 M7.2 M
Nea Management Company LlcCommon Shares4.6 M6.9 M
Medicxi Ventures Management Jersey LtdCommon Shares1.6 M2.4 M
Credit Suisse Ag 1Common Shares1.3 MM
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares668.5 KM
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares484.4 K731 K
Blackrock IncCommon Shares426 K643 K
Group One Trading LpCall Options133.1 K201 K
Note, although Obseva Sa's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Obseva Sa Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Obseva Sa or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Obseva Sa stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Obseva stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.48
β
Beta against DOW0.96
σ
Overall volatility
5.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Obseva Sa Volatility Alert

Obseva Sa exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Obseva Sa individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about Obseva Sa future systematic risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Obseva Sa's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Obseva Sa's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Obseva Sa Implied Volatility

Obseva Sa's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Obseva Sa stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Obseva Sa's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Obseva Sa stock will not fluctuate a lot when Obseva Sa's options are near their expiration.

Obseva Sa Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Obseva Sa's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Obseva Sa's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Obseva Sa and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Obseva Sa or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Obseva Sa's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Obseva Sa by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Obseva Sa to competition
FundamentalsObseva SaPeer Average
Return On Equity(286.91) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(44.12) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(290.24) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(271.04) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation95.12 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding77.97 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders5.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions23.89 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.85 M4.71 M
Price to Earning(5.09) X28.72 X
Price to Book2.97 X9.51 X
Price to Sales6.51 X11.42 X
Revenue20.11 M9.43 B
Gross Profit17 K27.38 B
EBITDA(54.28 M)3.9 B
Net Income(58.38 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents54.73 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.67 X5.01 X
Total Debt26.66 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.82 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.70 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.57 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(70.3 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.46 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.82) X3.12 X
Number of Employees4818.84 K
Beta0.73-0.15
Market Capitalization130.99 M19.03 B
Total Asset10.92 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(305.24 M)9.33 B
Working Capital3.02 M1.48 B
Current Asset5.34 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.32 M7.9 B

Obseva Sa Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Obseva . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution16374.06
Daily Balance Of Power0.9375
Rate Of Daily Change1.09
Day Median Price1.69
Day Typical Price1.71
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator0.14

About Obseva Sa Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Obseva Sa? Buying financial instruments such as Obseva Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Obseva Sa investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Obseva Sa in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Trading Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Trading theme has 61 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Trading Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please check Obseva Sa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Obseva Sa information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Obseva Sa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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Is Obseva Sa's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Obseva Sa. If investors know Obseva will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Obseva Sa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
137.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.5
Return On Assets
-0.31
Return On Equity
-1.3
The market value of Obseva Sa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Obseva that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Obseva Sa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Obseva Sa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Obseva Sa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Obseva Sa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Obseva Sa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Obseva Sa value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Obseva Sa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.