Northwest Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NWBI
 Stock
  

USD 12.88  0.38  3.04%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northwest Bancshares is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Northwest Bancshares buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NWBI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Northwest Bancshares' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Northwest Bancshares' buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Northwest Bancshares Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northwest and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Northwest Bancshares.

Execute Northwest Bancshares Buy or Sell Advice

The Northwest recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northwest Bancshares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northwest Bancshares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northwest Bancshares' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Northwest BancsharesBuy Northwest Bancshares
Strong Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Northwest Bancshares has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), Jensen Alpha of (0.00058135), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0545 and Treynor Ratio of (0.15)
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Northwest Bancshares and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Northwest Bancshares is not overpriced, please verify all Northwest Bancshares fundamentals, including its gross profit, cash flow from operations, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Northwest Bancshares has a price to earning of 11.60 X, we recommend you to check Northwest Bancshares market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Northwest Bancshares Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Northwest Bancshares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Northwest Bancshares has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.defenseworld.net: Insider Selling First Financial Northwest, Inc. CFO Sells 2481 Shares of Stock - Defense World

Northwest Bancshares current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Northwest analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Northwest analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price13.20
Target Median Price13.50
Target High Price14.00
Recommendation Mean3.10
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price12.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Northwest Bancshares Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Northwest Bancshares' historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Northwest Bancshares' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northwest Bancshares stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northwest Bancshares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northwest Bancshares returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northwest Bancshares stock.
Mean Return-0.08Value At Risk-2.34
Potential Upside2.42Standard Deviation1.33
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northwest Bancshares historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Northwest Bancshares Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(15.23 M)(3.72 M)(5.23 M)(10.9 M)(12.53 M)(13.52 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion15.42 M14.29 M8.12 M3.82 M3.44 M3.53 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents222.46 M(312.16 M)(8.92 M)(7.94 M)(9.13 M)(9.86 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares9.1 M7 M8.19 M9.73 M11.19 M12.07 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(856.77 M)(30.71 M)128.62 M13.19 M11.87 M12.8 M
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(60.16 M)(65.21 M)(69.92 M)(76.17 M)(68.56 M)(73.97 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(359.92 M)134.08 M165.19 M1.1 B570.49 M615.53 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(108.3 M)(281.91 M)(300.59 M)(560.58 M)(232.97 M)(239.1 M)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals61.79 M(105.19 M)(280.02 M)(264.16 M)(303.79 M)(311.78 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations156.06 M138.91 M127.46 M140.44 M205.46 M162.74 M
Share Based Compensation10.92 M4.89 M7.02 M6.84 M7.87 M7.6 M

Northwest Bancshares Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northwest Bancshares or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northwest Bancshares stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northwest stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0006
β
Beta against DOW0.57
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.0482

Northwest Bancshares Volatility Alert

Northwest Bancshares exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.18 and kurtosis of 0.61. However, we advise investors to further study Northwest Bancshares technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northwest Bancshares' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northwest Bancshares' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Northwest Bancshares Implied Volatility

Northwest Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northwest Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northwest Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northwest Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northwest Bancshares' options are near their expiration.

Northwest Bancshares Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Northwest Bancshares' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northwest Bancshares' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northwest Bancshares and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northwest Bancshares or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northwest Bancshares' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northwest Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Northwest Bancshares to competition
FundamentalsNorthwest BancsharesPeer Average
Return On Equity9.29 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.99 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin27.08 %(1.27) %
Current Valuation804.39 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding126.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders5.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions65.33 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted6.44 M4.71 M
Price to Earning11.60 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.07 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.10 X11.42 X
Revenue525.85 M9.43 B
Gross Profit546.03 M27.38 B
EBITDA81.85 M3.9 B
Net Income141.19 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.19 B2.7 B
Cash per Share9.36 X5.01 X
Total Debt397.67 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity6.70 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share12.03 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations114.98 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.81 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.11 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.90 X4.89 X
Number of Employees2.27 K18.84 K
Beta0.54-0.15
Market Capitalization1.63 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.95 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings611.63 M9.33 B
Z Score2.48.72
Five Year Return5.02 %
Last Dividend Paid0.2
   Sale by Kane Kyle P of 179 shares of Northwest Bancshares [view details]

Northwest Bancshares Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northwest . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution86490.26
Daily Balance Of Power0.8636
Rate Of Daily Change1.03
Day Median Price12.72
Day Typical Price12.77
Price Action Indicator0.35

About Northwest Bancshares Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Northwest Bancshares? Buying financial instruments such as Northwest Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Northwest Bancshares investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents60.85 M736.28 M1.28 B1.38 B
Total Assets10.49 B13.81 B14.5 B11.7 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Northwest Bancshares in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Russia On Wall Street Theme
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Additionally, see Northwest Bancshares Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Northwest Bancshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Northwest Bancshares' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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Is Northwest Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northwest Bancshares. If investors know Northwest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northwest Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.31
Market Capitalization
1.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.15
Return On Assets
0.0099
Return On Equity
0.0929
The market value of Northwest Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northwest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northwest Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northwest Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northwest Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northwest Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northwest Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Northwest Bancshares value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northwest Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.