Netflix Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation


USD 242.70  1.41  0.58%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Netflix is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Netflix buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Netflix positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Netflix's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
The advice is provided from Netflix's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Netflix Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Netflix and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Netflix.

Execute Netflix Buy or Sell Advice

The Netflix recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Netflix. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Netflix or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Netflix's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NetflixBuy Netflix
Strong Buy


Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation


Odds of Distress


Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus


Financial Strenth (F Score)


Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Netflix has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1849, Jensen Alpha of 0.478, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4632, Sortino Ratio of 0.1464 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2508
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Netflix to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Netflix. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Netflix is not overpriced, please verify all Netflix fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and number of employees . Given that Netflix has a number of shares shorted of 13.21 M, we recommend you to check Netflix market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Netflix Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Netflix has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from Netflix Stock Slump Despite Recent Losses, This Streamer Still Dominates - The Motley Fool

Netflix current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Netflix analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Netflix analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price254.49
Target Median Price230.00
Target High Price735.00
Recommendation Mean2.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions39
Target Low Price157.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Netflix Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Netflix's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Netflix's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Netflix stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Netflix price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Netflix returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Netflix stock.
Mean Return0.52Value At Risk-5.16
Potential Upside7.35Standard Deviation3.72
   Return Density   
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Netflix historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Netflix Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Netflix is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Netflix backward and forwards among themselves. Netflix's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Netflix's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Baillie Gifford CoCommon Shares7.5 M1.3 B
Fisher Asset Management LlcCommon Shares6.5 M1.1 B
Loomis Sayles Co L PCommon Shares5.6 M971.6 M
Polen Capital Management LlcCommon Shares4.8 M833 M
Imcchicago LlcCall OptionsM352 M
Swiss National BankCommon Shares1.9 M336.8 M
Principal Financial Group IncCommon Shares1.6 M280 M
Imcchicago LlcPut Options1.5 M268.7 M
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings IncCommon Shares1.5 M265 M
Note, although Netflix's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Netflix Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(173.3 M)(173.95 M)(253.03 M)(497.92 M)(448.13 M)(459.92 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion6.27 B7.62 B9.32 B10.92 B12.56 B13.55 B
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents1.36 B989.25 M1.23 B3.2 B3.67 B3.96 B
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares88.38 M124.5 M72.49 M235.41 M270.72 M292.09 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities2.99 B3.93 B4.43 B1 B1.15 B1.43 B
Net Cash Flow from Financing3.08 B4.05 B4.51 B1.24 B(1.15 B)(1.18 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing34.33 M(339.12 M)(387.06 M)(505.35 M)(1.34 B)(1.38 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations(1.79 B)(2.68 B)(2.89 B)2.43 B392.61 M423.61 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash29.85 M(39.68 M)469 K36.05 M41.46 M44.73 M
Share Based Compensation182.21 M320.66 M405.38 M415.18 M477.46 M515.15 M

Netflix Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Netflix or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Netflix stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Netflix stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW2.04
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.13

Netflix Volatility Alert

Netflix shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Netflix further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Netflix future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Netflix's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Netflix's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Netflix Implied Volatility

Netflix's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/NFLX/Netflix">Netflix's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Netflix stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Netflix's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/NFLX/Netflix">Netflix's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Netflix stock will not fluctuate a lot when Netflix's options" href="/stock-options/NFLX/Netflix">Netflix's options are near their expiration.

Netflix Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Netflix's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Netflix's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Netflix and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Netflix or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Netflix's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Netflix by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Netflix to competition
FundamentalsNetflixPeer Average
Return On Equity30.93 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset8.50 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin16.42 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin20.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation111.1 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding442.95 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions80.44 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted13.21 M4.71 M
Price to Earning22.01 X28.72 X
Price to Book7.06 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.48 X11.42 X
Revenue31.03 B9.43 B
Gross Profit12.37 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.23 B3.9 B
Net Income5.09 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents5.82 B2.7 B
Cash per Share13.09 X5.01 X
Total Debt16.91 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.89 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.04 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share34.57 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations704.69 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.46 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share11.09 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth2.40 X4.89 X
Number of Employees11.3 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization108.13 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.59 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.19 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.13 B1.48 B
Current Asset5.72 B9.34 B
   Acquisition by Jay Hoag of 277 shares of Netflix subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Netflix Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Netflix . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution350672.0
Daily Balance Of Power(0.14)
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price246.59
Day Typical Price245.29
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(4.60)

About Netflix Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Netflix? Buying financial instruments such as Netflix Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Netflix investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable656.18 M837.48 M903.6 M
Receivables610.82 M804.32 M885.37 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Netflix in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Impulse Thematic Idea Now

Impulse Theme
Large corporations operating in retail, broadcasting, energy, airlines and telecom sectors. The Impulse theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Impulse Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Additionally, see Netflix Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Netflix information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Netflix's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for Netflix Stock analysis

When running Netflix price analysis, check to measure Netflix's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Netflix is operating at the current time. Most of Netflix's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Netflix's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Netflix's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Netflix to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Is Netflix's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Netflix. If investors know Netflix will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Netflix listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
103.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Netflix is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Netflix that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Netflix's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Netflix's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Netflix's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Netflix's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Netflix's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Netflix value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Netflix's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.