National Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NCMI
 Stock
  

USD 0.46  0.02  4.55%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding National Cinemedia is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides National Cinemedia buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NCMI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of National Cinemedia's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from National Cinemedia's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see National Cinemedia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards National Cinemedia.

Execute National Cinemedia Buy or Sell Advice

The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National Cinemedia. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National Cinemedia or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National Cinemedia's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell National CinemediaBuy National Cinemedia
Strong Sell

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon National Cinemedia has a Mean Deviation of 5.38, Standard Deviation of 7.52 and Variance of 56.49
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on National Cinemedia. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure National Cinemedia is not overpriced, please verify all National Cinemedia fundamentals, including its current ratio, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share . As National Cinemedia appears to be a penny stock we also strongly suggest to check its price to earning numbers.

National Cinemedia Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

National Cinemedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
National Cinemedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance
National Cinemedia has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company currently holds 1.14 B in liabilities. National Cinemedia has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist National Cinemedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National Cinemedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National Cinemedia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National Cinemedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 198.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.7 M.
National Cinemedia currently holds about 73.4 M in cash with (74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hot Stocks Movie theater chains rally YMM jumps on earnings PAGS falls - Seeking Alpha

National Cinemedia current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price2.67
Target Median Price3.50
Target High Price4.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price0.50
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

National Cinemedia Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of National Cinemedia's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National Cinemedia's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National Cinemedia stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National Cinemedia price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National Cinemedia returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National Cinemedia.
Mean Return-1.31Value At Risk-13.85
Potential Upside8.62Standard Deviation7.52
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National Cinemedia historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

National Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as National Cinemedia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Cinemedia backward and forwards among themselves. National Cinemedia's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase National Cinemedia's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares6.7 K18 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares6.7 K20 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares6.7 K22 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares7.9 K58 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares7.9 K65 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares7.9 K52 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares6.7 K48 K
Note, although National Cinemedia's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

National Cinemedia Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Cinemedia or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Cinemedia's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-1.35
β
Beta against DOW1.45
σ
Overall volatility
7.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

National Cinemedia Volatility Alert

National Cinemedia is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize National Cinemedia independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about National Cinemedia volatility. National Cinemedia is a potential penny stock. Although National Cinemedia may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in National Cinemedia. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on National instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

National Cinemedia Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing National Cinemedia's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National Cinemedia's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National Cinemedia and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National Cinemedia or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National Cinemedia's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Cinemedia by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare National Cinemedia to competition
FundamentalsNational CinemediaPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0291) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(1.61) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(16.40) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(9.94) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.23 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding80.55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders10.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions34.36 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.95 M4.71 M
Price to Earning13.96 X28.72 X
Price to Book(2.37) X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.19 X11.42 X
Revenue198.2 M9.43 B
Gross Profit37.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA(19.7 M)3.9 B
Net Income(32.5 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents73.4 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.90 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.14 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity(3.06) %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(6.06) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(74 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.85 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.84) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.29 X4.89 X
Number of Employees34618.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Market Capitalization37.45 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.07 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(191 M)9.33 B
Working Capital78.9 M1.48 B
Current Asset203.6 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by Kurt Hall of 12521 shares of National Cinemedia subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About National Cinemedia Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell National Cinemedia? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable16.3 M14.6 M16.79 M17.23 M
Receivables53 M16.2 M18.63 M19.12 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having National Cinemedia in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Tech Growth Thematic Idea Now

Tech Growth
Tech Growth Theme
Instruments that are typically traded at high earnings multiples compared to their competitors and other sectors and have been known to drive market cycles frequently. The Tech Growth theme has 64 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tech Growth Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Additionally, see National Cinemedia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running National Cinemedia price analysis, check to measure National Cinemedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Cinemedia is operating at the current time. Most of National Cinemedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Cinemedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Cinemedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Cinemedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Is National Cinemedia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Cinemedia. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Cinemedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.15) 
Market Capitalization
37.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.72
Return On Assets
(0.0053) 
The market value of National Cinemedia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Cinemedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Cinemedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Cinemedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Cinemedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Cinemedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine National Cinemedia value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Cinemedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.