Norwegian Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NCLH
 Stock
  

USD 11.08  0.49  4.24%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Norwegian Cruise Ord is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Norwegian Cruise buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NCLH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Norwegian Cruise's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Norwegian Cruise's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Norwegian Cruise Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Norwegian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Norwegian Cruise Ord.

Execute Norwegian Cruise Buy or Sell Advice

The Norwegian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Norwegian Cruise Ord. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Norwegian Cruise Ord or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Norwegian Cruise's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Norwegian CruiseBuy Norwegian Cruise
Strong Sell

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Norwegian Cruise Ord has a Mean Deviation of 3.94, Standard Deviation of 5.44 and Variance of 29.64
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Norwegian Cruise Ord and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Norwegian Cruise Ord is not overpriced, please verify all Norwegian Cruise Ord fundamentals, including its book value per share, total asset, and the relationship between the cash per share and price to earnings to growth . Given that Norwegian Cruise Ord has a price to earning of 12.65 X, we recommend you to check Norwegian Cruise market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Norwegian Cruise Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Norwegian Cruise Ord generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Norwegian Cruise Ord has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Norwegian Cruise Ord has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 14.28 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 9.47, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Norwegian Cruise Ord has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Norwegian Cruise until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Norwegian Cruise's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Norwegian Cruise Ord sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Norwegian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Norwegian Cruise's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.12 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (960.05 M).
Norwegian Cruise Ord currently holds about 2.14 B in cash with (1.99 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.1.
Roughly 56.0% of Norwegian Cruise shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thepublicsradio.org: US stocks slip, on track for 4th monthly loss this year - The Publics Radio

Norwegian Cruise current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Norwegian analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Norwegian analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price22.27
Target Median Price20.00
Target High Price35.00
Recommendation Mean2.40
Number Of Analyst Opinions15
Target Low Price14.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Norwegian Cruise Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Norwegian Cruise's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Norwegian Cruise stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Norwegian Cruise Ord price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Norwegian Cruise returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Norwegian Cruise stock.
Mean Return-0.67Value At Risk-11.51
Potential Upside9.82Standard Deviation5.44
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Norwegian Cruise historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Norwegian Cruise Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Norwegian Cruise or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Norwegian Cruise stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Norwegian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.23
β
Beta against DOW2.52
σ
Overall volatility
5.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Norwegian Cruise Volatility Alert

Norwegian Cruise Ord exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.17 and kurtosis of 0.97. However, we advise investors to further study Norwegian Cruise Ord technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Norwegian Cruise's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Norwegian Cruise's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Norwegian Cruise Implied Volatility

Norwegian Cruise's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Norwegian Cruise Ord stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Norwegian Cruise's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Norwegian Cruise stock will not fluctuate a lot when Norwegian Cruise's options are near their expiration.

Norwegian Cruise Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Norwegian Cruise's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Norwegian Cruise's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Norwegian Cruise and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Norwegian Cruise or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Norwegian Cruise's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Norwegian Cruise by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Norwegian Cruise to competition
FundamentalsNorwegian CruisePeer Average
Return On Equity(139.99) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(8.73) %(0.14) %
Operating Margin(162.83) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation16.93 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding419.1 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.46 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions56.35 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted41.32 M4.71 M
Price to Earning12.65 X28.72 X
Price to Book3.68 X9.51 X
Price to Sales4.75 X11.42 X
Revenue1.17 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(960.05 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(1.9 B)3.9 B
Net Income(4.12 B)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents2.14 B2.7 B
Cash per Share5.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.28 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity9.47 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.60 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(1.99 B)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.79 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(10.63) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.22 X4.89 X
Number of Employees34.7 K18.84 K
Beta2.48-0.15
Market Capitalization5.54 B19.03 B
Total Asset12.26 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.13 B9.33 B
Working Capital(2.03 B)1.48 B
Current Asset340.41 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.37 B7.9 B
   Purchase by Russell Galbut of 50000 shares of Norwegian Cruise [view details]

Norwegian Cruise Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Norwegian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution2 M
Daily Balance Of Power(0.60)
Rate Of Daily Change0.96
Day Median Price10.91
Day Typical Price10.96
Price Action Indicator(0.07)

About Norwegian Cruise Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Norwegian Cruise Ord? Buying financial instruments such as Norwegian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Norwegian Cruise investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Norwegian Cruise in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Rentals Thematic Idea Now

Rentals
Rentals Theme
Companies providing rental and leasing services to public and business. The Rentals theme has 1 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Rentals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additionally, see Norwegian Cruise Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Norwegian Cruise Ord information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Norwegian Cruise's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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When running Norwegian Cruise Ord price analysis, check to measure Norwegian Cruise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norwegian Cruise is operating at the current time. Most of Norwegian Cruise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norwegian Cruise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norwegian Cruise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Norwegian Cruise's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norwegian Cruise. If investors know Norwegian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norwegian Cruise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Norwegian Cruise Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norwegian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norwegian Cruise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norwegian Cruise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norwegian Cruise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norwegian Cruise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norwegian Cruise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Norwegian Cruise value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norwegian Cruise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.