Mogu Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MOGU -  USA Stock  

USD 0.29  0.02  6.45%

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mogu Inc ADR is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Mogu Inc buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Mogu Inc positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mogu Inc's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Mogu Inc Advice 

 
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The advice is provided from Mogu Inc's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Mogu Inc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mogu Inc and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Mogu Inc ADR.

Execute Mogu Inc Buy or Sell Advice

The Mogu Inc recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mogu Inc ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mogu Inc ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mogu Inc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mogu IncBuy Mogu Inc
Sell

Volatility

Abnormally volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mogu Inc ADR has a Mean Deviation of 4.53, Standard Deviation of 5.64 and Variance of 31.83
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Mogu Inc ADR. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Mogu Inc ADR is not overpriced, please verify all Mogu Inc ADR fundamentals, including its price to earning, current ratio, working capital, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and number of employees . As Mogu Inc ADR appears to be a penny stock we also strongly suggest to check its price to earning numbers.

Mogu Inc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mogu Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mogu Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mogu Inc ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mogu Inc ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 406.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (557.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 299.28 M.
Mogu Inc ADR currently holds about 615.5 M in cash with (111.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Mogu Inc ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: Does Overstock.com Inc Have What it Takes to be in Your Portfolio Thursday - InvestorsObserver

Mogu Inc current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Mogu Inc analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Mogu Inc analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price2.80
Target Median Price2.80
Target High Price3.20
Recommendation Mean1.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions2
Target Low Price2.40
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Mogu Inc Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mogu Inc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Mogu Inc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mogu Inc stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mogu Inc ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mogu Inc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mogu Inc stock.
Mean Return-1Value At Risk-8.11
Potential Upside8.11Standard Deviation5.64
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mogu Inc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mogu Inc Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure32.17 M(6 M)(8.38 M)(150.73 M)(135.66 M)(139.23 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion446.4 M206.38 M338.47 M351.13 M316.02 M324.54 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(46.1 M)52.32 M(420.34 M)(314.49 M)(361.66 M)(390.22 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares7.14 M410.94 M(28.46 M)(119.25 M)(107.32 M)(110.15 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing7.14 M414.87 M(29.33 M)(119.25 M)(107.32 M)(110.15 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing340.46 M(82.84 M)(113.15 M)(96.66 M)(111.16 M)(119.94 M)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals315.45 M(65.7 M)(52.33 M)67.17 M77.25 M83.35 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(314.86 M)(325.81 M)(311.79 M)(77.93 M)(89.62 M)(96.7 M)
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(78.83 M)46.09 M33.93 M(20.65 M)(18.58 M)(19.07 M)
Share Based Compensation16.84 M103.07 M32.19 M26.3 M30.24 M38.97 M

Mogu Inc Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mogu Inc or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mogu Inc stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mogu Inc stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.2
β
Beta against DOW2.87
σ
Overall volatility
5.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Mogu Inc Volatility Alert

Mogu Inc ADR exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.68 and kurtosis of -0.45. However, we advise investors to further study Mogu Inc ADR technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Mogu Inc ADR is a potential penny stock. Although Mogu Inc may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Mogu Inc ADR. We encourage investors to look for the signals such us email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Mogu Inc instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of an artificial hype usually unable to maintain its increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Mogu Inc Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mogu Inc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mogu Inc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mogu Inc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mogu Inc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mogu Inc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mogu Inc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mogu Inc to competition
FundamentalsMogu IncPeer Average
Return On Equity(40.96) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(17.18) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(136.96) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(119.00) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(530.29 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding100.02 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Institutions26.28 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted119.89 K4.71 M
Price to Earning(3.70) X28.72 X
Price to Book0.02 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.08 X11.42 X
Revenue406.88 M9.43 B
Gross Profit299.28 M27.38 B
EBITDA(119.09 M)3.9 B
Net Income(557.25 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents615.5 M2.7 B
Cash per Share6.11 X5.01 X
Debt to Equity(0.38) %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.19 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share14.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(111.48 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.69 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(3.12) X3.12 X
Number of Employees60518.84 K
Beta0.79-0.15
Market Capitalization34.46 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(5.27 B)9.33 B
Working Capital1.17 B1.48 B
Current Asset2.04 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities875.9 M7.9 B
Z Score-1.48.72

Mogu Inc Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mogu Inc . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution8467.62
Daily Balance Of Power(0.50)
Rate Of Daily Change0.94
Day Median Price0.3
Day Typical Price0.3
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(0.02)

About Mogu Inc Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mogu Inc ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Mogu Inc Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Mogu Inc investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets1.31 B987.07 M888.37 M1.16 B
Total Assets2.44 B1.84 B1.66 B2.32 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mogu Inc in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Obamacare Repeal Theme
Healthcare and drug manufacturing companies that will most likely be affected by the final stages of Obamacare repeal. Obamacare Repeal theme has 54 constituents.
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Additionally, see Mogu Inc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Mogu Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mogu Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Mogu Inc Stock analysis

When running Mogu Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Mogu Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mogu Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Mogu Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mogu Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mogu Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mogu Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mogu Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mogu Inc. If investors know Mogu Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mogu Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mogu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mogu Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mogu Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mogu Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mogu Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mogu Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mogu Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mogu Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mogu Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.