Moog Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MOG-A
 Stock
  

USD 70.80  0.45  0.63%   

Assuming the 90 days horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Moog Inc is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Moog buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Moog positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Moog's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Moog's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Moog Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Moog and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Moog Inc.

Execute Moog Buy or Sell Advice

The Moog recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Moog Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Moog Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Moog's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MoogBuy Moog
Sell

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Not Available
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Moog Inc has a Mean Deviation of 1.3, Standard Deviation of 1.87 and Variance of 3.51
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Moog Inc that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Moog. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Moog Inc is not overpriced, please verify all Moog Inc fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to earning, price to sales, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and price to book . Given that Moog Inc has a price to earning of 18.18 X, we recommend you to check Moog market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Moog Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Moog Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 30th of August 2022 Moog paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Moog current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Moog analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Moog analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price92.50
Target Median Price90.00
Target High Price107.00
Recommendation Mean2.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions4
Target Low Price83.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Moog Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Moog's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Moog's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Moog stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Moog Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Moog returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Moog.
Mean Return-0.11Value At Risk-2.52
Potential Upside2.47Standard Deviation1.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Moog historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Moog Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Moog or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Moog's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Moog stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0036
β
Beta against DOW1.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Moog Volatility Alert

Moog Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.61 and kurtosis of 7.0. However, we advise investors to further study Moog Inc technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Moog's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Moog's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Moog Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Moog's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Moog's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Moog and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Moog or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Moog's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Moog by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Moog to competition
FundamentalsMoogPeer Average
Return On Equity11.46 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset4.55 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin5.36 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin11.29 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding29.54 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions100.63 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted734.26 K4.71 M
Price to Earning18.18 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.79 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.84 X11.42 X
Revenue2.99 B9.43 B
Gross Profit775.72 M27.38 B
EBITDA337.68 M3.9 B
Net Income160.33 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents93.91 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.94 X5.01 X
Total Debt962.05 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.67 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share41.65 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations246.91 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.82 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.12) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.99 X4.89 X
Number of Employees14 K18.84 K
Beta1.28-0.15
Market Capitalization2.51 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.04 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.71 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.03 B1.48 B
Current Asset1.62 B9.34 B

About Moog Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Moog Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Moog Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Moog in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Tech Funds
Tech Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in companies involved in research, development, testing, or distribution of technologically based goods and services. The Tech Funds theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tech Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additionally, see Moog Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Moog's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Moog value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moog's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.