Mediaalpha Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MAX
 Stock
  

USD 12.04  1.20  11.07%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mediaalpha Inc Cl is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Mediaalpha Inc buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MAX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mediaalpha Inc's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Mediaalpha Inc's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Mediaalpha Inc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mediaalpha and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Mediaalpha Inc Cl.

Execute Mediaalpha Inc Buy or Sell Advice

The Mediaalpha recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mediaalpha Inc Cl. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mediaalpha Inc Cl or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mediaalpha Inc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mediaalpha IncBuy Mediaalpha Inc
Strong Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Mediaalpha Inc Cl has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.134, Jensen Alpha of 0.3533, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1926, Sortino Ratio of 0.1069 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3257
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Mediaalpha Inc Cl and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Mediaalpha Inc is not overpriced, please verify all Mediaalpha Inc Cl fundamentals, including its ebitda, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and current ratio . Given that Mediaalpha Inc has a shares owned by institutions of 96.26 %, we recommend you to check Mediaalpha Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mediaalpha Inc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mediaalpha Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mediaalpha Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Mediaalpha Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 560.38 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.57 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 101.52 M.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by Steven Yi of 18294 shares of Mediaalpha Inc subject to Rule 16b-3

Mediaalpha Inc current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Mediaalpha analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Mediaalpha analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price13.60
Target Median Price13.00
Target High Price17.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price10.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Mediaalpha Inc Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mediaalpha Inc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mediaalpha Inc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mediaalpha Inc stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mediaalpha Inc Cl price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mediaalpha Inc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mediaalpha Inc.
Mean Return0.46Value At Risk-5.97
Potential Upside6.80Standard Deviation4.99
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mediaalpha Inc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mediaalpha Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mediaalpha Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mediaalpha Inc Cl backward and forwards among themselves. Mediaalpha Inc's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mediaalpha Inc's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares1.9 K36 K
Zimmer Partners LpCommon Shares130 K4.6 M
Zimmer Partners LpCommon Shares130 K5.1 M
Wolf Hill Capital Management LpCommon Shares386.7 K7.2 M
Wolff Wiese Magana LlcCommon Shares1.3 K11 K
Wolff Wiese Magana LlcCommon Shares96610 K
Wolff Wiese Magana LlcCommon Shares96616 K
Note, although Mediaalpha Inc's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mediaalpha Inc Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mediaalpha Inc or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mediaalpha Inc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mediaalpha stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.35
β
Beta against DOW1.39
σ
Overall volatility
5.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Mediaalpha Inc Volatility Alert

Mediaalpha Inc Cl shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Mediaalpha Inc Cl further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Mediaalpha Inc future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mediaalpha Inc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mediaalpha Inc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Mediaalpha Inc Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mediaalpha Inc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mediaalpha Inc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mediaalpha Inc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mediaalpha Inc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mediaalpha Inc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mediaalpha Inc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mediaalpha Inc to competition
FundamentalsMediaalpha IncPeer Average
Return On Asset(5.34) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(3.85) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(3.98) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation578.61 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding39.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders6.38 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions96.26 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.43 M4.71 M
Price to Book106.17 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.29 X11.42 X
Revenue560.38 M9.43 B
Gross Profit101.52 M27.38 B
EBITDA(18.05 M)3.9 B
Net Income(21.57 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents35.19 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.83 X5.01 X
Total Debt215.43 M5.32 B
Current Ratio1.45 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.36) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations54.31 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.36 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.80) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(1.39) X4.89 X
Number of Employees14918.84 K
Market Capitalization724.81 M19.03 B
Z Score1.88.72
   Exercise or conversion by Steven Yi of 18294 shares of Mediaalpha Inc subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Mediaalpha Inc Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mediaalpha Inc Cl? Buying financial instruments such as Mediaalpha Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mediaalpha Inc in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Commodities
Commodities Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in commodities such as oil, gold, corn, soy, and agricultural goods. The Commodities theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Commodities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additionally, see Mediaalpha Inc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Mediaalpha Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mediaalpha Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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Is Mediaalpha Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mediaalpha Inc. If investors know Mediaalpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mediaalpha Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
652.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.42) 
Return On Assets
(0.09) 
The market value of Mediaalpha Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mediaalpha that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mediaalpha Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mediaalpha Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mediaalpha Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mediaalpha Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mediaalpha Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mediaalpha Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mediaalpha Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.