Inspired Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

INSE
 Stock
  

USD 11.75  0.16  1.38%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Inspired Entertainment is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Inspired Entertainment buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding INSE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Inspired Entertainment's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Inspired Entertainment's buy-and-hold perspective. Please see Inspired Entertainment Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Inspired and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Inspired Entertainment.

Execute Inspired Entertainment Buy or Sell Advice

The Inspired recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Inspired Entertainment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Inspired Entertainment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Inspired Entertainment's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Inspired EntertainmentBuy Inspired Entertainment
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Inspired Entertainment has a Mean Deviation of 2.39, Semi Deviation of 2.74, Standard Deviation of 3.1, Variance of 9.59, Downside Variance of 8.09 and Semi Variance of 7.53
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Inspired Entertainment and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Inspired Entertainment is not overpriced, please check out all Inspired Entertainment fundamentals, including its debt to equity, beta, and the relationship between the net income and short ratio . Given that Inspired Entertainment has a number of shares shorted of 488.59 K, we strongly advise you to confirm Inspired Entertainment market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Inspired Entertainment Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Inspired Entertainment has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Inspired Entertainment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: JMP Securities Starts Inspired Entertainment at Market Outperform With 18 Price Target - Marketscreener.com

Inspired Entertainment current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Inspired analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Inspired analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price18.20
Target Median Price16.00
Target High Price24.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price15.00
Average Consensus Strong Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Inspired Entertainment Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Inspired Entertainment's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Inspired Entertainment's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Inspired Entertainment stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Inspired Entertainment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Inspired Entertainment returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Inspired Entertainment.
Mean Return0.09Value At Risk-4.44
Potential Upside6.46Standard Deviation3.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Inspired Entertainment historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Inspired Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Inspired Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inspired Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Inspired Entertainment's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Inspired Entertainment's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares174.3 K1.7 M
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares174.3 K1.7 M
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares174.3 K1.7 M
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares174.3 K1.7 M
Wolverine Trading LlcCommon Shares17.6 K226 K
Wolverine Trading LlcCall Options10.9 K125 K
Wolverine Asset Management LlcCommon Shares4.1 K52 K
Wolverine Asset Management LlcCommon Shares3.4 K31 K
Wolverine Asset Management LlcWarrants9.1 KK
Note, although Inspired Entertainment's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Inspired Entertainment Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(15.12 M)(24.8 M)(27.5 M)(29.9 M)(25.4 M)(27.41 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion33.81 M41.8 M43 M55.9 M50.3 M51.22 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents18.54 M2.5 M13.1 M18 M700 K718.42 K
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(3.75 M)11.2 M113.5 M(8.2 M)2.8 M2.87 M
Net Cash Flow from Financing34.55 M11.15 M113.5 M(8.2 M)31.2 M36.29 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(35.38 M)(42.93 M)(133.4 M)(29.9 M)(37.9 M)(40.89 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations18.25 M34.22 M30.7 M52.9 M6.2 M6.36 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(369 K)1.12 M2.3 M3.2 M1.2 M1.24 M

Inspired Entertainment Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Inspired Entertainment or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Inspired Entertainment's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Inspired stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.044645
β
Beta against DOW1.21
σ
Overall volatility
3.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.0162

Inspired Entertainment Volatility Alert

Inspired Entertainment currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.04. However, we advise investors to further question Inspired Entertainment expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Inspired Entertainment's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Inspired Entertainment's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Inspired Entertainment Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Inspired Entertainment's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Inspired Entertainment's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Inspired Entertainment and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Inspired Entertainment or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Inspired Entertainment's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Inspired Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Inspired Entertainment to competition
FundamentalsInspired EntertainmentPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0157 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset9.17 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin11.86 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin15.55 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation521.61 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding24.97 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders7.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions90.20 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted488.59 K4.71 M
Price to Earning8.18 X28.72 X
Price to Book33.86 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.08 X11.42 X
Revenue276.5 M9.43 B
Gross Profit158.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA63.5 M3.9 B
Net Income32.8 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents31.8 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.21 X5.01 X
Total Debt290.4 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.97 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(3.95) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations34.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.18 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.01) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.32 X4.89 X
Number of Employees1.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.55-0.15
Market Capitalization297.65 M19.03 B
Total Asset80.26 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(428.43 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(4.24 M)1.48 B
Current Asset242 K9.34 B
   Acquisition by Stone Andrew C of 3282 shares of Inspired Entertainment subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Inspired Entertainment Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Inspired Entertainment? Buying financial instruments such as Inspired Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2018 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables39.5 M35.7 M49.1 M40.32 M
Inventories18.8 M17.6 M16.9 M13.89 M

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Please see Inspired Entertainment Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running Inspired Entertainment price analysis, check to measure Inspired Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inspired Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Inspired Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inspired Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inspired Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inspired Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Inspired Entertainment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inspired Entertainment. If investors know Inspired will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inspired Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.17
Market Capitalization
300.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.035) 
Return On Assets
0.094
The market value of Inspired Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inspired that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inspired Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inspired Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inspired Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inspired Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inspired Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Inspired Entertainment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inspired Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.