Hdfc Bank Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HDB -  USA Stock  

USD 53.80  1.16  2.20%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hdfc Bank is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Hdfc Bank buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HDB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hdfc Bank's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Refresh
The advice is provided from Hdfc Bank's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Hdfc Bank Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hdfc Bank and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Hdfc Bank.

Execute Hdfc Bank Buy or Sell Advice

The Hdfc Bank recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hdfc Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hdfc Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hdfc Bank's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hdfc BankBuy Hdfc Bank
Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Close to AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Hdfc Bank has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14), Jensen Alpha of (0.13), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0475 and Treynor Ratio of (0.30)
Our investment recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendations that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Hdfc Bank. Our investment recommendation engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Hdfc Bank is not overpriced, please check out all Hdfc Bank fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to book, ebitda, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and revenue . Given that Hdfc Bank has a price to book of 0.27 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Hdfc Bank market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Hdfc Bank Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hdfc Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hdfc Bank has about 1550 B in cash with (2360 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 139.87.
Latest headline from www.business-standard.com: HDFC Bank hits 52-week low slips 26 percent since merger announcement with HDFC - Business Standard

Hdfc Bank current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Hdfc Bank analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Hdfc Bank analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price92.10
Target Median Price92.00
Target High Price94.30
Recommendation Mean1.30
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price90.00
Average Consensus Strong Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Hdfc Bank Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hdfc Bank's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Hdfc Bank's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hdfc Bank stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hdfc Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hdfc Bank returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hdfc Bank stock.
Mean Return-0.29Value At Risk-4.3
Potential Upside4.02Standard Deviation2.76
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hdfc Bank historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hdfc Bank Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Hdfc Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hdfc Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Hdfc Bank's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Hdfc Bank's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Jpmorgan Chase CoCommon Shares34.1 M2.1 B
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares20 M1.2 B
Capital Research Global InvestorsCommon Shares10.9 M671.4 M
Schroder Investment Management GroupCommon Shares10.8 M661.5 M
Harding Loevner LpCommon Shares11.7 M607.4 M
Fil LtdCommon Shares9.6 M589.8 M
Fiera Capital CorpCommon Shares9.1 M560.7 M
Note, although Hdfc Bank's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hdfc Bank Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(9.09 B)(16.14 B)(18.11 B)(17.65 B)(15.89 B)(17.14 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion9.68 B12.25 B12.8 B13.86 B15.94 B14.03 B
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents143.44 B160.72 B(122.91 B)318.73 B366.54 B395.48 B
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares27.26 B257.9 B18.49 B17.6 B20.24 B20.77 B
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities656.93 B(31.7 B)(320.69 B)17.68 B15.91 B16.33 B
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(34.49 B)(41.02 B)(66.45 B)(166.6 M)(149.94 M)(161.78 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing2,097.01 B1,517.5 B1,845.79 B1,918.37 B2,206.12 B1,891.11 B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(2,048.33 B)(1,536.98 B)(2,150.49 B)(2,521.15 B)(2,269.03 B)(2,448.17 B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(1,984.02 B)(1,280.48 B)(1,879.64 B)(2,313.7 B)(2,082.33 B)(2,137.13 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations94.27 B183.27 B171.18 B921.78 B1,060.04 B1,143.73 B
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash479.4 M(3.07 B)10.61 B(262.2 M)(235.98 M)(242.19 M)
Share Based Compensation6.59 B5.34 B7.48 B10.6 B12.19 B10.69 B

Hdfc Bank Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hdfc Bank or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hdfc Bank stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hdfc Bank stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.13
β
Beta against DOW1.00
σ
Overall volatility
2.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Hdfc Bank Volatility Alert

Hdfc Bank exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.23 and kurtosis of 1.29. However, we advise investors to further study Hdfc Bank technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hdfc Bank's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hdfc Bank's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Hdfc Bank Implied Volatility

Hdfc Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hdfc Bank stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hdfc Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hdfc Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hdfc Bank's options are near their expiration.

Hdfc Bank Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hdfc Bank's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hdfc Bank's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hdfc Bank and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hdfc Bank or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hdfc Bank's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hdfc Bank by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hdfc Bank to competition
FundamentalsHdfc BankPeer Average
Return On Equity16.64 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset1.95 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin41.73 %(1.27) %
Current Valuation1340 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.85 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Institutions17.30 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.42 M4.71 M
Price to Earning131.34 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.27 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.11 X11.42 X
Revenue911.86 B9.43 B
Gross Profit911.86 B27.38 B
EBITDA118.21 B3.9 B
Net Income380.53 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1550 B2.7 B
Cash per Share139.87 X5.01 X
Total Debt2270 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity7.89 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share203.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(2360 B)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.70 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.41 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.96 X4.89 X
Number of Employees141.58 K18.84 K
Beta0.88-0.15
Market Capitalization100.58 B19.03 B
Total Asset7736.72 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings728.64 B9.33 B
Working Capital(4981.43 B)1.48 B
Current Asset621.06 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities5602.49 B7.9 B
Five Year Return0.58 %
Last Dividend Paid0.61

Hdfc Bank Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hdfc Bank . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution21039.51
Daily Balance Of Power1.234043
Rate Of Daily Change1.02
Day Median Price53.34
Day Typical Price53.49
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator1.04

About Hdfc Bank Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hdfc Bank? Buying financial instruments such as Hdfc Bank Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Hdfc Bank investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents1,070.3 B1,154.8 B
Total Assets10,427.03 B8,974.16 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hdfc Bank in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Millennials Best Thematic Idea Now

Millennials Best
Millennials Best Theme
Companies or funds that provide products or services that appeal to the generation of millennials and that are expected to experience growth in the next 5 years. The millennial generation usually refers to the demographic population that were born between 1980 to 2000. The Millennials Best theme has 69 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Millennials Best Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Millennials Best
Please check Hdfc Bank Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Hdfc Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hdfc Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for Hdfc Bank Stock analysis

When running Hdfc Bank price analysis, check to measure Hdfc Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hdfc Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Hdfc Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hdfc Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hdfc Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hdfc Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Is Hdfc Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hdfc Bank. If investors know Hdfc Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hdfc Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hdfc Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hdfc Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hdfc Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hdfc Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hdfc Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hdfc Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hdfc Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hdfc Bank value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hdfc Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.