Hawaiian Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HA -  USA Stock  

USD 16.02  0.53  3.42%

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Hawaiian Hlds is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Hawaiian Hlds buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hawaiian Hlds' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Hawaiian Hlds' buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Hawaiian Hlds Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hawaiian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Hawaiian Hlds.

Execute Hawaiian Hlds Buy or Sell Advice

The Hawaiian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hawaiian Hlds. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hawaiian Hlds or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hawaiian Hlds' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hawaiian HldsBuy Hawaiian Hlds
Strong Sell

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Hawaiian Hlds has a Mean Deviation of 3.16, Standard Deviation of 4.01 and Variance of 16.04
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Hawaiian Hlds and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Hawaiian Hlds is not overpriced, please check out all Hawaiian Hlds fundamentals, including its net income, debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and cash per share . Given that Hawaiian Hlds has a number of shares shorted of 4.44 M, we strongly advise you to confirm Hawaiian Hlds market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Hawaiian Hlds Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hawaiian Hlds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hawaiian Hlds has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Hawaiian Hlds has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.89 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (206.89 M) with gross Loss of (386.79 M).
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Schneider Mark D of 6225 shares of Hawaiian Hlds subject to Rule 16b-3

Hawaiian Hlds current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Hawaiian analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Hawaiian analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price17.67
Target Median Price18.00
Target High Price23.00
Recommendation Mean3.20
Number Of Analyst Opinions6
Target Low Price8.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Hawaiian Hlds Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hawaiian Hlds' historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Hawaiian Hlds' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hawaiian Hlds stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hawaiian Hlds price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hawaiian Hlds returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hawaiian Hlds stock.
Mean Return-0.29Value At Risk-5.77
Potential Upside5.71Standard Deviation4.01
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hawaiian Hlds historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hawaiian Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Hawaiian Hlds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hawaiian Hlds backward and forwards among themselves. Hawaiian Hlds' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Hawaiian Hlds' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares8.1 M159.6 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares5.4 M106.8 M
U S Global Investors IncCommon SharesM98.7 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares2.8 M56.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares2.2 M42.8 M
Towle CoCommon Shares1.3 M24.6 M
Third Avenue Management LlcCommon Shares1.2 M24.1 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options375.3 K7.4 M
Note, although Hawaiian Hlds' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hawaiian Hlds Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(340.57 M)(353.06 M)(387.83 M)8.69 M(38.51 M)(41.55 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion113.85 M140.44 M159.36 M151.66 M138.3 M139.22 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(139.04 M)76.62 M104.48 M136.58 M(1.81 M)(1.86 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(100 M)(102.5 M)(68.77 M)33.69 M68.13 M73.51 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(61.67 M)18.25 M118.76 M523.44 M639.98 M690.5 M
Net Cash Flow from Financing(175.47 M)(115.41 M)24.55 M546.06 M683.15 M737.09 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(294.71 M)(316.48 M)(405.21 M)(98.77 M)(936.3 M)(960.94 M)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals12.87 M36.59 M(11.11 M)(107.46 M)(897.79 M)(921.42 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations331.13 M508.51 M485.14 M(310.71 M)251.34 M255.23 M
Share Based Compensation7.29 M5.35 M8.25 M4.94 M8.64 M8.16 M

Hawaiian Hlds Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hawaiian Hlds or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hawaiian Hlds stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hawaiian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.12
β
Beta against DOW1.77
σ
Overall volatility
4.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Hawaiian Hlds Volatility Alert

Hawaiian Hlds exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.08 and kurtosis of 0.44. However, we advise investors to further study Hawaiian Hlds technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hawaiian Hlds' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hawaiian Hlds' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Hawaiian Hlds Implied Volatility

Hawaiian Hlds' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hawaiian Hlds stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hawaiian Hlds' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hawaiian Hlds stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hawaiian Hlds' options are near their expiration.

Hawaiian Hlds Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hawaiian Hlds' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hawaiian Hlds' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hawaiian Hlds and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hawaiian Hlds or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hawaiian Hlds' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hawaiian Hlds by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hawaiian Hlds to competition
FundamentalsHawaiian HldsPeer Average
Return On Equity(40.01) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(6.12) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(10.94) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(24.47) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.56 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding51.21 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.28 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions82.49 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.44 M4.71 M
Price to Earning14.66 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.31 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.43 X11.42 X
Revenue1.89 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(386.79 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(339.3 M)3.9 B
Net Income(206.89 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.64 B2.7 B
Cash per Share32.03 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.33 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity5.52 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.59 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.26 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations151.48 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.98 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.33) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.03 X4.89 X
Number of Employees6.66 K18.84 K
Beta2.01-0.15
Market Capitalization820.43 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.51 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.13 B9.33 B
Working Capital(28.82 M)1.48 B
Current Asset740.98 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by Schneider Mark D of 6225 shares of Hawaiian Hlds subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Hawaiian Hlds Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hawaiian Hlds? Buying financial instruments such as Hawaiian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Hawaiian Hlds investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables97.38 M67.53 M60.77 M69.67 M
Inventories37.63 M35.44 M31.9 M27.86 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hawaiian Hlds in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Basic Utilities Theme
Companies involved in production and distribution of electric, gas, water, and other energy utilities. The Basic Utilities theme has 30 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Basic Utilities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please check Hawaiian Hlds Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Hawaiian Hlds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hawaiian Hlds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Screener module to find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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Is Hawaiian Hlds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hawaiian Hlds. If investors know Hawaiian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hawaiian Hlds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hawaiian Hlds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hawaiian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hawaiian Hlds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hawaiian Hlds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hawaiian Hlds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hawaiian Hlds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawaiian Hlds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hawaiian Hlds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hawaiian Hlds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.