Foster Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FSTR
 Stock
  

USD 10.18  0.02  0.20%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Foster L B is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Foster L buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Foster L positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Foster L's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Foster L's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Foster L Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Foster and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Foster L B.

Execute Foster L Buy or Sell Advice

The Foster recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Foster L B. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Foster L B or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Foster L's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Foster LBuy Foster L
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Foster L B has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20), Jensen Alpha of (0.52), Total Risk Alpha of (0.61) and Treynor Ratio of (0.67)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Foster L B and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Foster L is not overpriced, please confirm all Foster L B fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Foster L B has a price to earning of 46.82 X, we urge you to verify Foster L B market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Foster L Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Foster L B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Foster L B has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 473.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86.3 M.
Foster L B currently holds about 4.94 M in cash with (12.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.45.
Foster L B has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: L.B. Foster Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Revenues Beat Expectations, EPS Lags - Simply Wall St

Foster L current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Foster analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Foster analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price13.00
Target Median Price13.00
Target High Price13.00
Recommendation Mean2.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions2
Target Low Price13.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Foster L Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Foster L's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Foster L's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Foster L stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Foster L B price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Foster L returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Foster L.
Mean Return-0.46Value At Risk-6.27
Potential Upside3.10Standard Deviation3.22
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Foster L historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Foster L Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(4.69 M)(1.35 M)(5.1 M)(9.16 M)(4.59 M)(4.95 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion19.84 M15.03 M14.39 M13.58 M13.89 M16.49 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents7.32 M(27.4 M)3.9 M(6.61 M)2.81 M3.03 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(103 K)(316 K)(621 K)(1.67 M)(732 K)(789.79 K)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(29.6 M)(55.02 M)(17.59 M)(13.61 M)(14.14 M)(14.51 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(29.7 M)(55.3 M)(18.25 M)(15.3 M)(13.9 M)(14.27 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(4.69 M)2.25 M(7.68 M)(8.04 M)17.82 M19.23 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations39.37 M25.96 M29.3 M16.92 M(1.06 M)(1.09 M)
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash2.33 M(308 K)525 K(195 K)(47 K)(50.71 K)
Share Based Compensation1.7 M3.84 M3.15 M1.14 M1.95 M2.21 M

Foster L Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Foster L or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Foster L's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Foster stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.52
β
Beta against DOW0.70
σ
Overall volatility
3.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Foster L Volatility Alert

Foster L B exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.37 and kurtosis of 2.33. However, we advise investors to further study Foster L B technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Foster L's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Foster L's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Foster L Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Foster L's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Foster L's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Foster L and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Foster L or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Foster L's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Foster L by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Foster L to competition
FundamentalsFoster LPeer Average
Return On Equity(1.15) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.10) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(0.42) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin2.82 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation223.29 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding10.93 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders9.64 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions69.41 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted20.36 K4.71 M
Price to Earning46.82 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.63 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.24 X11.42 X
Revenue473.29 M9.43 B
Gross Profit86.3 M27.38 B
EBITDA13.35 M3.9 B
Net Income(1.97 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents4.94 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt111.62 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.64 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share16.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(12.84 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.03 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.22 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth7.93 X4.89 X
Number of Employees99118.84 K
Beta1.02-0.15
Market Capitalization112.57 M19.03 B
Total Asset566.66 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings175.56 M9.33 B
Working Capital122.83 M1.48 B
Current Asset214.47 M9.34 B
   Foster L exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Foster L Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Foster . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Foster L Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Foster L B? Buying financial instruments such as Foster Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables78.58 M58.3 M55.91 M72.23 M
Inventories119.3 M116.46 M62.87 M73.87 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Foster L in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Tech Funds Theme
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Please check Foster L Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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Is Foster L's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Foster L. If investors know Foster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Foster L listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.33) 
Market Capitalization
111.5 M
Return On Assets
(0.001) 
Return On Equity
(0.0116) 
The market value of Foster L B is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Foster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Foster L's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Foster L's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Foster L's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Foster L's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Foster L's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Foster L value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Foster L's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.