Five Below Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FIVE
 Stock
  

USD 138.56  0.95  0.69%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Five Below is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Five Below buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FIVE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Five Below's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Five Below's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Five Below Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Five Below and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Five Below.

Execute Five Below Buy or Sell Advice

The Five Below recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Five Below. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Five Below or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Five Below's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Five BelowBuy Five Below
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Five Below has a Mean Deviation of 2.94, Standard Deviation of 3.9 and Variance of 15.18
Macroaxis provides advice on Five Below to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Five Below. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Five Below is not overpriced, please confirm all Five Below fundamentals, including its current ratio, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share . Given that Five Below has a number of shares shorted of 5.13 M, we urge you to verify Five Below market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Five Below Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Five Below has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Five Below is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Five Below has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from realmoney.thestreet.com: Five Belows Chart Signals an Above-Average Chance Its Shares Have Bottomed - RealMoney

Five Below current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Five Below analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Five Below analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price169.68
Target Median Price165.00
Target High Price216.00
Recommendation Mean1.90
Number Of Analyst Opinions19
Target Low Price115.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Five Below Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Five Below's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Five Below's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Five Below stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Five Below price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Five Below returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Five Below stock.
Mean Return-0.15Value At Risk-5.6
Potential Upside5.59Standard Deviation3.90
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Five Below historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Five Below Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Five Below is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Five Below backward and forwards among themselves. Five Below's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Five Below's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Riverbridge Partners LlcCommon Shares1.6 M180.9 M
Pacifica Capital Investments LlcCommon Shares515.7 K58.5 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings LlcCommon Shares404.5 K45.9 M
Country Trust BankCommon Shares296 K33.6 M
Stephens Investment Management Group LlcCommon Shares222.1 K25.2 M
Envestnet Asset Management IncCommon Shares187.5 K21.3 M
National Bank Of CanadaCommon Shares178.1 K20.1 M
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options79.3 KM
Note, although Five Below's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Five Below Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Five Below or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Five Below stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Five Below stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.13
β
Beta against DOW1.90
σ
Overall volatility
3.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Five Below Volatility Alert

Five Below exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.25 and kurtosis of 1.31. However, we advise investors to further study Five Below technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Five Below's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Five Below's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Five Below Implied Volatility

Five Below's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/FIVE/Five-Below">Five Below's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Five Below stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Five Below's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/FIVE/Five-Below">Five Below's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Five Below stock will not fluctuate a lot when Five Below's options" href="/stock-options/FIVE/Five-Below">Five Below's options are near their expiration.

Five Below Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Five Below's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Five Below's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Five Below and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Five Below or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Five Below's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five Below by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Five Below to competition
FundamentalsFive BelowPeer Average
Return On Equity25.61 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset8.29 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin9.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin15.50 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.13 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding56.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions101.84 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted5.13 M4.71 M
Price to Earning29.72 X28.72 X
Price to Book7.51 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.69 X11.42 X
Revenue2.89 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.03 B27.38 B
EBITDA448.09 M3.9 B
Net Income261.93 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents309.64 M2.7 B
Cash per Share5.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.38 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.52 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations303.29 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.75 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.66 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.80 X4.89 X
Number of Employees6.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.34-0.15
Market Capitalization7.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset393.29 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings166.64 M9.33 B
Working Capital162.55 M1.48 B
Current Asset264.75 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by Dinesh Lathi of 130 shares of Five Below subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Five Below Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Five Below . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution49139.74
Daily Balance Of Power0.1198
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price138.6
Day Typical Price138.58
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator0.44

About Five Below Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Five Below? Buying financial instruments such as Five Below Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Five Below investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2014 2020 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable34.01 M130.24 M196.46 M124.04 M
Inventories89.38 M324.03 M455.1 M300.4 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Five Below in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Tobacco Products Thematic Idea Now

Tobacco Products
Tobacco Products Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Tobacco Products theme has 9 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tobacco Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Please check Five Below Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Five Below information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Five Below's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for Five Below Stock analysis

When running Five Below price analysis, check to measure Five Below's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five Below is operating at the current time. Most of Five Below's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five Below's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five Below's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five Below to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Go
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Go
Is Five Below's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Below. If investors know Five Below will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five Below listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.33
Market Capitalization
7.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.07
Return On Assets
0.0829
Return On Equity
0.26
The market value of Five Below is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five Below that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five Below's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five Below's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five Below's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five Below's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Below's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Five Below value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five Below's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.