First OTC Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FBAK
 Stock
  

USD 248.21  3.21  1.31%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding First National Bank is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides First National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FBAK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of First National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from First National's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check First National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards First National Bank.

Execute First National Buy or Sell Advice

The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First National Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First National Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell First NationalBuy First National
Strong Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Not Available
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon First National Bank has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1), Jensen Alpha of (0.07), Total Risk Alpha of (0.12) and Treynor Ratio of 2.01
Macroaxis provides advice on First National Bank to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on First National Bank. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure First National is not overpriced, please confirm all First National Bank fundamentals, including its book value per share, total asset, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and number of employees . Given that First National Bank has a shares owned by institutions of 0.85 %, we urge you to verify First National Bank market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

First National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

First National Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

First National Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of First National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First National stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First National Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First National.
Mean Return-0.07Value At Risk-1.9
Potential Upside1.73Standard Deviation1.05
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

First National Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First National or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First National's price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

First National Volatility Alert

First National Bank exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.27 and kurtosis of 0.41. However, we advise investors to further study First National Bank technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First National's otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First National's otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

First National Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing First National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First National or determine the otc stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare First National to competition
FundamentalsFirst NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity11.54 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset1.10 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin37.70 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin50.46 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.51 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.17 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Institutions0.85 %39.21 %
Price to Earning13.33 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.31 X9.51 X
Price to Sales4.91 X11.42 X
Revenue156.36 M9.43 B
Gross Profit156.4 M27.38 B
Net Income58.95 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents531.96 M2.7 B
Cash per Share167.98 X5.01 X
Total Debt748.32 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share185.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations82.42 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share18.17 X3.12 X
Number of Employees60018.84 K
Beta0.37-0.15
Market Capitalization767.18 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings348.59 M9.33 B
Z Score0.68.72
Five Year Return5.18 %
Last Dividend Paid12.8

About First National Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell First National Bank? Buying financial instruments such as First OTC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having First National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Momentum Thematic Idea Now

Momentum
Momentum Theme
Large corporations operating in software, education, financial and car manufacturing industries. The Momentum theme has 36 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Momentum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please check First National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the First National Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First National's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between First National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine First National value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.