National Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EYE -  USA Stock  

USD 39.78  1.16  3.00%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding National Vision Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides National Vision buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EYE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of National Vision's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

National Advice 

 
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The advice is provided from National Vision's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to National Vision Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards National Vision Holdings.

Execute National Vision Buy or Sell Advice

The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National Vision Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National Vision Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National Vision's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell National VisionBuy National Vision
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon National Vision Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.028254), Jensen Alpha of (0.13), Total Risk Alpha of (0.14) and Treynor Ratio of (0.1)
National Vision Holdings trade recommendations module can be used to check and cross-verify current advice provided by analysts analyzing the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure National Vision Holdings is not overpriced, please verify all National Vision Holdings fundamentals, including its debt to equity, beta, and the relationship between the net income and short ratio . Given that National Vision Holdings has a number of shares shorted of 5.94 M, we recommend you to check National Vision market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

National Vision Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

National Vision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from www.nxtmine.com: Avnet, Inc. Stock Position Lessened by BlackRock Inc. - NXTmine

National Vision current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price61.55
Target Median Price63.00
Target High Price70.00
Recommendation Mean2.10
Number Of Analyst Opinions11
Target Low Price50.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

National Vision Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of National Vision's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of National Vision's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National Vision stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National Vision Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National Vision returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National Vision stock.
Mean Return-0.1Value At Risk-3.43
Potential Upside3.13Standard Deviation2.34
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National Vision historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

National Vision Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Vision or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Vision stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.13
β
Beta against DOW1.18
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

National Vision Volatility Alert

National Vision Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.81 and kurtosis of 5.9. However, we advise investors to further study National Vision Holdings technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National Vision's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National Vision's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

National Vision Implied Volatility

National Vision's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National Vision Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National Vision's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National Vision stock will not fluctuate a lot when National Vision's options are near their expiration.

National Vision Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing National Vision's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National Vision's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National Vision and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National Vision or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National Vision's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Vision by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare National Vision to competition
FundamentalsNational VisionPeer Average
Return On Equity16.95 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset5.75 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin7.49 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin14.86 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.56 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding82.7 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.34 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions117.30 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted5.94 M4.71 M
Price to Earning21.78 X28.72 X
Price to Book3.23 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.52 X11.42 X
Revenue2.1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit918.54 M27.38 B
EBITDA311.89 M3.9 B
Net Income157.1 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents439.12 M2.7 B
Cash per Share5.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.02 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.85 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.95 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations265.07 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.77 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.68 X4.89 X
Number of Employees12.79 K18.84 K
Beta1.75-0.15
Market Capitalization3.19 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.53 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(8.9 M)9.33 B
Working Capital174.33 M1.48 B
Current Asset524.19 M9.34 B
   Bona fide gift to Fahs L Reade of 20000 shares of National Vision subject to Section 16 [view details]

National Vision Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution272.74
Daily Balance Of Power1.137255
Rate Of Daily Change1.03
Day Median Price39.27
Day Typical Price39.44
Market Facilitation Index1.0E-4
Price Action Indicator1.09

About National Vision Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell National Vision Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although National Vision investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2016 2017 2022 (projected)
Current Assets127.8 M147.26 M566.65 M217.76 M
Total Assets1.48 B1.53 B2.33 B1.83 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having National Vision in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Large Value Thematic Idea Now

Large Value
Large Value Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of large-sized companies. Large Value theme has 40 constituents.
View All  Next Launch Large Value
Continue to National Vision Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the National Vision Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Vision's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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Is National Vision's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Vision. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Vision listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of National Vision Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Vision's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Vision's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Vision's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Vision's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Vision's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine National Vision value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Vision's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.