Graftech Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation


USD 7.28  0.26  3.45%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Graftech International is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Graftech International buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EAF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Graftech International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
The advice is provided from Graftech International's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Graftech International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Graftech and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Graftech International.

Execute Graftech International Buy or Sell Advice

The Graftech recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Graftech International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Graftech International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Graftech International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Graftech InternationalBuy Graftech International
Strong Hold


Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation


Odds of Distress


Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus


Financial Strenth (F Score)


Financial Leverage


Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Graftech International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.22), Jensen Alpha of (0.23), Total Risk Alpha of (0.11) and Treynor Ratio of (0.35)
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Graftech International. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Graftech International is not overpriced, please check out all Graftech International fundamentals, including its profit margin, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and number of shares shorted . Given that Graftech International has a number of shares shorted of 4.54 M, we strongly advise you to confirm Graftech International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Graftech International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Graftech International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Graftech International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from GrafTech Announces Appointment of Marcel Kessler as Chief Executive Officer and President, Effective July 1, 2022 - Yahoo Finance

Graftech International current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Graftech analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Graftech analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price11.14
Target Median Price10.00
Target High Price16.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price6.72
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Graftech International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Graftech International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Graftech International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Graftech International stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Graftech International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Graftech International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Graftech International stock.
Mean Return-0.43Value At Risk-5.72
Potential Upside3.54Standard Deviation2.71
 Return Density 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Graftech International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Graftech International Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(29.45 M)(67.3 M)(63.88 M)(35.7 M)(32.13 M)(34.66 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion66.44 M66.41 M61.82 M62.96 M56.67 M58.5 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents1.38 M38.26 M31.8 M64.27 M73.91 M79.74 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(32.99 M)1.07 B(350.14 M)(396.36 M)(356.72 M)(366.11 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(32.99 M)(731.04 M)(709.63 M)(463.68 M)(417.31 M)(450.26 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(2.2 M)(67.3 M)(63.88 M)(35.7 M)(32.13 M)(34.66 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations36.57 M836.6 M805.32 M563.65 M648.19 M603.41 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash376 K(1.75 M)(746 K)240 K216 K233.05 K

Graftech International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Graftech International or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Graftech International stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Graftech stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW1.25
Overall volatility
Information ratio -0.1

Graftech International Volatility Alert

Graftech International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.48 and kurtosis of -0.17. However, we advise investors to further study Graftech International technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Graftech International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Graftech International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Graftech International Implied Volatility

Graftech International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Graftech International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Graftech International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Graftech International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Graftech International's options are near their expiration.

Graftech International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Graftech International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Graftech International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Graftech International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Graftech International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Graftech International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Graftech International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Graftech International to competition
FundamentalsGraftech InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0001) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset26.35 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin28.85 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin49.44 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.38 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding263.22 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.15 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions98.59 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.54 M4.71 M
Price to Earning5.58 X28.72 X
Price to Book(2.76) X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.52 X11.42 X
Revenue1.35 B9.43 B
Gross Profit675.25 M27.38 B
EBITDA665.39 M3.9 B
Net Income388.33 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents57.51 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.22 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.04 B5.32 B
Current Ratio2.68 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.42) X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations443.04 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.01 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.39 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.79) X4.89 X
Number of Employees1.35 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization2.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.46 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.57 B)9.33 B
Working Capital273.54 M1.48 B
Current Asset455.72 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities182.18 M7.9 B

Graftech International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Graftech . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution29547.11
Daily Balance Of Power(0.65)
Rate Of Daily Change0.97
Day Median Price7.4
Day Typical Price7.36
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(0.25)

About Graftech International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Graftech International? Buying financial instruments such as Graftech Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Graftech International investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables247.05 M182.65 M207.55 M217.44 M
Inventories313.65 M265.96 M289.43 M343.35 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Graftech International in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Tech Growth
Tech Growth Theme
Instruments that are typically traded at high earnings multiples compared to their competitors and other sectors and have been known to drive market cycles frequently. The Tech Growth theme has 65 constituents.
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Continue to Graftech International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Graftech International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Graftech International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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When running Graftech International price analysis, check to measure Graftech International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graftech International is operating at the current time. Most of Graftech International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graftech International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graftech International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graftech International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Graftech International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graftech International. If investors know Graftech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graftech International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
The market value of Graftech International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graftech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graftech International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graftech International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graftech International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graftech International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graftech International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Graftech International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graftech International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.