Constellium Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CSTM
 Stock
  

USD 11.89  0.18  1.54%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Constellium Nv is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Constellium buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CSTM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Constellium's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Constellium's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Constellium Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Constellium and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Constellium Nv.

Execute Constellium Buy or Sell Advice

The Constellium recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Constellium Nv. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Constellium Nv or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Constellium's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ConstelliumBuy Constellium
Strong Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Constellium Nv has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.00954), Jensen Alpha of (0.17), Total Risk Alpha of (0.23) and Treynor Ratio of (0.030661)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Constellium Nv and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Constellium is not overpriced, please confirm all Constellium Nv fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Constellium Nv has a price to earning of 25.18 X, we suggest you to validate Constellium Nv market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Constellium Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Constellium Nv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Constellium Nv has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Form N-CSR AB BOND FUND, INC. For Sep 30 - StreetInsider.com

Constellium Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Constellium's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Constellium's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Constellium stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Constellium Nv price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Constellium returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Constellium.
Mean Return-0.04Value At Risk-6.28
Potential Upside6.63Standard Deviation4.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Constellium historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Constellium Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(276 M)(277 M)(271 M)(177 M)(222 M)(239.53 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion171 M197 M256 M259 M267 M228.99 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(71 M)(107 M)18 M259 M(299 M)(306.87 M)
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals(39 M)176 M(81 M)1,000 K1.15 M1.24 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(103 M)(83 M)(77 M)109 M(407 M)(417.71 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing61 M(82 M)(76 M)101 M(435 M)(446.45 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(292 M)(91 M)(353 M)(176 M)(221 M)(238.45 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations160 M66 M447 M334 M357 M313.89 M

Constellium Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Constellium or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Constellium's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Constellium stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.74
σ
Overall volatility
4.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Constellium Volatility Alert

Constellium Nv exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.52 and kurtosis of 1.76. However, we advise investors to further study Constellium Nv technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Constellium's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Constellium's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Constellium Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Constellium's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Constellium's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Constellium and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Constellium or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Constellium's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Constellium by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Constellium to competition
FundamentalsConstelliumPeer Average
Return On Equity0.54 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.0418 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.0351 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.0422 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.84 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding144.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.51 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions94.76 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.9 M4.71 M
Price to Earning25.18 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.20 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.21 X11.42 X
Revenue6.15 B9.43 B
Gross Profit664 M27.38 B
EBITDA746 M3.9 B
Net Income257 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents171 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.87 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity2.73 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.23 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations357 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.43 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.09 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.06 X4.89 X
Target Price17.65
Number of Employees10.8 K18.84 K
Beta2.18-0.15
Market Capitalization1.72 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.62 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(559.97 M)9.33 B
Working Capital256 M1.48 B

About Constellium Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Constellium Nv? Buying financial instruments such as Constellium Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets1.35 B1.47 B1.94 B1.85 B
Total Assets4.18 B4.13 B4.62 B4.33 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Constellium in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ETFs
ETFs Theme
Public companies that diversify risk by investing across different stocks, funds, or indexes. The ETFs theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Constellium Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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Is Constellium's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Constellium. If investors know Constellium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Constellium listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.354
Market Capitalization
1.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.274
Return On Assets
0.0418
Return On Equity
0.5444
The market value of Constellium Nv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Constellium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Constellium's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Constellium's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Constellium's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Constellium's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Constellium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Constellium value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Constellium's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.