Church Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CHD
 Stock
  

USD 87.72  0.02  0.0228%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Church Dwight is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Church Dwight buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CHD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Church Dwight's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Church Dwight's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Church Dwight Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Church and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Church Dwight.

Execute Church Dwight Buy or Sell Advice

The Church recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Church Dwight. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Church Dwight or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Church Dwight's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Church DwightBuy Church Dwight
Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Church Dwight has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1), Jensen Alpha of (0.19), Total Risk Alpha of (0.26) and Treynor Ratio of (0.29)
Macroaxis provides advice on Church Dwight to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Church Dwight. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Church Dwight is not overpriced, please confirm all Church Dwight fundamentals, including its gross profit, cash per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and net income . Given that Church Dwight has a price to earning of 26.66 X, we suggest you to validate Church Dwight market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Church Dwight Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Church Dwight generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Church Dwight is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Church Dwight has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.defenseworld.net: Texas Permanent School Fund Cuts Stock Position in Church Dwight Co., Inc. - Defense World

Church Dwight current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Church analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Church analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price98.20
Target Median Price99.00
Target High Price120.00
Recommendation Mean2.90
Number Of Analyst Opinions15
Target Low Price78.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Church Dwight Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Church Dwight's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Church Dwight's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Church Dwight stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Church Dwight price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Church Dwight returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Church Dwight stock.
Mean Return-0.14Value At Risk-2.18
Potential Upside1.85Standard Deviation1.82
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Church Dwight historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Church Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Church Dwight is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Church Dwight backward and forwards among themselves. Church Dwight's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Church Dwight's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares28.7 M2.7 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares19.7 M1.8 B
Fundsmith LlpCommon Shares8.4 M782.4 M
Massachusetts Financial Services CoCommon Shares6.4 M594.3 M
Geode Capital Management LlcCommon SharesM460.9 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings LlcCommon SharesM370.2 M
Wcm Investment Management LlcCommon SharesM368.5 M
Note, although Church Dwight's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Church Dwight Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(45 M)(60.4 M)(73.7 M)(91.9 M)(118.8 M)(121.93 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion125.4 M141.1 M176.4 M189.7 M219.1 M189.22 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents91.1 M37.8 M(161 M)27.4 M57.5 M62.04 M
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals(1.26 B)(49.8 M)(475 M)(512.7 M)(556 M)(599.89 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(357.9 M)(123.4 M)(197.2 M)(207 M)(401.3 M)(411.86 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities1.27 B(268.8 M)(49 M)99 M400.7 M328.54 M
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(190.4 M)(213.3 M)(224.1 M)(237.3 M)(247.5 M)(267.04 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing698.9 M(609 M)(472.9 M)(360.1 M)(252.1 M)(272 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(1.3 B)(112.1 M)(553.5 M)(608.1 M)(682 M)(735.84 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations681.5 M763.6 M864.5 M990.3 M993.8 M920.76 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash14.1 M(4.7 M)900 K5.3 M(2.2 M)(2.37 M)
Share Based Compensation18.1 M23.3 M20.8 M21.5 M23.7 M25.57 M

Church Dwight Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Church Dwight or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Church Dwight stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Church stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.19
β
Beta against DOW0.52
σ
Overall volatility
1.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Church Dwight Volatility Alert

Church Dwight exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.03 and kurtosis of 9.25. However, we advise investors to further study Church Dwight technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Church Dwight's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Church Dwight's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Church Dwight Implied Volatility

Church Dwight's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/CHD/Church-Dwight">Church Dwight's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Church Dwight stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Church Dwight's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/CHD/Church-Dwight">Church Dwight's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Church Dwight stock will not fluctuate a lot when Church Dwight's options" href="/stock-options/CHD/Church-Dwight">Church Dwight's options are near their expiration.

Church Dwight Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Church Dwight's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Church Dwight's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Church Dwight and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Church Dwight or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Church Dwight's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Church Dwight by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Church Dwight to competition
FundamentalsChurch DwightPeer Average
Return On Equity22.51 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset7.74 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin14.71 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin22.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation23.71 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding250 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.17 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions86.33 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.15 M4.71 M
Price to Earning26.66 X28.72 X
Price to Book6.09 X9.51 X
Price to Sales4.12 X11.42 X
Revenue5.3 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.26 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.17 B3.9 B
Net Income780 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents639.7 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.63 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.98 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.84 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share14.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations959.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.62 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.28 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth4.19 X4.89 X
Number of Employees5.1 K18.84 K
Beta0.39-0.15
Market Capitalization21.85 B19.03 B
Total Asset988.24 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.71 B9.33 B
Working Capital100.25 M1.48 B
Current Asset285.44 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by Buchert Brian D of tradable shares of Church Dwight subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Church Dwight Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Church . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution24365.52
Daily Balance Of Power0.0208
Rate Of Daily Change1.0
Day Median Price87.77
Day Typical Price87.75
Price Action Indicator(0.04)

About Church Dwight Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Church Dwight? Buying financial instruments such as Church Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Church Dwight investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables356.4 M398.8 M405.5 M349.1 M
Inventories417.4 M495.4 M535.4 M577.67 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Church Dwight in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Airlines
Airlines Theme
Domestic and international airlines and airline services. The Airlines theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Airlines Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Church Dwight Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Church Dwight information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Church Dwight's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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Is Church Dwight's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Church Dwight. If investors know Church will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Church Dwight listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.13
Market Capitalization
21.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.042
Return On Assets
0.0774
Return On Equity
0.23
The market value of Church Dwight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Church that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Church Dwight's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Church Dwight's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Church Dwight's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Church Dwight's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Church Dwight's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Church Dwight value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Church Dwight's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.