Cadiz Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CDZI
 Stock
  

USD 2.06  0.05  2.37%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Cadiz Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Cadiz buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Cadiz positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Cadiz's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Cadiz's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Cadiz Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cadiz and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Cadiz Inc.

Execute Cadiz Buy or Sell Advice

The Cadiz recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cadiz Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cadiz Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cadiz's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CadizBuy Cadiz
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Cadiz Inc has a Mean Deviation of 4.62, Standard Deviation of 6.08 and Variance of 37.0
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cadiz Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cadiz is not overpriced, please confirm all Cadiz Inc fundamentals, including its cash per share, beta, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Please also double-check Cadiz Inc price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Cadiz Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cadiz Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cadiz Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 564 K. Net Loss for the year was (31.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 564 K.
Cadiz Inc currently holds about 6.96 M in cash with (15.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Cadiz Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cadiz Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cadiz's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cadiz's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cadiz stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cadiz Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cadiz returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cadiz.
Mean Return-0.79Value At Risk-10.8
Potential Upside11.11Standard Deviation6.08
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cadiz historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cadiz Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion274 K258 K265 K381 K438 K409.53 K
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents858 K(472 K)3.12 M(8.39 M)12.43 M13.41 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities12.33 M(56 K)(59 K)107 K(27.46 M)(28.18 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing12.33 M15.45 M19.34 M14.87 M51.18 M55.22 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(10.47 M)(12.19 M)(13.71 M)(13.43 M)(15.27 M)(16.48 M)
Share Based Compensation2.3 M473 K562 K2.1 M4.75 M5.12 M

Cadiz Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cadiz or Water Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cadiz's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cadiz stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.91
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.48
σ
Overall volatility
6.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Cadiz Volatility Alert

Cadiz Inc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Cadiz Inc independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Cadiz volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cadiz's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cadiz's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Cadiz Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cadiz's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cadiz's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cadiz and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cadiz or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cadiz's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cadiz by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cadiz to competition
FundamentalsCadizPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.60) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.09) %(0.14) %
Operating Margin(14.44) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation179.6 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding55.82 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders40.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions18.56 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted670.3 K4.71 M
Price to Earning(8.12) X28.72 X
Price to Book3.69 X9.51 X
Price to Sales107.57 X11.42 X
Revenue564 K9.43 B
Gross Profit564 K27.38 B
EBITDA(21.21 M)3.9 B
Net Income(31.25 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents6.96 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.12 X5.01 X
Total Debt46.48 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity2.15 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.57 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.63 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(15.27 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.65 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.83) X3.12 X
Target Price15.0
Number of Employees1018.84 K
Beta0.63-0.15
Market Capitalization115 M19.03 B
Total Asset112.49 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(541.2 M)9.33 B
Working Capital1.16 M1.48 B
Current Asset3.19 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.02 M7.9 B
   Purchase by Water Asset Management Llc of 7400 shares of Cadiz [view details]

About Cadiz Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cadiz Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Cadiz Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable194 K548 K286 K436.67 K
Receivables49 K55 K270 K232.81 K

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cadiz in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Artificial Intelligence Thematic Idea Now

Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Intelligence Theme
Technology companies, funds, and ETFs across multiple industries that are involved in research or development in the field of reasoning, learning, natural language processing and perception as well as its application to science and commerce. This theme may also include entities involved in cybernetics and cognitive brain simulation field. The Artificial Intelligence theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Artificial Intelligence Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Cadiz Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Cadiz Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cadiz's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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Is Cadiz's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cadiz. If investors know Cadiz will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cadiz listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
115 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
3.22
Return On Assets
(0.09) 
Return On Equity
(0.60) 
The market value of Cadiz Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cadiz that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cadiz's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cadiz's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cadiz's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cadiz's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cadiz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Cadiz value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cadiz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.