Bellus Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BLU
 Stock
  

USD 11.29  0.14  1.22%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Bellus Health is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Bellus Health buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BLU positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Bellus Health's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Bellus Health's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Bellus Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bellus and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Bellus Health.

Execute Bellus Health Buy or Sell Advice

The Bellus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bellus Health. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bellus Health or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bellus Health's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Bellus HealthBuy Bellus Health
Buy

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Bellus Health has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1685, Jensen Alpha of 0.5115, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2919, Sortino Ratio of 0.1086 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6384
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Bellus Health and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Bellus Health is not overpriced, please confirm all Bellus Health fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Bellus Health has a price to earning of (15.27) X, we suggest you to validate Bellus Health market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Bellus Health Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Bellus Health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 16 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (69.83 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 16 K.
Bellus Health has about 233.97 M in cash with (60.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.19.
Bellus Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketbeat.com: BELLUS Health Price Target Raised to 20.00 - MarketBeat

Bellus Health current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Bellus analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Bellus analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price16.13
Target Median Price16.00
Target High Price20.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions8
Target Low Price9.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Bellus Health Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Bellus Health's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bellus Health's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bellus Health stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bellus Health price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bellus Health returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bellus Health.
Mean Return0.59Value At Risk-7.78
Potential Upside8.27Standard Deviation4.56
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bellus Health historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Bellus Health Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bellus Health or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bellus Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bellus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.51
β
Beta against DOW0.91
σ
Overall volatility
4.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Bellus Health Volatility Alert

Bellus Health exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Bellus Health individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicators are consistent with their estimates about Bellus Health future systematic risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bellus Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bellus Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Bellus Health Implied Volatility

Bellus Health's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/BLU/Bellus-Health">Bellus Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bellus Health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bellus Health's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/BLU/Bellus-Health">Bellus Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bellus Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bellus Health's options" href="/stock-options/BLU/Bellus-Health">Bellus Health's options are near their expiration.

Bellus Health Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Bellus Health's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bellus Health's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bellus Health and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bellus Health or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bellus Health's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bellus Health by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Bellus Health to competition
FundamentalsBellus HealthPeer Average
Return On Equity(33.82) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(20.90) %(0.14) %
Current Valuation814.07 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding103.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders11.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions90.27 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted15.53 M4.71 M
Price to Earning(15.27) X28.72 X
Price to Book9.68 X9.51 X
Revenue16 K9.43 B
Gross Profit16 K27.38 B
EBITDA(73.09 M)3.9 B
Net Income(69.83 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents233.97 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt845 K5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.003 %48.70 %
Current Ratio15.33 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.22 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(60.13 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.72 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.85) X3.12 X
Number of Employees4018.84 K
Beta-0.55-0.15
Market Capitalization1.22 B19.03 B
Total Asset39.33 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(468.07 M)9.33 B
Working Capital31.69 M1.48 B
Current Asset39.42 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities7.73 M7.9 B

Bellus Health Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bellus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution9243.26
Daily Balance Of Power(0.33)
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price11.26
Day Typical Price11.27
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(0.04)

About Bellus Health Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Bellus Health? Buying financial instruments such as Bellus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets94.25 M102.31 M258.2 M278.59 M
Total Assets96.37 M153.11 M309.6 M334.04 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Bellus Health in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Rubber and Plastic Thematic Idea Now

Rubber and Plastic
Rubber and Plastic Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Rubber and Plastic theme has 56 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Rubber and Plastic Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Bellus Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Bellus Health information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bellus Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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When running Bellus Health price analysis, check to measure Bellus Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bellus Health is operating at the current time. Most of Bellus Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bellus Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bellus Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bellus Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bellus Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bellus Health. If investors know Bellus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bellus Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.4 B
Return On Assets
-0.22
Return On Equity
-0.37
The market value of Bellus Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bellus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bellus Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bellus Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bellus Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bellus Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bellus Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bellus Health value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bellus Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.