Big 5 Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BGFV -  USA Stock  

USD 13.35  0.17  1.29%

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Big 5 Sporting is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Big 5 buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Big 5 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Big 5's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Big 5's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Big 5 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Big 5 and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Big 5 Sporting.

Execute Big 5 Buy or Sell Advice

The Big 5 recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Big 5 Sporting. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Big 5 Sporting or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Big 5's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Big 5Buy Big 5
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Big 5 Sporting has a Mean Deviation of 3.01, Standard Deviation of 3.91 and Variance of 15.3
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Big 5 Sporting and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Big 5 is not overpriced, please confirm all Big 5 Sporting fundamentals, including its cash per share, beta, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Big 5 Sporting has a price to earning of 2.90 X, we suggest you to validate Big 5 Sporting market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Big 5 Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Big 5 Sporting generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Big 5 Sporting has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from investorplace.com: Retails 3 Most-Shorted Stocks to Trade - InvestorPlace

Big 5 current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Big 5 analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Big 5 analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price23.00
Target Median Price23.00
Target High Price23.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions1
Target Low Price23.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Big 5 Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Big 5's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Big 5's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Big 5 stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Big 5 Sporting price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Big 5 returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Big 5 stock.
Mean Return-0.22Value At Risk-6.74
Potential Upside7.37Standard Deviation3.91
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Big 5 historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Big 5 Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Big 5 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Big 5 Sporting backward and forwards among themselves. Big 5's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Big 5's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares1.4 M23.4 M
Group One Trading LpCall Options1.1 M19.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares1.1 M18.9 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares934.2 K16 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares733.6 K12.6 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options564.1 K9.7 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpCommon Shares490.8 K8.4 M
Bank Of New York Mellon CorpCommon Shares448.2 K7.7 M
Two Sigma Investments LpCommon Shares401.9 K6.9 M
Note, although Big 5's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Big 5 Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Big 5 or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Big 5 stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Big 5 stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.23
β
Beta against DOW1.50
σ
Overall volatility
3.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Big 5 Volatility Alert

Big 5 Sporting exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.21 and kurtosis of 0.37. However, we advise investors to further study Big 5 Sporting technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Big 5's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Big 5's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Big 5 Implied Volatility

Big 5's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Big 5 Sporting stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Big 5's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Big 5 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Big 5's options are near their expiration.

Big 5 Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Big 5's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Big 5's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Big 5 and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Big 5 or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Big 5's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Big 5 by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Big 5 to competition
FundamentalsBig 5Peer Average
Return On Equity40.96 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset11.69 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin8.81 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin13.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation509.03 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding22.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders4.44 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions53.64 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted8.68 M4.71 M
Price to Earning2.90 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.04 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.26 X11.42 X
Revenue1.16 B9.43 B
Gross Profit435.83 M27.38 B
EBITDA152.19 M3.9 B
Net Income102.39 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents97.42 M2.7 B
Cash per Share4.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt290.99 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.09 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.78 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations115.53 M971.22 M
Short Ratio10.04 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.60 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.90) X4.89 X
Number of Employees2.4 K18.84 K
Beta2.82-0.15
Market Capitalization297.85 M19.03 B
Total Asset445.03 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings115.72 M9.33 B
Working Capital172.01 M1.48 B
Current Asset332.93 M9.34 B
   Sale by Shane Starr of 3135 shares of Big 5 [view details]

Big 5 Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Big 5 . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution42701.6
Daily Balance Of Power0.2742
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price13.45
Day Typical Price13.42
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(0.015)

About Big 5 Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Big 5 Sporting? Buying financial instruments such as Big 5 Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Big 5 investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2012 2017 2018 2022 (projected)
Receivables12.2 M10.89 M19.88 M11.83 M
Inventories294.32 M313.9 M251.18 M284.3 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Big 5 in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Companies specializing in advertising, marketing and advertising services. The Advertising theme has 30 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Advertising Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Big 5 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Big 5 Sporting information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Big 5's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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When running Big 5 Sporting price analysis, check to measure Big 5's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Big 5 is operating at the current time. Most of Big 5's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Big 5's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Big 5's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Big 5 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Big 5's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Big 5. If investors know Big 5 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Big 5 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Big 5 Sporting is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Big 5 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Big 5's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Big 5's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Big 5's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Big 5's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Big 5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Big 5 value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Big 5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.