Balchem Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BCPC
 Stock
  

USD 135.50  1.33  0.99%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Balchem Cp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Balchem Cp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BCPC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Balchem Cp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Balchem Cp's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Balchem Cp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Balchem and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Balchem Cp.

Execute Balchem Cp Buy or Sell Advice

The Balchem recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Balchem Cp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Balchem Cp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Balchem Cp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Balchem CpBuy Balchem Cp
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Balchem Cp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1778, Jensen Alpha of 0.154, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1058, Sortino Ratio of 0.0726 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2628
Macroaxis provides advice on Balchem Cp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Balchem Cp. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Balchem Cp is not overpriced, please confirm all Balchem Cp fundamentals, including its gross profit, debt to equity, and the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Balchem Cp has a price to earning of 38.77 X, we suggest you to validate Balchem Cp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Balchem Cp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by Van Gunsteren Job Leonard of 2629 shares of Balchem Cp

Balchem Cp current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Balchem analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Balchem analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price160.33
Target Median Price164.00
Target High Price165.00
Recommendation Mean1.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price152.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Balchem Cp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Balchem Cp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Balchem Cp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Balchem Cp stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Balchem Cp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Balchem Cp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Balchem Cp stock.
Mean Return0.25Value At Risk-2.43
Potential Upside3.16Standard Deviation1.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Balchem Cp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Balchem Cp Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(28.12 M)(19.72 M)(28.41 M)(33.83 M)(37.45 M)(38.43 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion44.38 M44.67 M45.86 M51.28 M48.88 M45.79 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents1.77 M13.85 M11.4 M18.9 M18.67 M20.14 M
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals(17.37 M)(16.43 M)(129.54 M)87 K318 K343.11 K
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares7.83 M6.88 M(16.48 M)692 K(28.3 M)(29.04 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(64.38 M)(63.52 M)75 M(85.15 M)(55.16 M)(56.61 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(12.07 M)(13.43 M)(15.13 M)(16.7 M)(18.72 M)(20.2 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(68.63 M)(71.45 M)43.38 M(101.16 M)(102.18 M)(104.87 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(42.7 M)(31.99 M)(156.22 M)(34.59 M)(35.3 M)(38.09 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations110.62 M118.7 M124.46 M150.49 M160.51 M143.22 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash2.48 M(1.41 M)(217 K)4.16 M(4.37 M)(4.48 M)
Share Based Compensation6.26 M6.41 M7.6 M8.3 M10.8 M9.33 M

Balchem Cp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Balchem Cp or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Balchem Cp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Balchem stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.15
β
Beta against DOW0.91
σ
Overall volatility
1.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Balchem Cp Volatility Alert

Balchem Cp has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.56 and kurtosis of 1.54. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Balchem Cp to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Balchem Cp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Balchem Cp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Balchem Cp Implied Volatility

Balchem Cp's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/BCPC/Balchem-Cp">Balchem Cp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Balchem Cp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Balchem Cp's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/BCPC/Balchem-Cp">Balchem Cp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Balchem Cp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Balchem Cp's options" href="/stock-options/BCPC/Balchem-Cp">Balchem Cp's options are near their expiration.

Balchem Cp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Balchem Cp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Balchem Cp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Balchem Cp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Balchem Cp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Balchem Cp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Balchem Cp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Balchem Cp to competition
FundamentalsBalchem CpPeer Average
Return On Equity12.27 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset6.52 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin12.40 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin22.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.49 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding32.12 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.81 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions90.95 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted519.21 K4.71 M
Price to Earning38.77 X28.72 X
Price to Book4.61 X9.51 X
Price to Sales4.74 X11.42 X
Revenue876.56 M9.43 B
Gross Profit243.17 M27.38 B
EBITDA193.03 M3.9 B
Net Income108.67 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents77.23 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.40 X5.01 X
Total Debt446.68 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.49 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.62 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share28.06 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations139.39 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.78 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.34 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.25 X4.89 X
Number of Employees1.36 K18.84 K
Beta0.59-0.15
Market Capitalization4.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset881.22 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings496.51 M9.33 B
Working Capital117.71 M1.48 B
Current Asset198.83 M9.34 B
   Sale by Van Gunsteren Job Leonard of 2629 shares of Balchem Cp [view details]

Balchem Cp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Balchem . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution1407.52
Daily Balance Of Power0.5115
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price134.84
Day Typical Price135.06
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator1.33

About Balchem Cp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Balchem Cp? Buying financial instruments such as Balchem Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Balchem Cp investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables93.44 M98.21 M117.41 M126.68 M
Inventories83.89 M70.62 M91.06 M98.25 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Balchem Cp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Petroleum and Natural Thematic Idea Now

Petroleum and Natural
Petroleum and Natural Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Petroleum and Natural theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Petroleum and Natural Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Balchem Cp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Balchem Cp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Balchem Cp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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Is Balchem Cp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Balchem Cp. If investors know Balchem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Balchem Cp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.31
Market Capitalization
4.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Return On Assets
0.0652
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Balchem Cp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Balchem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Balchem Cp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Balchem Cp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Balchem Cp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Balchem Cp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Balchem Cp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Balchem Cp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Balchem Cp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.