Blucora Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BCOR
 Stock
  

USD 18.29  0.47  2.51%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Blucora is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Blucora buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Blucora positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Blucora's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Blucora's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Blucora Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Blucora and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Blucora.

Execute Blucora Buy or Sell Advice

The Blucora recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Blucora. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Blucora or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Blucora's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BlucoraBuy Blucora
Strong Buy

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Close to AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Blucora has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.017754), Jensen Alpha of 0.0449, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3081 and Treynor Ratio of (0.1)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Blucora and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Blucora is not overpriced, please confirm all Blucora fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Blucora has a price to earning of 122.19 X, we suggest you to validate Blucora market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Blucora Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Blucora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blucora has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Blucora was previously known as Inspire Medical Systems and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol INSP.
Blucora has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 264 shares by Stacy Murray of Blucora subject to Rule 16b-3

Blucora current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Blucora analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Blucora analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price24.33
Target Median Price25.00
Target High Price26.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price22.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Blucora Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Blucora's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Blucora's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Blucora stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Blucora price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Blucora returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Blucora stock.
Mean Return-0.05Value At Risk-3.64
Potential Upside3.66Standard Deviation3.10
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Blucora historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Blucora Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(5.04 M)(7.63 M)(10.5 M)(36 M)(30.28 M)(31.07 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion38.14 M38.59 M44.21 M39.91 M43.43 M40.76 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents7.44 M23.05 M1.08 M64.31 M(15.94 M)(16.36 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares41.7 M14.87 M(21.8 M)2.35 M3.86 M3.85 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(100.19 M)(80 M)131.18 M159.75 M(2.31 M)(2.37 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(68.56 M)(74.8 M)77.84 M160.94 M(14.18 M)(14.55 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing2.05 M(7.63 M)(169.59 M)(140.71 M)(38.59 M)(41.64 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations72.85 M105.55 M92.8 M44.08 M36.83 M56.48 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(26 K)78 K(56 K)38 K43.7 K47.15 K
Share Based Compensation11.65 M13.25 M16.3 M10.07 M20.75 M22.39 M

Blucora Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Blucora or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Blucora stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Blucora stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.044888
β
Beta against DOW0.63
σ
Overall volatility
3.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.0346

Blucora Volatility Alert

Blucora exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.51 and kurtosis of 11.74. However, we advise investors to further study Blucora technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Blucora's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Blucora's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Blucora Implied Volatility

Blucora's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blucora stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blucora's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blucora stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blucora's options are near their expiration.

Blucora Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Blucora's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Blucora's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Blucora and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Blucora or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Blucora's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blucora by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Blucora to competition
FundamentalsBlucoraPeer Average
Return On Equity2.37 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset3.71 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.88 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin7.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding48.72 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.90 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions98.12 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.25 M4.71 M
Price to Earning122.19 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.55 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.04 X11.42 X
Revenue885.2 M9.43 B
Gross Profit405.35 M27.38 B
EBITDA97.94 M3.9 B
Net Income7.76 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents134.82 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.78 X5.01 X
Total Debt593.11 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.74 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations36.83 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.40) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.58 X4.89 X
Number of Employees1.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.56-0.15
Market Capitalization916.4 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.3 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(987.01 M)9.33 B
Working Capital174.57 M1.48 B
Current Asset340.68 M9.34 B
   Payment of 264 shares by Stacy Murray of Blucora subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Blucora Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Blucora? Buying financial instruments such as Blucora Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Blucora investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables46.98 M40.22 M
Inventories26.32 M26.08 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Blucora in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Entertainment Thematic Idea Now

Entertainment
Entertainment Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Entertainment theme has 61 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Entertainment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Blucora Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Blucora information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blucora's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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Is Blucora's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blucora. If investors know Blucora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blucora listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.25
Market Capitalization
886.4 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0368
Return On Equity
0.0425
The market value of Blucora is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blucora that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blucora's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blucora's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blucora's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blucora's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blucora's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Blucora value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blucora's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.