Build-A-Bear Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BBW -  USA Stock  

USD 19.99  0.87  4.55%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Build-A-Bear Workshop is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Build-A-Bear Workshop buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BBW positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Build-A-Bear Workshop's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Build-A-Bear Workshop's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Build-A-Bear Workshop Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Build-A-Bear and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Build-A-Bear Workshop.

Execute Build-A-Bear Workshop Buy or Sell Advice

The Build-A-Bear recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Build-A-Bear Workshop. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Build-A-Bear Workshop or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Build-A-Bear Workshop's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Build-A-Bear WorkshopBuy Build-A-Bear Workshop
Strong Sell

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Build-A-Bear Workshop has a Mean Deviation of 3.67, Semi Deviation of 5.35, Standard Deviation of 5.04, Variance of 25.37, Downside Variance of 29.78 and Semi Variance of 28.65
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Build-A-Bear Workshop and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Build-A-Bear Workshop is not overpriced, please confirm all Build-A-Bear Workshop fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Build-A-Bear Workshop has a price to earning of 8.81 X, we suggest you to validate Build-A-Bear Workshop market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Build-A-Bear Workshop has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Build-A-Bear Workshop has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from Macroaxis: Is Build-A-Bear Workshop a new disruptor

Build-A-Bear Workshop current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Build-A-Bear analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Build-A-Bear analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price33.00
Target Median Price33.00
Target High Price33.00
Recommendation Mean2.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions1
Target Low Price33.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Build-A-Bear Workshop's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Build-A-Bear Workshop's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Build-A-Bear Workshop stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Build-A-Bear Workshop price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Build-A-Bear Workshop returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Build-A-Bear Workshop stock.
Mean Return0.16Value At Risk-8.78
Potential Upside6.04Standard Deviation5.04
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Build-A-Bear Workshop historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Build-A-Bear Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Build-A-Bear Workshop is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Build-A-Bear Workshop backward and forwards among themselves. Build-A-Bear Workshop's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Build-A-Bear Workshop's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Cannell Capital LlcCommon Shares1.7 M30.5 M
Kanen Wealth Management LlcCommon SharesM18.5 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares994 K18.2 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares670.8 K12.3 M
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners LlcCommon Shares509.5 K9.3 M
Acadian Asset Management LlcCommon Shares456.8 K8.3 M
Renaissance Technologies LlcCommon Shares366.1 K6.7 M
Note, although Build-A-Bear Workshop's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Build-A-Bear Workshop or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Build-A-Bear Workshop stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Build-A-Bear stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.15
β
Beta against DOW2.15
σ
Overall volatility
5.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.0302

Build-A-Bear Workshop Volatility Alert

Build-A-Bear Workshop exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Build-A-Bear Workshop individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about Build-A-Bear Workshop future systematic risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Implied Volatility

Build-A-Bear Workshop's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Build-A-Bear Workshop stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Build-A-Bear Workshop's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Build-A-Bear Workshop stock will not fluctuate a lot when Build-A-Bear Workshop's options are near their expiration.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Build-A-Bear Workshop's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Build-A-Bear Workshop's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Build-A-Bear Workshop and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Build-A-Bear Workshop or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Build-A-Bear Workshop's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Build-A-Bear Workshop by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Build-A-Bear Workshop to competition
FundamentalsBuild-A-Bear WorkshopPeer Average
Return On Equity58.72 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset11.92 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin11.48 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin12.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation348.1 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.33 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders11.29 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions70.38 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.36 M4.71 M
Price to Earning8.81 X28.72 X
Price to Book3.19 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.74 X11.42 X
Revenue411.52 M9.43 B
Gross Profit217.96 M27.38 B
EBITDA62.58 M3.9 B
Net Income47.27 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents32.84 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.20 X5.01 X
Total Debt98.55 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.34 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.88 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations28.08 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.13 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.23 X4.89 X
Number of Employees1 K18.84 K
Beta1.94-0.15
Market Capitalization306.15 M19.03 B
Total Asset213.33 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings38.74 M9.33 B
Working Capital28.87 M1.48 B
Current Asset128.73 M9.34 B
   Exercise or conversion by Eric Fencl of 6477 shares of Build-A-Bear Workshop subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Build-A-Bear Workshop Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Build-A-Bear . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution35736.91
Daily Balance Of Power0.5762
Rate Of Daily Change1.05
Day Median Price19.84
Day Typical Price19.89
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator0.59

About Build-A-Bear Workshop Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Build-A-Bear Workshop? Buying financial instruments such as Build-A-Bear Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Build-A-Bear Workshop investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2012 2016 2020 2022 (projected)
Receivables11.53 M12.94 M8.29 M11.25 M
Inventories53.38 M51.88 M46.95 M48.69 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Build-A-Bear Workshop in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Beer and Liquor
Beer and Liquor Theme
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Continue to Build-A-Bear Workshop Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Build-A-Bear Workshop information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Build-A-Bear Workshop's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fund Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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When running Build-A-Bear Workshop price analysis, check to measure Build-A-Bear Workshop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Build-A-Bear Workshop is operating at the current time. Most of Build-A-Bear Workshop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Build-A-Bear Workshop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Build-A-Bear Workshop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Build-A-Bear Workshop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Build-A-Bear Workshop's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Build-A-Bear Workshop. If investors know Build-A-Bear will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Build-A-Bear Workshop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Build-A-Bear Workshop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Build-A-Bear that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Build-A-Bear Workshop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Build-A-Bear Workshop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Build-A-Bear Workshop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Build-A-Bear Workshop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Build-A-Bear Workshop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Build-A-Bear Workshop value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Build-A-Bear Workshop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.