Bancfirst Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BANF -  USA Stock  

USD 76.53  0.19  0.25%

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Bancfirst Corp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Bancfirst Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BANF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Bancfirst Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Bancfirst Advice 

 
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The advice is provided from Bancfirst Corp's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Bancfirst Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bancfirst and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Bancfirst Corp.

Execute Bancfirst Corp Buy or Sell Advice

The Bancfirst recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bancfirst Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bancfirst Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bancfirst Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Bancfirst CorpBuy Bancfirst Corp
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Bancfirst Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.176, Jensen Alpha of 0.2887, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3037, Sortino Ratio of 0.2524 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3299
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Bancfirst Corp that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Bancfirst Corp. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Bancfirst Corp is not overpriced, please confirm all Bancfirst Corp fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, ebitda, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Bancfirst Corp has a number of shares shorted of 472.04 K, we suggest you to validate Bancfirst Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Bancfirst Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Bancfirst Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Bancfirst Corp was previously known as Bfc Capital Trust and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BANFP.
About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bancfirst Corp current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Bancfirst analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Bancfirst analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price69.13
Target Median Price68.00
Target High Price72.50
Recommendation Mean3.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions4
Target Low Price68.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Bancfirst Corp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Bancfirst Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Bancfirst Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bancfirst Corp stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bancfirst Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bancfirst Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bancfirst Corp stock.
Mean Return0.28Value At Risk-1.43
Potential Upside2.66Standard Deviation1.33
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bancfirst Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Bancfirst Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Bancfirst Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bancfirst Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Bancfirst Corp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Bancfirst Corp's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
State Of Alaska Department Of RevenueCommon Shares13.4 K943 K
Louisiana State Employees Retirement SystemCommon Shares9.1 K642 K
Fourthought Financial LlcCommon Shares12.01000
Versant Capital Management IncCommon Shares8.01000
Blackrock IncCommon Shares3.1 M187.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon SharesM121.5 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares935.8 K56.3 M
Note, although Bancfirst Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Bancfirst Corp Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(18.01 M)(51.86 M)(27.05 M)(66.45 M)(59.8 M)(61.38 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion11.79 M13.55 M15.99 M18.42 M21.19 M18.5 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(92.59 M)(333.62 M)444.03 M(251.37 M)(226.23 M)(232.19 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares4.84 M(5.68 M)883 K(1.31 M)(1.5 M)(1.54 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(24.78 M)(30.27 M)(39.8 M)(42.47 M)(38.22 M)(41.24 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing147.45 M(179.83 M)234.72 M492.28 M566.13 M610.82 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(349.78 M)(293.8 M)50.35 M(897.99 M)(808.19 M)(829.46 M)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(335.81 M)(244.29 M)(8.14 M)(857.76 M)(771.99 M)(792.3 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations109.75 M140.01 M158.96 M154.34 M177.49 M151.86 M
Share Based Compensation(1.42 M)240 K349 K1.02 M914.4 K951.92 K

Bancfirst Corp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bancfirst Corp or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bancfirst Corp stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bancfirst stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.29
β
Beta against DOW0.83
σ
Overall volatility
1.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Bancfirst Corp Volatility Alert

Bancfirst Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.06 and kurtosis of 1.36. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Bancfirst Corp to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bancfirst Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bancfirst Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Bancfirst Corp Implied Volatility

Bancfirst Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bancfirst Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bancfirst Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bancfirst Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bancfirst Corp's options are near their expiration.

Bancfirst Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Bancfirst Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bancfirst Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bancfirst Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bancfirst Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bancfirst Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bancfirst Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Bancfirst Corp to competition
FundamentalsBancfirst CorpPeer Average
Return On Equity15.05 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset1.58 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin34.50 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin45.35 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(1.6 B)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding32.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders41.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions43.31 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted472.04 K4.71 M
Price to Earning15.69 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.20 X9.51 X
Price to Sales5.29 X11.42 X
Revenue477.73 M9.43 B
Gross Profit381.24 M27.38 B
EBITDA59.49 M3.9 B
Net Income164.82 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents4.11 B2.7 B
Cash per Share126.21 X5.01 X
Total Debt92.9 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.0488 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share35.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations204.71 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.36 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.94 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth2.08 X4.89 X
Number of Employees2.04 K18.84 K
Beta1.36-0.15
Market Capitalization2.53 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.69 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings730.5 M9.33 B
Z Score16.28.72
Five Year Return2.03 %
Last Dividend Paid1.44
   Bancfirst Corp exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Bancfirst Corp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bancfirst . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution48.42
Daily Balance Of Power0.1919
Rate Of Daily Change1.0
Day Median Price76.41
Day Typical Price76.45
Market Facilitation Index3.0E-4
Price Action Indicator0.22

About Bancfirst Corp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Bancfirst Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Bancfirst Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Bancfirst Corp investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents1.87 B1.62 B1.46 B1.5 B
Total Assets8.57 B9.21 B10.59 B9.66 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Bancfirst Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Printing and Publishing Thematic Idea Now

Printing and Publishing
Printing and Publishing Theme
Fama and French focuses on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. Printing and Publishing theme has 46 constituents.
View All  Next Launch Printing and Publishing
Continue to Bancfirst Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Bancfirst Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bancfirst Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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When running Bancfirst Corp price analysis, check to measure Bancfirst Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bancfirst Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Bancfirst Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bancfirst Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bancfirst Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bancfirst Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bancfirst Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bancfirst Corp. If investors know Bancfirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bancfirst Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bancfirst Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bancfirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bancfirst Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bancfirst Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bancfirst Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bancfirst Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bancfirst Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bancfirst Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bancfirst Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.