Axis Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AXS -  USA Stock  

USD 57.69  2.58  4.68%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Axis Capital Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Axis Capital buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AXS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Axis Capital's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Axis Capital's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Axis Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Axis Capital and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Axis Capital Holdings.

Execute Axis Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Axis Capital recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Axis Capital Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Axis Capital Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Axis Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Axis CapitalBuy Axis Capital
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Axis Capital Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0389, Jensen Alpha of 0.1808, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2545, Sortino Ratio of 0.096 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0442
Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Axis Capital Holdings. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Axis Capital is not overpriced, please confirm all Axis Capital Holdings fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Axis Capital Holdings has a number of shares shorted of 1.21 M, we suggest you to validate Axis Capital Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Axis Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 1.42 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.28, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Axis Capital Holdings has a current ratio of 0.62, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Axis Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Axis Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Axis Capital Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Axis Capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Axis Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Axis Capital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of Axis Capital shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investors in AXIS Capital Holdings have unfortunately lost 1.2 percent over the last five years - Simply Wall St

Axis Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Axis Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Axis Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Axis Capital stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Axis Capital Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Axis Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Axis Capital stock.
Mean Return0.05Value At Risk-3.48
Potential Upside3.25Standard Deviation2.01
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Axis Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Axis Capital Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion31.37 M9.79 M75.23 M65.8 M66.98 M55.2 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents122.28 M466.23 M(253.56 M)(73.22 M)(185.54 M)(190.42 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(135.03 M)(133.5 M)(137.21 M)(141.59 M)(145.6 M)(157.1 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(545.69 M)(186.21 M)277.51 M(908.8 M)(186.09 M)(200.79 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing391.51 M638.55 M(774.32 M)489.92 M(1.11 B)(1.14 B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals858.45 M638.55 M(774.32 M)489.92 M(1.11 B)(1.14 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations259.23 M10.77 M199 M343.5 M1.11 B1.2 B
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash17.23 M3.11 M44.24 M2.15 M(74 K)(75.95 K)
Share Based Compensation12.67 M34.35 M32.49 M29 M37.74 M37.82 M

Axis Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Axis Capital or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Axis Capital stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Axis Capital stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.18
β
Beta against DOW0.93
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Axis Capital Volatility Alert

Axis Capital Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.1 and kurtosis of 0.71. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Axis Capital Holdings to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Axis Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Axis Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Axis Capital Implied Volatility

Axis Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Axis Capital Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Axis Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Axis Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Axis Capital's options are near their expiration.

Axis Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Axis Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Axis Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Axis Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Axis Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Axis Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axis Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Axis Capital to competition
FundamentalsAxis CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity12.52 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset1.52 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin12.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin12.49 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.79 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding84.77 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.02 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions97.53 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.21 M4.71 M
Price to Earning12.04 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.97 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.87 X11.42 X
Revenue5.33 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.39 B27.38 B
EBITDA734.52 M3.9 B
Net Income614.26 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.06 B2.7 B
Cash per Share12.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.42 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.28 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share56.45 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations1.1 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.77 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.54 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.78 X4.89 X
Number of Employees2.08 K18.84 K
Beta0.93-0.15
Market Capitalization4.64 B19.03 B
Total Asset19.98 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings6.24 B9.33 B
Z Score1.88.72
Five Year Return3.03 %
   Payment of 1648 shares by Kent Ziegler of Axis Capital subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Axis Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Axis Capital Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Axis Capital Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Axis Capital investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents1.58 B1.5 B1.32 B1.44 B
Total Assets25.6 B25.88 B27.37 B27.29 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Axis Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Latest Losers Theme
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Losers theme has 74 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Losers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Axis Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Axis Capital Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Axis Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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Is Axis Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axis Capital. If investors know Axis Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axis Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.21
Market Capitalization
4.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.009
Return On Assets
0.0152
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Axis Capital Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axis Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axis Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axis Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axis Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axis Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axis Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Axis Capital value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axis Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.