Axcella Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AXLA
 Stock
  

USD 1.93  0.09  4.89%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Axcella Health is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Axcella Health buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AXLA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Axcella Health's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Axcella Health's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Axcella Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Axcella and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Axcella Health.

Execute Axcella Health Buy or Sell Advice

The Axcella recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Axcella Health. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Axcella Health or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Axcella Health's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Axcella HealthBuy Axcella Health
Strong Sell

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Axcella Health has a Mean Deviation of 4.88, Semi Deviation of 5.67, Standard Deviation of 7.31, Variance of 53.37, Downside Variance of 39.13 and Semi Variance of 32.18
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Axcella Health. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Axcella Health is not overpriced, please confirm all Axcella Health fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash per share . Please also double-check Axcella Health price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Axcella Health Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Axcella Health has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Axcella Health may become a speculative penny stock
Axcella Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (73.85 M).
Axcella Health currently holds about 44.4 M in cash with (61.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.84.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Axcella Health shares are trading higher after the company announced interim data from its Phase 2b EMMPA - Benzinga

Axcella Health current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Axcella analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Axcella analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price9.67
Target Median Price8.50
Target High Price19.00
Recommendation Mean1.60
Number Of Analyst Opinions6
Target Low Price6.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Axcella Health Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Axcella Health's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Axcella Health's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Axcella Health stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Axcella Health price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Axcella Health returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Axcella Health.
Mean Return0.10Value At Risk-11.17
Potential Upside12.87Standard Deviation7.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Axcella Health historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Axcella Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Axcella Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axcella Health backward and forwards among themselves. Axcella Health's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Axcella Health's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Flagship Pioneering IncCommon Shares18.9 M38.3 M
Fmr LlcCommon Shares7.9 M16 M
Harbourvest Partners LlcCommon Shares4.4 M8.9 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares767.2 K1.6 M
Artal Group SaCommon Shares712.5 K1.4 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares298 K606 K
Bridgeway Capital Management LlcCommon Shares250.4 K508 K
Citadel Advisors LlcCall Options36.6 K74 K
Note, although Axcella Health's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Axcella Health Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Axcella Health or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Axcella Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Axcella stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.08
β
Beta against DOW-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
7.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.0178

Axcella Health Volatility Alert

Axcella Health is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Axcella Health independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Axcella Health volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Axcella Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Axcella Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Axcella Health Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Axcella Health's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Axcella Health's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Axcella Health and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Axcella Health or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Axcella Health's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axcella Health by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Axcella Health to competition
FundamentalsAxcella HealthPeer Average
Return On Equity(257.38) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(67.56) %(0.14) %
Current Valuation73.68 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding52.64 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders14.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions64.84 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted113.77 K4.71 M
Price to Earning(1.10) X28.72 X
Price to Book10.90 X9.51 X
EBITDA(70.74 M)3.9 B
Net Income(73.85 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents44.4 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.84 X5.01 X
Total Debt28.06 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity3.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.18 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(61.38 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.94 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.76) X3.12 X
Number of Employees5918.84 K
Beta1.1-0.15
Market Capitalization101.6 M19.03 B
Total Asset63.51 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(233.15 M)9.33 B
Working Capital55.49 M1.48 B
Current Asset61.65 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities6.16 M7.9 B
Z Score-5.78.72
   Sale by Koziel Margaret of 547 shares of Axcella Health [view details]

Axcella Health Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Axcella . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Axcella Health Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Axcella Health? Buying financial instruments such as Axcella Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Axcella Health in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Money Funds
Money Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest most if their asset in companies from financial sector such as commercial banks, insurance companies, investment funds, and real estate. The Money Funds theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Money Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Axcella Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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Is Axcella Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axcella Health. If investors know Axcella will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axcella Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Axcella Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axcella that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axcella Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axcella Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axcella Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axcella Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axcella Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Axcella Health value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axcella Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.