Avalon OTC Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVLNF -  USA Stock  

USD 0.09  0.0041  4.62%

Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Avalon Advanced Materials is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Avalon Advanced buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AVLNF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Avalon Advanced's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Avalon Advanced's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Avalon Advanced Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Avalon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Avalon Advanced Materials.

Execute Avalon Advanced Buy or Sell Advice

The Avalon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Avalon Advanced Materials. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Avalon Advanced Materials or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Avalon Advanced's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Avalon AdvancedBuy Avalon Advanced
Sell

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Avalon Advanced Materials has a Mean Deviation of 4.26, Semi Deviation of 4.41, Standard Deviation of 7.83, Variance of 61.35, Downside Variance of 41.31 and Semi Variance of 19.43
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Avalon Advanced Materials. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Avalon Advanced is not overpriced, please confirm all Avalon Advanced Materials fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, cash and equivalents, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the revenue and book value per share . As Avalon Advanced Materials appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its price to book numbers.

Avalon Advanced Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Avalon Advanced generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Avalon Advanced has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Avalon Advanced has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 2.42 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Avalon Advanced Materials has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Avalon Advanced until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Avalon Advanced's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Avalon Advanced Materials sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Avalon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Avalon Advanced's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.05 K. Net Loss for the year was (298.71 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.12 K.
Avalon Advanced Materials has accumulated about 1.64 M in cash with (2.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Avalon Advanced has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Avalon Advanced Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Avalon Advanced's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Avalon Advanced's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Avalon Advanced stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Avalon Advanced Materials price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Avalon Advanced returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Avalon Advanced stock.
Mean Return0.0117Value At Risk-8.74
Potential Upside10.00Standard Deviation7.83
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Avalon Advanced historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Avalon Advanced Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(2.29 M)(2.32 M)2.28 M1.04 M1.19 M1.28 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(281.78 K)(751.81 K)1.56 M(585.5 K)(526.95 K)(568.55 K)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares2.5 M2.06 M1.1 M507.1 K456.39 K468.4 K
Net Cash Flow from Financing4.76 M4.15 M1.56 M300.04 K270.03 K277.14 K
Net Cash Flow from Investing(2.29 M)(2.32 M)2.28 M1.04 M1.19 M1.28 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(2.75 M)(2.58 M)(2.28 M)(1.92 M)(2.21 M)(2.38 M)
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(5.14 K)(2.71 K)(1.44 K)(622)(559.8)(574.53)

Avalon Advanced Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Avalon Advanced or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Avalon Advanced stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Avalon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.18
β
Beta against DOW1.15
σ
Overall volatility
7.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.0195

Avalon Advanced Volatility Alert

Avalon Advanced Materials is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Avalon Advanced Materials independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Avalon Advanced volatility. Avalon Advanced Materials is a penny stock. Although Avalon Advanced may be in fact a good investment, many penny otc stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Avalon Advanced Materials. We encourage investors to look for the signals such us message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Avalon instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of an artificial hype usually unable to maintain its increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Avalon Advanced Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Avalon Advanced's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Avalon Advanced's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Avalon Advanced and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Avalon Advanced or determine the otc stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Avalon Advanced's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avalon Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Avalon Advanced to competition
FundamentalsAvalon AdvancedPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.26) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(1.38) %(0.14) %
Current Valuation52.31 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding383.25 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.59 %10.09 %
Number of Shares Shorted640 K4.71 M
Price to Earning(7.79) X28.72 X
Price to Book0.29 X9.51 X
Revenue2.05 K9.43 B
Gross Profit5.12 K27.38 B
EBITDA(2.45 M)3.9 B
Net Income(298.71 K)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.64 M2.7 B
Total Debt2.42 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.021 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.83 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.31 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(2.01 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.22 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.008) X3.12 X
Number of Employees718.84 K
Beta1.57-0.15
Market Capitalization34.49 M19.03 B
Total Asset90.33 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(79.06 M)9.33 B
Working Capital497 K1.48 B
Current Asset1.44 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities941 K7.9 B
Z Score8.48.72

Avalon Advanced Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Avalon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution3472.65
Daily Balance Of Power0.4713
Rate Of Daily Change1.05
Day Median Price0.0904
Day Typical Price0.0912
Price Action Indicator0.0046

About Avalon Advanced Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Avalon Advanced Materials? Buying financial instruments such as Avalon OTC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Avalon Advanced investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2018 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets4.97 M1.68 M1.51 M1.55 M
Total Assets124.01 M116.6 M104.94 M105.64 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Avalon Advanced in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Alternative Energy Thematic Idea Now

Alternative Energy
Alternative Energy Theme
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing or directly involved in providing energy derived from sources not connected to fossil fuels, do not consume natural resources, and do not harm the environment. This includes wind power, nuclear and solar energy, biofuel, ethanol, hydrogen and others alternative sources of energy. The Alternative Energy theme has 38 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Alternative Energy Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Alternative Energy
Please continue to Avalon Advanced Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Avalon Advanced Materials information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Avalon Advanced's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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Is Avalon Advanced's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avalon Advanced. If investors know Avalon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avalon Advanced listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
35.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.23
Return On Assets
-0.0138
Return On Equity
-0.0027
The market value of Avalon Advanced Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avalon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avalon Advanced's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avalon Advanced's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avalon Advanced's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avalon Advanced's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avalon Advanced's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Avalon Advanced value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avalon Advanced's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.