Arrival Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARVL
 Stock
  

USD 0.33  0.01  3.13%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arrival Vault USA is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Arrival Vault buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ARVL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Arrival Vault's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Arrival Vault's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Arrival Vault Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arrival and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Arrival Vault USA.

Execute Arrival Vault Buy or Sell Advice

The Arrival recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arrival Vault USA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arrival Vault USA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arrival Vault's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Arrival VaultBuy Arrival Vault
Strong Sell

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Arrival Vault USA has a Mean Deviation of 5.59, Standard Deviation of 8.47 and Variance of 71.72
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Arrival Vault USA. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Arrival Vault is not overpriced, please confirm all Arrival Vault USA fundamentals, including its cash per share, as well as the relationship between the cash flow from operations and beta . As Arrival Vault USA appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its number of shares shorted numbers.

Arrival Vault Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Arrival Vault USA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arrival Vault USA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Arrival Vault USA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (1.1 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Arrival Vault USA currently holds about 512.62 M in cash with (230.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Arrival Vault Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Arrival Vault's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arrival Vault's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arrival Vault stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arrival Vault USA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arrival Vault returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arrival Vault.
Mean Return-1.48Value At Risk-10.81
Potential Upside9.09Standard Deviation8.47
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arrival Vault historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Arrival Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Arrival Vault is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arrival Vault USA backward and forwards among themselves. Arrival Vault's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Arrival Vault's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Wolverine Trading LlcCommon Shares25 K20 K
Wolverine Trading LlcPut Options47.7 K38 K
Wolverine Trading LlcCall Options116.9 K92 K
Wolverine Trading LlcCommon Shares33.8 K51 K
Wolverine Trading LlcCommon Shares17.3 K136 K
Wolverine Trading LlcCommon Shares19.1 K252 K
Wolverine Asset Management LlcCommon Shares17.9 K14 K
Wolverine Asset Management LlcCommon Shares22.9 K36 K
Note, although Arrival Vault's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arrival Vault Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arrival Vault or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arrival Vault's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arrival stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.72
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.99
σ
Overall volatility
8.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Arrival Vault Volatility Alert

Arrival Vault USA is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Arrival Vault USA independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Arrival Vault volatility. Arrival Vault USA is a potential penny stock. Although Arrival Vault may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Arrival Vault USA. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Arrival instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Arrival Vault Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Arrival Vault's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arrival Vault's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arrival Vault and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arrival Vault or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arrival Vault's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arrival Vault by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arrival Vault to competition
FundamentalsArrival VaultPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0472) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.14) %(0.14) %
Current Valuation82.42 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding638.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders65.51 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions9.84 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted39.43 M4.71 M
Price to Book0.22 X9.51 X
EBITDA(1.17 B)3.9 B
Net Income(1.1 B)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents512.62 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.81 X5.01 X
Total Debt140.53 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.36 %48.70 %
Current Ratio7.53 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.65 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(230.51 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.12 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.02) X3.12 X
Target Price1.5
Number of Employees2.69 K18.84 K
Beta2.26-0.15
Market Capitalization210.14 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.56 B29.47 B
Net Asset1.56 B

Arrival Vault Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arrival . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Arrival Vault Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Arrival Vault USA? Buying financial instruments such as Arrival Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Arrival Vault in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Latest Losers
Latest Losers Theme
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Losers theme has 106 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Losers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Arrival Vault Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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Is Arrival Vault's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arrival Vault. If investors know Arrival will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arrival Vault listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
210.1 M
Return On Assets
(0.14) 
Return On Equity
(0.0472) 
The market value of Arrival Vault USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arrival that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arrival Vault's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arrival Vault's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arrival Vault's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arrival Vault's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arrival Vault's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arrival Vault value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arrival Vault's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.