Armour Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARR
 Stock
  

USD 6.90  0.01  0.15%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Armour Residential R is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Armour Residential buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ARR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Armour Residential's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Armour Residential's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Armour Residential Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Armour and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Armour Residential R.

Execute Armour Residential Buy or Sell Advice

The Armour recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Armour Residential R. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Armour Residential R or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Armour Residential's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Armour ResidentialBuy Armour Residential
Hold

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Armour Residential R has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13), Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0665 and Treynor Ratio of (0.24)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Armour Residential. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Armour Residential is not overpriced, please confirm all Armour Residential fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and number of employees . Given that Armour Residential has a price to book of 0.53 X, we suggest you to validate Armour Residential R market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Armour Residential Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Armour Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Reported Net Loss for the year was (134.38 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 50.28 M.
Armour Residential R has about 6.14 B in cash with (93.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 59.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Armour Residential has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Best Income Stocks to Buy for June 24th - Nasdaq

Armour Residential current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Armour analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Armour analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price8.33
Target Median Price8.00
Target High Price9.50
Recommendation Mean3.20
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price7.50
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Armour Residential Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Armour Residential's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Armour Residential's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Armour Residential stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Armour Residential R price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Armour Residential returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Armour Residential stock.
Mean Return-0.21Value At Risk-4.29
Potential Upside3.53Standard Deviation2.34
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Armour Residential historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Armour Residential Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(68.85 M)(50.2 M)40.97 M(101.5 M)184.55 M199.12 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares133.19 M38.01 M304.89 M53.8 M328.78 M293.21 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities737.46 M(518.27 M)4.32 B(6.82 B)(588.03 M)(603.5 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(89.41 M)(97.02 M)(124.48 M)(75.49 M)(96.63 M)(104.26 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing780.18 M(591.68 M)4.47 B(6.93 B)(330.77 M)(339.47 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(959.11 M)466.26 M(4.39 B)7.09 B503.58 M543.33 M
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(879.93 M)398.64 M(4.31 B)7.06 B377.22 M407 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations110.08 M75.22 M(40.72 M)(257.82 M)11.74 M12.05 M
Share Based Compensation937 K2.4 M2.69 M4.07 M4.77 M5.14 M

Armour Residential Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Armour Residential or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Armour Residential stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Armour stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Armour Residential Volatility Alert

Armour Residential R exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.45 and kurtosis of 4.72. However, we advise investors to further study Armour Residential R technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Armour Residential's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Armour Residential's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Armour Residential Implied Volatility

Armour Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Armour Residential R stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Armour Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Armour Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when Armour Residential's options are near their expiration.

Armour Residential Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Armour Residential's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Armour Residential's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Armour Residential and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Armour Residential or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Armour Residential's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Armour Residential by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Armour Residential to competition
FundamentalsArmour ResidentialPeer Average
Return On Equity(11.95) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(1.74) %(0.14) %
Current Valuation1.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding89.69 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.17 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions51.42 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted10.93 M4.71 M
Price to Earning4.76 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.53 X9.51 X
Price to Sales(7.17) X11.42 X
Revenue(86.35 M)9.43 B
Gross Profit50.28 M27.38 B
EBITDA(41.83 M)3.9 B
Net Income(134.38 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents6.14 B2.7 B
Cash per Share59.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.44 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity6.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(93.16 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.17 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.45 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.63) X4.89 X
Number of Employees918.84 K
Beta0.98-0.15
Market Capitalization618.85 M19.03 B
Total Asset13.06 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.03 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(11.01 B)1.48 B
Current Asset589.26 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities11.6 B7.9 B
Five Year Return12.37 %
   Exercise or conversion by Gordon Harper of 3000 shares of Armour Residential subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Armour Residential Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Armour . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution68663.58
Daily Balance Of Power0.0417
Rate Of Daily Change1.0
Day Median Price6.8
Day Typical Price6.83
Price Action Indicator0.11

About Armour Residential Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Armour Residential R? Buying financial instruments such as Armour Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Armour Residential investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2017 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable2.96 M3.61 M3.25 M3.33 M
Receivables127.17 M127.5 M146.63 M193.78 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Armour Residential in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Beer and Liquor
Beer and Liquor Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Beer and Liquor theme has 30 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Beer and Liquor Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Armour Residential Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Armour Residential information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Armour Residential's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Armour Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armour Residential. If investors know Armour will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armour Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Market Capitalization
710.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.34
Return On Assets
-0.0174
Return On Equity
-0.12
The market value of Armour Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armour that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armour Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armour Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armour Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armour Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armour Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Armour Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armour Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.