Appian Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

APPN
 Stock
  

USD 50.07  0.74  1.46%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Appian Corp Cl is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Appian Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding APPN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Appian Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Appian Corp's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Appian Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Appian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Appian Corp Cl.

Execute Appian Corp Buy or Sell Advice

The Appian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Appian Corp Cl. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Appian Corp Cl or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Appian Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Appian CorpBuy Appian Corp
Strong Hold

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Appian Corp Cl has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.00324), Jensen Alpha of 0.426, Total Risk Alpha of 0.9562 and Treynor Ratio of (0.027404)
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Appian Corp trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Appian Corp is not overpriced, please confirm all Appian Corp Cl fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, working capital, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Appian Corp Cl has a number of shares shorted of 4.48 M, we suggest you to validate Appian Corp Cl market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Appian Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Appian Corp Cl has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Appian Corp Cl is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 369.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (88.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 265.17 M.
Appian Corp Cl currently holds about 155.98 M in cash with (53.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.16.
Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.gurufocus.com: SHAREHOLDER ALERT The Gross L - GuruFocus.com

Appian Corp current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Appian analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Appian analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price57.33
Target Median Price57.50
Target High Price77.00
Recommendation Mean2.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions6
Target Low Price37.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Appian Corp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Appian Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Appian Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Appian Corp stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Appian Corp Cl price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Appian Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Appian Corp stock.
Mean Return-0.06Value At Risk-9.47
Potential Upside9.45Standard Deviation7.46
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Appian Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Appian Corp Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(433 K)(7.01 M)(32.42 M)(1.25 M)(6.06 M)(6.54 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion886 K2.02 M4.74 M5.85 M5.74 M4.57 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents42.62 M21.17 M64.83 M(47.29 M)(8.5 M)(8.73 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing50.95 M60.96 M105.55 M110.47 M2.79 M2.86 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(433 K)(7.01 M)(32.42 M)(153.36 M)41.94 M45.25 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(9.13 M)(31.32 M)(8.93 M)(7.62 M)(53.92 M)(55.34 M)
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash1.23 M(1.46 M)623 K3.22 M694 K748.79 K

Appian Corp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Appian Corp or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Appian Corp stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Appian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.43
β
Beta against DOW2.54
σ
Overall volatility
7.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.0168

Appian Corp Volatility Alert

Appian Corp Cl is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Appian Corp Cl independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Appian Corp volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Appian Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Appian Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Appian Corp Implied Volatility

Appian Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Appian Corp Cl stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Appian Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Appian Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Appian Corp's options are near their expiration.

Appian Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Appian Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Appian Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Appian Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Appian Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Appian Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Appian Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Appian Corp to competition
FundamentalsAppian CorpPeer Average
Return On Equity(33.42) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(10.31) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(24.00) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(22.72) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.35 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding39.68 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions74.56 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.48 M4.71 M
Price to Earning(30.70) X28.72 X
Price to Book13.14 X9.51 X
Price to Sales9.13 X11.42 X
Revenue369.26 M9.43 B
Gross Profit265.17 M27.38 B
EBITDA(78.16 M)3.9 B
Net Income(88.64 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents155.98 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.16 X5.01 X
Total Debt56.89 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.57 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.60 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(53.92 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio12.27 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.98) X3.12 X
Number of Employees1.8 K18.84 K
Beta1.69-0.15
Market Capitalization3.37 B19.03 B
Total Asset134.48 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(146.1 M)9.33 B
Working Capital35.4 M1.48 B
Current Asset118.88 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities83.48 M7.9 B
   Appian Corp exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Appian Corp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Appian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution7818.85
Daily Balance Of Power(0.25)
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price50.93
Day Typical Price50.64
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(1.23)

About Appian Corp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Appian Corp Cl? Buying financial instruments such as Appian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Appian Corp investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable5.22 M2.97 M5.77 M5.21 M
Receivables70.41 M97.28 M130.05 M140.32 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Appian Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Money Market Thematic Idea Now

Money Market
Money Market Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in various types of short-term (less than one year) fixed income instruments of high-quality and liquidity. The Money Market theme has 40 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Money Market Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Appian Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Appian Corp Cl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Appian Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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When running Appian Corp Cl price analysis, check to measure Appian Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Appian Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Appian Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Appian Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Appian Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Appian Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Appian Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Appian Corp. If investors know Appian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Appian Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
3.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.29
Return On Assets
-0.12
Return On Equity
-0.36
The market value of Appian Corp Cl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Appian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Appian Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Appian Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Appian Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Appian Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Appian Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Appian Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Appian Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.