Applovin Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

APP
 Stock
  

USD 14.02  0.06  0.43%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Applovin Corp Cl is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Applovin Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding APP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Applovin Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Applovin Corp's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Applovin Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Applovin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Applovin Corp Cl.

Execute Applovin Corp Buy or Sell Advice

The Applovin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Applovin Corp Cl. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Applovin Corp Cl or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Applovin Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Applovin CorpBuy Applovin Corp
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Applovin Corp Cl has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.26), Jensen Alpha of (1.00), Total Risk Alpha of (1.06) and Treynor Ratio of (0.42)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Applovin Corp Cl and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Applovin Corp is not overpriced, please confirm all Applovin Corp Cl fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Applovin Corp Cl has a number of shares shorted of 15.51 M, we suggest you to validate Applovin Corp Cl market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Applovin Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Applovin Corp Cl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Applovin Corp Cl has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.92 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (108.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.81 B.
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 113202 shares by Shikin Vasily of Applovin Corp subject to Rule 16b-3

Applovin Corp current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Applovin analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Applovin analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price48.71
Target Median Price50.00
Target High Price80.00
Recommendation Mean1.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions17
Target Low Price21.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Applovin Corp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Applovin Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Applovin Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Applovin Corp stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Applovin Corp Cl price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Applovin Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Applovin Corp.
Mean Return-0.86Value At Risk-6.43
Potential Upside4.96Standard Deviation4.50
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Applovin Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Applovin Corp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Applovin Corp or Applovin Corp Cl sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Applovin Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Applovin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-1
β
Beta against DOW2.08
σ
Overall volatility
4.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Applovin Corp Volatility Alert

Applovin Corp Cl exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.08 and kurtosis of 3.94. However, we advise investors to further study Applovin Corp Cl technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Applovin Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Applovin Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Applovin Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Applovin Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Applovin Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Applovin Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Applovin Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Applovin Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applovin Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Applovin Corp to competition
FundamentalsApplovin CorpPeer Average
Return On Equity(5.41) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.59 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(3.61) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin1.69 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.86 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding226.41 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders38.36 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions49.51 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted15.51 M4.71 M
Price to Earning574.62 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.57 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.81 X11.42 X
Revenue2.92 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.81 B27.38 B
EBITDA566.11 M3.9 B
Net Income(108.4 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents951.56 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.57 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.29 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.73 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.82 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations284.67 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.25 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.05) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth5.84 X4.89 X
Number of Employees1.59 K18.84 K
Beta2.73-0.15
Market Capitalization5.28 B19.03 B
Total Asset250.06 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(371.01 M)9.33 B
Working Capital17.75 M1.48 B
Current Asset165.31 M9.34 B
   Payment of 113202 shares by Shikin Vasily of Applovin Corp subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Applovin Corp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Applovin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Applovin Corp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Applovin Corp Cl? Buying financial instruments such as Applovin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Applovin Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Intelligence Theme
Technology companies, funds, and ETFs across multiple industries that are involved in research or development in the field of reasoning, learning, natural language processing and perception as well as its application to science and commerce. This theme may also include entities involved in cybernetics and cognitive brain simulation field. The Artificial Intelligence theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Artificial Intelligence Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Applovin Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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Is Applovin Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applovin Corp. If investors know Applovin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applovin Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
134.86
Market Capitalization
5.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.019) 
Return On Assets
0.0069
Return On Equity
(0.0417) 
The market value of Applovin Corp Cl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applovin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applovin Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applovin Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applovin Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applovin Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applovin Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Applovin Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applovin Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.