Abercrombie Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ANF
 Stock
  

USD 23.03  0.40  1.77%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Abercrombie Fitch is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Abercrombie Fitch buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ANF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Abercrombie Fitch's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Abercrombie Fitch's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Abercrombie Fitch Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Abercrombie and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Abercrombie Fitch.

Execute Abercrombie Fitch Buy or Sell Advice

The Abercrombie recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Abercrombie Fitch. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Abercrombie Fitch or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Abercrombie Fitch's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Abercrombie FitchBuy Abercrombie Fitch
Buy

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Abercrombie Fitch has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.244, Jensen Alpha of 0.5577, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4686, Sortino Ratio of 0.1624 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4127
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Abercrombie Fitch. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Abercrombie Fitch is not overpriced, please confirm all Abercrombie Fitch fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that Abercrombie Fitch has a price to earning of 58.00 X, we suggest you to validate Abercrombie Fitch market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Abercrombie Fitch Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Abercrombie Fitch appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trade Alert The Independent Non-Executive Chairman Of Abercrombie Fitch Co. , Terry Burman, Has Sold Some Shares Recently - Simply Wall St

Abercrombie Fitch Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Abercrombie Fitch's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Abercrombie Fitch's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Abercrombie Fitch stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Abercrombie Fitch price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Abercrombie Fitch returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Abercrombie Fitch.
Mean Return0.68Value At Risk-6.76
Potential Upside4.96Standard Deviation4.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Abercrombie Fitch historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Abercrombie Fitch Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Abercrombie Fitch or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Abercrombie Fitch's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Abercrombie stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.56
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.63
σ
Overall volatility
4.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Abercrombie Fitch Volatility Alert

Abercrombie Fitch shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Abercrombie Fitch further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Abercrombie Fitch future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Abercrombie Fitch's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Abercrombie Fitch's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Abercrombie Fitch Implied Volatility

Abercrombie Fitch's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Abercrombie Fitch stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Abercrombie Fitch's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Abercrombie Fitch stock will not fluctuate a lot when Abercrombie Fitch's options are near their expiration.

Abercrombie Fitch Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Abercrombie Fitch's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Abercrombie Fitch's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Abercrombie Fitch and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Abercrombie Fitch or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Abercrombie Fitch's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abercrombie Fitch by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Abercrombie Fitch to competition
FundamentalsAbercrombie FitchPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0477 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.0194 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.0082 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.0246 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.16 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding49.45 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.65 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions97.35 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.01 M4.71 M
Price to Earning58.00 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.86 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.33 X11.42 X
Revenue3.71 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.31 B27.38 B
EBITDA483.91 M3.9 B
Net Income270.07 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents823.14 M2.7 B
Cash per Share5.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt303.57 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.85 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.19 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations277.78 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.31 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.40 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(24.52) X4.89 X
Target Price23.33
Number of Employees7 K18.84 K
Beta1.39-0.15
Market Capitalization1.2 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.94 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.56 B9.33 B
Working Capital644.28 M1.48 B
   Exercise or conversion by Scott Lipesky of 3385 shares of Abercrombie Fitch subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Abercrombie Fitch Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Abercrombie . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Abercrombie Fitch Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Abercrombie Fitch? Buying financial instruments such as Abercrombie Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2014 2020 2022 (projected)
Receivables67.97 M80.25 M69.1 M64.22 M
Inventories530.19 M434.33 M525.86 M519.29 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Abercrombie Fitch in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Military Industrial Thematic Idea Now

Military Industrial
Military Industrial Theme
A collection of large United States defense contractors including companies involved in production or distribution of aircraft, ships, vehicles, weaponry, and electronic systems in cooperation with the government. The Military Industrial theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Military Industrial Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Abercrombie Fitch Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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Is Abercrombie Fitch's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abercrombie Fitch. If investors know Abercrombie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Abercrombie Fitch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.13) 
Market Capitalization
1.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.028) 
Return On Assets
0.0194
Return On Equity
0.0477
The market value of Abercrombie Fitch is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Abercrombie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Abercrombie Fitch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Abercrombie Fitch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Abercrombie Fitch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Abercrombie Fitch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Abercrombie Fitch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Abercrombie Fitch value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abercrombie Fitch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.