Alfi Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALF
 Stock
  

USD 1.18  0.01  0.85%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alfi Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alfi buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alfi positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alfi's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Alfi's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Alfi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alfi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Alfi Inc.

Execute Alfi Buy or Sell Advice

The Alfi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alfi Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alfi Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alfi's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlfiBuy Alfi
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Extremely DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Alfi Inc has a Mean Deviation of 3.25, Standard Deviation of 4.7 and Variance of 22.11
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alfi Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alfi is not overpriced, please confirm all Alfi Inc fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash per share . Given that Alfi is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its number of shares shorted.

Alfi Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alfi Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alfi Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Alfi Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Alfi Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Alfi Inc was previously known as Alfi Inc WT and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ALFIW.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.39 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (11.44 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (331.11 K).
Alfi Inc has about 19.69 M in cash with (9.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Alfi Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alfi Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alfi's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Alfi's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alfi stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alfi Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alfi returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alfi stock.
Mean Return-0.54Value At Risk-7.83
Potential Upside7.41Standard Deviation4.70
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alfi historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alfi Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alfi or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alfi stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alfi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.38
β
Beta against DOW0.87
σ
Overall volatility
4.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Alfi Volatility Alert

Alfi Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.13 and kurtosis of 3.78. However, we advise investors to further study Alfi Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Alfi Inc is a potential penny stock. Although Alfi may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Alfi Inc. We encourage investors to look for the signals such us email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Alfi instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of an artificial hype usually unable to maintain its increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Alfi Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alfi's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alfi's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alfi and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alfi or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alfi's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alfi by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alfi to competition
FundamentalsAlfiPeer Average
Return On Equity(197.95) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(42.16) %(0.14) %
Current Valuation3.76 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.17 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders49.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions4.70 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted340.38 K4.71 M
Price to Book0.71 X9.51 X
Revenue18.39 K9.43 B
Gross Profit(331.11 K)27.38 B
EBITDA(10.45 M)3.9 B
Net Income(11.44 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents19.69 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.22 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.56 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity5.39 %48.70 %
Current Ratio22.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.64 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(9.8 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.06) X3.12 X
Number of Employees2118.84 K
Market Capitalization18.76 M19.03 B
Z Score1.88.72
   Acquisition by Lee James Edward of 1250000 shares of Alfi subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Alfi Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alfi Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Alfi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Alfi investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets42.54 K9.13 K5.32 M5.74 M
Total Assets1.03 M1.56 M11.37 M12.27 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alfi in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Beers Thematic Idea Now

Beers
Beers Theme
Companies involved in production and distribution of domestic and international beer. The Beers theme has 0 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Beers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Beers
Please continue to Alfi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Alfi Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alfi's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Is Alfi's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alfi. If investors know Alfi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alfi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
19 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
2.63
Return On Assets
-2.2
Return On Equity
-22.51
The market value of Alfi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alfi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alfi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alfi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alfi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alfi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alfi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Alfi value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alfi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.