Air Lease Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AL
 Stock
  

USD 39.08  0.18  0.46%   

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Air Lease is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Air Lease buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air Lease's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Air Lease's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air Lease and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Air Lease.

Execute Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice

The Air Lease recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air Lease. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air Lease or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air Lease's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air LeaseBuy Air Lease
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Air Lease has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0951, Jensen Alpha of 0.0054, Total Risk Alpha of (0.017811), Sortino Ratio of 0.0147 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1006
Air Lease advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Air Lease is not overpriced, please confirm all Air Lease fundamentals, including its net income, book value per share, and the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Air Lease has a price to earning of 8.71 X, we suggest you to validate Air Lease market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Air Lease Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reports 17.02 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.85, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Air Lease has a current ratio of 0.88, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Air Lease until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air Lease's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air Lease sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air Lease to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air Lease's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Air Lease has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of Air Lease shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 7th of October 2022 Air Lease paid $ 0.185 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Air Lease Benefits From Fleet Growth Amid Rising Costs - Nasdaq

Air Lease Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Air Lease's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air Lease's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air Lease stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air Lease price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air Lease returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air Lease.
Mean Return0.14Value At Risk-3.56
Potential Upside3.38Standard Deviation2.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air Lease historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air Lease Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Air Lease is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Lease backward and forwards among themselves. Air Lease's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Air Lease's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares75.6 K3.2 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares129.2 K5.3 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares243.3 K8.4 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares565.3 K17.1 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares264.6 K12.1 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares174.1 K7.3 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares122.1 K5.9 M
Note, although Air Lease's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Air Lease Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(2.14 B)(3.38 B)(3.84 B)(2.53 B)(3.09 B)(3.34 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion508.35 M581.99 M702.81 M780.69 M882.56 M740.93 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents17.48 M14.72 M15.06 M1.42 B(649.48 M)(666.57 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares9.26 M4.83 M44.88 M6.57 M(4.34 M)(4.46 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities955.47 M2.01 B2 B2.9 B451.1 M462.97 M
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(30.93 M)(41.56 M)(58.03 M)(68.18 M)(73 M)(74.92 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing1.1 B2.15 B2.47 B2.86 B1.07 B1.58 B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(2.14 B)(3.38 B)(3.84 B)(2.53 B)(3.09 B)(3.34 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.06 B1.25 B1.39 B1.09 B1.38 B1.49 B
Share Based Compensation19.8 M17.48 M20.75 M17.63 M26.52 M22.98 M

Air Lease Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air Lease or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air Lease's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air Lease stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.005437
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.0159

Air Lease Volatility Alert

Air Lease currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.01. However, we advise investors to further question Air Lease expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air Lease's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air Lease's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Air Lease Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air Lease's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air Lease's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air Lease and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air Lease or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air Lease's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Lease by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air Lease to competition
FundamentalsAir LeasePeer Average
Return On Equity(2.00) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.0272 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(0.0392) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.52 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation21.93 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding110.89 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders6.56 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions91.27 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.54 M4.71 M
Price to Earning8.71 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.65 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.87 X11.42 X
Revenue2.09 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.47 B3.9 B
Net Income436.63 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.09 B2.7 B
Cash per Share9.13 X5.01 X
Total Debt17.02 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity2.85 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.90 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share58.87 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations1.38 B971.22 M
Short Ratio5.12 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.11) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.91 X4.89 X
Target Price54.86
Number of Employees12918.84 K
Beta1.8-0.15
Market Capitalization4.31 B19.03 B
Total Asset26.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.07 B9.33 B
Working Capital174.93 M1.48 B
   Air Lease exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Air Lease Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air Lease . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Air Lease Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air Lease? Buying financial instruments such as Air Lease Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets1.9 B3.56 B2.62 B2.08 B
Total Assets21.71 B25.22 B26.97 B29.1 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Air Lease in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Top Penny Thematic Idea Now

Top Penny
Top Penny Theme
Solid stocks, funds or ETFs with above average market capitalization and strong fundamental indicators based on Macroaxis rating system. The Top Penny theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Top Penny Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Please continue to Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Air Lease price analysis, check to measure Air Lease's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Lease is operating at the current time. Most of Air Lease's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Lease's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Lease's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Lease to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Is Air Lease's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air Lease will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.034
Market Capitalization
4.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.07
Return On Assets
0.0272
Return On Equity
(2.00) 
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air Lease that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Air Lease value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.