American Mutual Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AHTPX
 Fund
  

USD 10.36  0.02  0.19%   

Assuming the 90 days horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding American Beacon Ahl is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides American Beacon buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AHTPX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Beacon's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from American Beacon's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to American Beacon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual funds such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards American Beacon Ahl.

Execute American Beacon Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Beacon Ahl. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Beacon Ahl or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Beacon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American BeaconBuy American Beacon
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon American Beacon Ahl has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.39), Jensen Alpha of (0.12), Total Risk Alpha of (0.1) and Treynor Ratio of (0.57)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Beacon Ahl and to analyze the fund potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Please makes use of American Beacon total asset to make buy, hold, or sell decision on American Beacon Ahl.

American Beacon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Beacon Ahl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Beacon Ahl is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds about 28.86% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

American Beacon Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Beacon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of American Beacon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Beacon stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Beacon Ahl price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Beacon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Beacon stock.
Mean Return-0.16Value At Risk-1.16
Potential Upside0.55Standard Deviation0.58
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Beacon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Beacon Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Beacon or American Beacon sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Beacon stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.12
β
Beta against DOW0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.0052

American Beacon Volatility Alert

American Beacon Ahl exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.2 and kurtosis of 2.68. However, we advise investors to further study American Beacon Ahl technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Beacon's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Beacon's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

American Beacon Implied Volatility

American Beacon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Beacon Ahl stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Beacon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Beacon stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Beacon's options are near their expiration.

American Beacon Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Beacon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Beacon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Beacon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Beacon or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Beacon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Beacon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Beacon to competition
FundamentalsAmerican BeaconPeer Average
One Year Return8.75 %4.15 %
Net Asset869.25 M4.11 B
Cash Position Weight3.85 %10.61 %
Bond Positions Weight28.86 %11.24 %

About American Beacon Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Beacon Ahl? Buying financial instruments such as American Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although American Beacon investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having American Beacon in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Most Shorted Equities Theme
Dynamically calculated list of top equities currently trending upward via a buy-out by investors. The Most Shorted Equities theme has 69 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Most Shorted Equities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to American Beacon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the American Beacon Ahl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Beacon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Beacon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Beacon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Beacon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.