Ashford Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AHT
 Stock
  

USD 6.29  0.04  0.64%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Ashford Hospitality Trust is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Ashford Hospitality buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AHT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ashford Hospitality's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Ashford Hospitality's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Ashford Hospitality Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ashford and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Ashford Hospitality Trust.

Execute Ashford Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice

The Ashford recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ashford Hospitality Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ashford Hospitality Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ashford Hospitality's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ashford HospitalityBuy Ashford Hospitality
Strong Sell

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ashford Hospitality Trust has a Mean Deviation of 4.84, Standard Deviation of 6.31 and Variance of 39.78
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Ashford Hospitality Trust. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Ashford Hospitality is not overpriced, please confirm all Ashford Hospitality Trust fundamentals, including its total debt, total asset, and the relationship between the gross profit and earnings per share . Given that Ashford Hospitality Trust has a price to earning of (4.98) X, we suggest you to validate Ashford Hospitality Trust market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Ashford Hospitality Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ashford Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ashford Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ashford Hospitality has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 804.85 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (267.52 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 114.63 M.
Ashford Hospitality Trust has about 592.61 M in cash with (144.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.18, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Ashford Hospitality has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ASHFORD TRUST TO PRESENT AT NAREITS REITWEEK 2022 INVESTOR CONFERENCE - Yahoo Finance

Ashford Hospitality current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ashford analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ashford analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price14.90
Target Median Price11.00
Target High Price34.00
Recommendation Mean2.80
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price8.50
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Ashford Hospitality Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ashford Hospitality's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Ashford Hospitality's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ashford Hospitality stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ashford Hospitality Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ashford Hospitality returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ashford Hospitality stock.
Mean Return-0.37Value At Risk-9.3
Potential Upside10.63Standard Deviation6.31
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ashford Hospitality historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ashford Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Ashford Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ashford Hospitality Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Ashford Hospitality's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Ashford Hospitality's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Varde Management LpCommon Shares2.4 M24.8 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares1.7 M17.4 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares1.3 M12.9 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares621.8 K6.3 M
Bridgeway Capital Management LlcCommon Shares568.6 K5.8 M
Goldman Sachs Group IncCommon Shares481.4 K4.9 M
Davidson Kempner Capital Management LpCommon Shares477 K4.9 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options448.8 K4.6 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options407.3 K4.2 M
Note, although Ashford Hospitality's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ashford Hospitality Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(117.06 M)(329.29 M)(269.1 M)(8.56 M)(27.73 M)(29.92 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion246.49 M258.22 M268.75 M252.46 M218.98 M231.49 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(20.4 M)(32.26 M)(41.6 M)(230.89 M)524.33 M565.73 M
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals49.96 M(667 K)11.14 M(430 K)(9 M)(9.71 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(1.27 M)13.15 M(1.03 M)31.47 M562.78 M607.21 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(50.04 M)242.67 M132.44 M(49.85 M)187.91 M162.44 M
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(101.59 M)(97.44 M)(86.21 M)(28.62 M)(18.62 M)(20.09 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(163.9 M)115.81 M34.38 M(73.76 M)702.56 M758.02 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(21.86 M)(63.88 M)(253.19 M)(7.6 M)(34.04 M)(36.73 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations207.38 M181.56 M177.21 M(149.53 M)(144.19 M)(147.98 M)
Share Based Compensation12.29 M26.94 M19.72 M10.75 M10.03 M11.68 M

Ashford Hospitality Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ashford Hospitality or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ashford Hospitality stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ashford stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.07
β
Beta against DOW2.98
σ
Overall volatility
6.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Ashford Hospitality Volatility Alert

Ashford Hospitality Trust is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Ashford Hospitality Trust independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Ashford Hospitality volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ashford Hospitality's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ashford Hospitality's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Ashford Hospitality Implied Volatility

Ashford Hospitality's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ashford Hospitality Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ashford Hospitality's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ashford Hospitality stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ashford Hospitality's options are near their expiration.

Ashford Hospitality Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ashford Hospitality's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ashford Hospitality's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ashford Hospitality and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ashford Hospitality or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ashford Hospitality's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ashford Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ashford Hospitality to competition
FundamentalsAshford HospitalityPeer Average
Return On Asset(2.03) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(33.17) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin11.38 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding33.86 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.86 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions40.94 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.53 M4.71 M
Price to Earning(4.98) X28.72 X
Price to Book3.54 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.26 X11.42 X
Revenue804.85 M9.43 B
Gross Profit114.63 M27.38 B
EBITDA91.6 M3.9 B
Net Income(267.52 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents592.61 M2.7 B
Cash per Share17.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.93 B5.32 B
Current Ratio4.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.78 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(144.19 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(20.05) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.25) X4.89 X
Number of Employees9218.84 K
Beta2.08-0.15
Market Capitalization212.95 M19.03 B
Total Asset4.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.6 B)9.33 B
Working Capital273.82 M1.48 B
Current Asset433.64 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities159.82 M7.9 B
Five Year Return10.26 %
   Ashford Hospitality exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Ashford Hospitality Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ashford . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution83555.23
Daily Balance Of Power0.0976
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price6.16
Day Typical Price6.2
Price Action Indicator0.15

About Ashford Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ashford Hospitality Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Ashford Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Ashford Hospitality investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables47.35 M30.02 M34.53 M40.97 M
Inventories4.35 M2.45 M2.2 M2.54 M

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In addition to having Ashford Hospitality in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Munis
Munis Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by states, cities, and towns as well as other public entities. The Munis theme has 40 constituents.
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Please continue to Ashford Hospitality Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Ashford Hospitality Trust information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ashford Hospitality's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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When running Ashford Hospitality Trust price analysis, check to measure Ashford Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashford Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Ashford Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashford Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashford Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashford Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ashford Hospitality's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ashford Hospitality. If investors know Ashford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ashford Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
226.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.14
Return On Assets
-0.0115
The market value of Ashford Hospitality Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ashford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ashford Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ashford Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ashford Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ashford Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ashford Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ashford Hospitality value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ashford Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.